Everton vs Ipswich Prediction: 03.05.2025 English Premier League Preview

With the curtain drawing ever closer on the Premier League’s regular season, Everton and Ipswich meet at Goodison Park in a fixture that could sculpt the final standings for both clubs. While both teams’ win rates in the last five matches linger at 20 percent, Everton will be keen to cement their mid-table safety, whereas newly promoted Ipswich face a daunting challenge as they fight against the drop. The inside intrigue? Both teams have struggled for goals lately, but look to two pivotal midfielders—Abdoulaye Doucouré and Julio Enciso—whose influence on either side could tip the balance. Interestingly, Ipswich’s defensive discipline has been tested with two red cards in their last five outings, raising the stakes around discipline and composure.

Hot stat: Ipswich have managed just 4 wins in 34 league matches this season, conceding a hefty 74 goals—making them the Premier League’s leakiest defence so far.

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Everton vs Ipswich prediction

Given the current trajectories, the best value here is a home win for Everton. Ipswich have been battered by some of the Premier League’s strongest sides, shipping heavy defeats and showing frailty at the back. Everton, for all their own inconsistencies, have generally held it together against teams lower on the table and boast a greater defensive solidity. The Toffees’ midfield shape, orchestrated by Doucouré and the disciplined Idrissa Gueye, should control much of the proceedings, allowing for structured attacks and resilient defending.

Ipswich’s discipline is a ticking time bomb—two red cards and a narrow squad mean any lapses could be fatal. Both sides average just under 60 percent pass accuracy recently, suggesting there could be several turnovers, and with Ipswich conceding so freely, the match may open up, particularly late on. Everton will seek to use width and exploit set pieces, while Ipswich might be forced to absorb pressure and look for rare counter-attacking moments, especially through Julio Enciso and Liam Delap.

Team Analysis

Everton’s recent games:
The Toffees’ last outing saw them slump to a tight 0-1 loss against Chelsea, testifying to their issues upfront but defensive grit nonetheless. Prior to that, taking a point off Arsenal and beating Nottingham Forest shows Everton’s resilience when facing teams outside the elite. Moyes continues to rely on a compact 4-2-3-1 with Jordan Pickford marshalling at the back, and Doucouré offering late runs into the box—a proven formula. Their Achilles heel? Only two goals scored in their last five, but with solid defensive numbers and few yellow cards, they’re set up to grind out results when necessary.

Ipswich’s recent games:
Ipswich’s last league showing, a 0-3 drubbing at home to Newcastle, underscores their defensive troubles and inability to stop rot after going behind. They conceded four to Arsenal just before, but a plucky 2-2 draw with Chelsea suggests Kieran McKenna’s side can raise their game on occasion. Still, their 4-2-3-1 setup has left them exposed, with too many individual mistakes leading to heavy defeats. Enciso’s flashes of creativity and Liam Delap’s industry are green shoots for the future, but the team’s lack of top-flight experience, coupled with red cards to Alex Palmer and Ben Johnson, has left them prone to collapses.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Everton vs Ipswich stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Everton the favourite

The gulf in odds reflects the bookies’ confidence in Everton’s home advantage and Ipswich’s porous defence. Everton at around 1.53 offers reasonable value given Ipswich’s goal difference of -41 and their meagre away threat. The under 2.5 goal line is tempting thanks to Everton’s lack of firepower, and No for BTTS stands strong considering both clubs’ low scoring trajectories recently. If value is your measure, side with the hosts—both on the scoreboard and at the bookies.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Everton possible starting eleven

David Moyes has consistently stuck with his trusted 4-2-3-1, and it’s unlikely he’ll veer from that blueprint here. Pickford is the undisputed man between the sticks, and Branthwaite’s aerial presence is vital at the back. Midfield energy comes from Doucouré and Gueye, with Garner offering ball retention and Harrison/Ndiaye attacking from wide. Up front, Beto spearheads the attack in search of a decisive contribution. Watch for Doucouré’s timing of late runs—a wrinkle that can break a deep block.

Ipswich possible starting eleven

Kieran McKenna’s 4-2-3-1 might look familiar, but chaos can hit if discipline slips—Palmer will hope to atone for his recent dismissal, while Burgess and O’Shea anchor a backline that needs to minimise errors. Midfield presence comes from Morsy and Cajuste, but the keys to goals are Enciso’s creativity and Delap’s tenacity. Johnson provides overlapping threat from full-back, but eyes will be on Enciso for unlocking Everton’s block. Can Ipswich’s midfield disrupt Everton’s rhythm, or will defensive frailties undo them yet again?

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My take on the Match

Our main pick is a composed home victory for Everton. The Toffees’ defensive acumen should shut out an Ipswich side that has shown plenty of grit but little cutting edge or composure. With Moyes’ men eyeing a strong finish and Ipswich battling adversity, it’s Everton’s superior organisation, home support and greater depth that swing the tie. This is a match for the purists—a battle of shapes, set pieces, and discipline—but don’t be surprised if Everton use clever movement and late surges from midfield to seal the points. Ipswich may have spirit, but Everton’s pragmatism journeys them that bit further up the league table.

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