Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Primera A 2025 Clausura Match - 23.07.2025

The anticipation for this Primera A 2025 Clausura clash electrifies the footballing landscape in Colombia as Deportivo Pereira welcomes Atletico Nacional to the Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas in Pereira on July 23rd, 2025. Kick-off is set for 04:20 CEST, promising midweek drama under the Pereira floodlights.
Deportivo Pereira, led by coach Rafael Dudamel, strives to rebound after a modest start to the Clausura. Their adversaries, Atletico Nacional under Javier Gandolfi, arrive with momentum and a perfect record in this phase thus far.
For Pereira, much will hinge on the dynamism of Darwín Quintero, a creator whose vision can unlock even the most resolute backlines. For Nacional, all eyes focus on Alfredo Morelos, whose predatory instincts in front of goal have sparked their recent victories.
A “hot stat” sets the stage: Atletico Nacional have scored three goals in each of their opening two Clausura fixtures, an attacking prowess underscoring their top-of-the-table status.

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Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional predictions

My best bet: Atletico Nacional Draw No Bet (DNB)
Despite playing away, Nacional’s recent form (six points from six and six goals scored) marks them as the marginal favorites. Their offensive arsenal, particularly through Morelos and Sarmiento, looks sharp and relentless, while Pereira’s defense has shown vulnerabilities in recent matches. However, given Pereira’s respectable record at home and a tendency for close results, the DNB approach provides value, balancing risk and potential reward.
Deportivo Pereira employs a controlled style (average possession high, passing accuracy nearing 82%), but they struggle to convert build-up into goals 2 goals in the last 2 Clausura matches versus Nacional’s 6 over the same span. Pereira has also accumulated more yellow cards (seven versus Nacional’s four) and fouls (23 vs 26 in 5 matches), suggesting a more physical edge, yet this aggressiveness hasn’t translated into dominance.
Conversely, Nacional’s 4-1-4-1 formation offers midfield strength, ball retention, and clinical transition play crucial ingredients in breaking down a Pereira side that struggles against speed and width.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional Most recent H2Hs

Historically, encounters between these two clubs have leaned towards Nacional, as demonstrated by their dominant 3-0 victory in their last Apertura meeting. Pereira’s lone goal across the last two meetings epitomizes their offensive difficulties against Nacional’s structured defense. The closely matched draw (1-1) in their previous Clausura outing indicates Pereira’s resilience at home yet underscores a consistent trend: Nacional’s technical edge and strategic execution tend to tip the balance.

🚨Read our full Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Atletico Nacional boasts a Clausura-best attack: 6 goals in 2 matches.
• Deportivo Pereira have recorded only 1 win in their last 5 fixtures.
• Nacional’s Alfredo Morelos is averaging 1 goal per game in their last 2 outings.
• Pereira has committed an average of 11.5 fouls per game in their last 2 Clausura matches.
• Nacional averages fewer yellow cards (2 per match) compared to Pereira (3.5 per match).

Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional score prediction: 1-2

Given the attacking form of Nacional and the vulnerabilities in Pereira’s back line, a 2-1 away win for Nacional stands out as the most probable outcome. Expect Morelos and Sarmiento to feature heavily for the visitors, while Quintero will be Pereira’s focal point. However, Nacional’s clinical edge and organizational discipline should see them edge a tense contest.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Nacional the favourite

The average bookmaker odds indicate a tightly contested encounter. Nacional’s slight favoritism is justified by their sharper attack and recent form, but the draw remains a prominent possibility reflected in near-parity pricing. With an edge on away victories and attacking production, Nacional’s odds look attractive, especially given their current momentum and roster depth.

Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional Over/Under Analysis

• Under 2.5 has landed in 5 of Pereira’s last 8 home matches.
• Nacional has scored 2+ goals in their last 3 Primera A matches.
• Both teams have scored in 3 of the last 4 H2H clashes.
• Corners average for these teams: 12 per game in recent Clausura matches.

Deportivo Pereira Preview

Deportivo Pereira finds itself at a crossroads after a frustrating opening to the Clausura, scoring just two goals and earning a solitary point across two games. Their recent loss against Alianza Petrolera (0-1) illuminated their attacking struggles, with only 41 shots (yet just 2 goals from these) in their last five matches. Quintero’s efforts in midfield to knit transitions together contrast with a strikeforce lacking efficiency.
Pereira’s formation remains a standard 4-2-3-1, designed for midfield control, but recent fixture congestion and a high foul count have hampered consistency and fluidity. The squad’s physical approach, evident in 23 fouls and 7 yellow cards over five matches, can be both asset and liability, especially against Nacional’s pace on turnovers.

Deportivo Pereira possible starting eleven

Atletico Nacional Preview

Atletico Nacional has surged to the top of the Clausura standings on the back of tactical intelligence and offensive depth. Recent victories over La Equidad and Once Caldas (both 3-1) showcase their balanced scoring ability and defensive self-assurance. Morelos’s two goals in as many matches cement his reputation as a reliable spearhead.
Coach Javier Gandolfi sets his team in a 4-1-4-1, leveraging midfield runners and wide aggression to destabilize rigid blocks. With midfielders like Cardona dictating play, and a defensive core marshalled by Tesillo and Arias, Nacional imposes their rhythm asserting control both in possession and during rapid transitions.

Atletico Nacional possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

On behalf of the Tips.GG expert team, our main pick for this match is Atletico Nacional to win (or DNB for greater market protection). Nacional’s dynamic forward line and well-drilled collective movement should break Pereira’s stubborn resistance, particularly through Morelos. While Pereira’s home support and midfield control cannot be underestimated, Nacional’s consistency and attacking options are decisive.
Winning probability: 39% (AI-powered)

How to watch Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Nacional

When?
July 23rd, 2025. Kick-off at 04:20 CEST.
Where?
Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas, Pereira, Colombia.
How to watch: Check national broadcasters such as Win Sports+ and official streaming sites.
Favorite: Atletico Nacional

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