Liam Duckstein
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Everton welcome Ipswich to the Hill Dickinson Stadium sitting eighth in the early Premier League table, three draws and a win from their opening four games leaving David Moyes’ side unbeaten but short of the ruthlessness his squad depth should allow. Ipswich arrive tenth, two wins and two defeats into the campaign, a side that scores goals but leaks them just as freely under Gary O’Neil.
The interesting angle here is defensive contrast. Everton have conceded just three goals in four league matches. Ipswich have shipped ten in the same span, and their away form has been the more fragile half of that record. We predict that gap shows up on the scoreboard on Saturday.
Thierno Barry has been the focal point of Everton’s attack, racking up 22 shots and three goals across his last five outings, a volume that suggests more goals are coming. For Ipswich, Leif Davis offers an outlet from left back with two goals and two assists in his last five, and his overlapping runs could be the visitors’ best route to a goal here.
Hot stat: Ipswich have conceded 11 goals across their three defeats in the last five matches alone, including a 2-4 loss to Arsenal and a 2-5 hammering by Manchester United, a defensive record that simply won’t survive a trip to a settled Everton side.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool |
| 🗓️ Date: | 19.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
Everton vs Ipswich prediction
We lean toward Everton to win this one, and not narrowly. The bookmakers already rate the hosts favourites at 54%, and the underlying numbers back that price up. Everton have outshot opponents 88-58 across their last five matches and have a defense that has only cracked three times in four league games this term. Ipswich, by contrast, have leaked double figures in the same window.
Style-wise, this should suit Everton further. Ipswich commit more fouls (56 to Everton’s 48 in the last five matches) and pick up more cards (12 to 8), a discipline gap that tends to hand possession-heavy home sides like Everton extra set-piece chances. Everton’s pass accuracy sits comfortably above Ipswich’s across the same sample, and that control, paired with Barry’s movement up front, should be enough to turn territory into goals. Our team backs a home win, with goals at both ends given Ipswich’s habit of scoring even in defeats.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Everton -1 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Everton’s last five results read win, draw, draw, draw, win, a stretch that shows resilience without much conviction. The most recent outing, a 1-0 win over Wolves, summed that up well, a game controlled without ever being put fully out of reach. In our preview of Everton vs Wolves we backed a narrow home win alongside goals at both ends, and the 1-0 scoreline confirmed the narrow victory even though Wolves never troubled Pickford’s goal the way we expected.
Ipswich’s last five have swung wildly, two wins sandwiched around three defeats, and the pattern of shipping goals in bunches has been the constant thread. Their most recent match, a 2-4 loss at Arsenal, followed that script closely, Ipswich scoring twice but never close to matching Arsenal’s quality at the other end. In our preview of Ipswich vs Arsenal we called for an Arsenal win with goals at both ends, and the 2-4 result delivered exactly that.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Everton | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Everton vs Ipswich stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Everton the favourite
- Moneyline Everton 1.75 | Ipswich 4.45
- Draw 3.80
The market has this roughly right in our view. Everton at around 1.75 represents fair value given how much better their defensive numbers look, though we’d argue the draw price of 3.80 undersells how many recent Everton games have finished level. Ipswich at 4.45 feels generous only if you believe their attack can outscore a leaky defense, and recent history suggests that’s a coin flip at best.
Possible Starting Lineups
Everton possible starting eleven
- GK: Jordan Pickford
- DF: Jake O’Brien, James Tarkowski, Michael Keane, Vitaliy Mykolenko
- MF: James Garner, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Charly Alcaraz
- FW: Tyler Dibling, Thierno Barry, Brennan Johnson
Moyes has kept faith with a settled 4-2-3-1 across his last five matches, and the appearance counts back that up almost to the man. Barry leads the line with license to drift wide, while Dibling and Johnson provide width and pace on the counter. Watch Alcaraz in the number ten role, he’s chipped in with a goal already and tends to find pockets between Ipswich’s midfield and defense.
Ipswich possible starting eleven
- GK: Christian Walton
- DF: Jacob Greaves, Dara O’Shea, Cedric Kipre, Leif Davis
- MF: Julio Enciso, Saša Lukić, Marcelino Núñez
- FW: Jack Clarke, Chuba Akpom, Kasey McAteer
O’Neil sticks with the same 4-2-3-1 shape, and the frequent rotation up front hasn’t changed his preferred back four. Davis remains the standout name, his output from left back outstripping most of Ipswich’s forwards, while Núñez’s two goals from midfield make him a threat from deep positions Everton will need to track.
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Everton. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Everton should have enough on both sides of the ball to see off Ipswich at home. The hosts have conceded sparingly all season while Ipswich have shipped double-digit goals in their last five, a gap too wide to ignore. We predict an Everton win, perhaps by a two-goal margin, with Ipswich likely to find the net at least once given how consistently they’ve scored even in defeats this season. Barry’s movement up front and Everton’s corner and shot volume advantage tilt this firmly toward the home side, to be honest we don’t see many paths to an Ipswich result here.
