Damac vs Al Fateh Prediction: 22.05.2025 Saudi Pro League Preview

As the Saudi Pro League Regular Season barrels towards its finale, Damac play host to Al Fateh at the Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium in Khamis Mushait. Both sides are nestled in the lower half of the table, separated by only two points, adding a crucial sense of urgency to this encounter. With just a handful of matches remaining, both managers—Khaled Al-Atwi for Damac and José Gomes for Al Fateh—will be eager to seize momentum. Notably, both teams have shown flashes of strong form but have struggled for consistency, making this a tightly poised fixture. Keep a close eye on Nicolae Stanciu for Damac, whose vision in midfield could be pivotal, and Sofiane Bendebka of Al Fateh, whose recent scoring spurt has made him a player to watch beside the regular headline-makers. Bendebka’s four goals in his last three appearances is a stat that leaps off the page—a proper ‘hot stat’ that sums up Al Fateh’s current attacking leaning.

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Damac vs Al Fateh prediction

Al Fateh enter this clash as slight bookmakers’ favourites. Their head-to-head advantage and superior attacking output—eight goals in their last five matches versus Damac’s four—suggest they have the edge, especially with Bendebka in top flight. While Damac have steadied defensively with a recent clean sheet and a disciplined midfield effort led by Stanciu, their 4-2-3-1 formation has created precious few clear chances. Expect Al Fateh’s more direct approach, supported by creative sparks from Mourad Batna and Matías Vargas, to cause problems on quick transitions.

Style wise, both teams rack up fouls—Damac with 41 and Al Fateh with 49 in their last five. But Al Fateh have amassed 30 corners in that stretch, nearly double Damac’s 14, showing a pattern of concerted attacking play and wide overloads. Damac’s 9 yellow cards (compared to Al Fateh’s 8) and their solid pass accuracy (1111/1350, 82%) could see them attempt to control midfield, but Al Fateh’s higher goal return and aggressive wide play make them better set for three points. Both teams’ tendency to concede means “Both Teams to Score” is a strong option.

Team Analysis

Damac’s Recent Games:
Damac have won two, drawn one, and lost two in their last five, showing alternating promise and vulnerability. A 0-0 draw with Al Ettifaq in their most recent outing showcased discipline in the back line—Florin Niță was resolute in goal, claiming 8 saves over the last five. Midfield dynamo Nicolae Stanciu scored twice over this span, providing the creative spark, but going forward, Damac have lacked the threat to turn draws into wins. Their 1-2 defeat to Al-Fayha revealed defensive lapses in set-piece situations, and the narrow 2-3 loss to Al Nassr demonstrated a capacity to fight but not always to finish. The 3-1 victory over Al Kholood, however, hinted at their grit and ability to take chances against teams in the lower echelons.

Al Fateh’s Recent Games:
Al Fateh mirror Damac’s record over their last five, but their matches have been livelier; an end-to-end 3-4 defeat to Al-Hilal and a 3-1 scalp of Al Shabab underscored their fearless, attacking philosophy. Sofiane Bendebka’s four goals and Mourad Batna’s precise link-up play have made them a dangerous unit up front, while Matías Vargas’ dynamism down the left creates constant danger (20 total shots in five games). However, defensive frailties persist, such as the 0-1 reversal against Al Wehda, where lapses in concentration cost them. A resilient 2-0 win over Al Ittihad is proof they can punch above their weight when tactically switched on.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Damac vs Al Fateh stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Al Fateh the favourite

• Moneyline Damac 3.8 | Al Fateh 1.80
• Draw 3.7
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.89 | Under 2.5 1.92
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.74 | No 2.06

With Al Fateh given a 51 percent win probability by the bookmakers and their attacking output on the rise, the odds are justified. Damac’s home advantage is neutralised by their recent inconsistency, and Al Fateh’s ability to score in bursts—plus the all-important edge in the last head-to-head—swings the value sharply in their favour. A draw isn’t off the cards given both teams’ ability to grind out stalemates when under pressure, but Al Fateh’s superior goal tally, greater number of corners, and confident play in the final third make them the more likely winners here.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Damac possible starting eleven

Damac are likely to line up in their familiar 4-2-3-1, with Stanciu at the heart of midfield pulling the strings and N’Koudou offering width. Solan’s occasional forays forward could prove useful, while Niță between the sticks offers a safety net. Keep an eye on Meshari Fahad Al Nemer up front—his movement in the channels could ask questions of the Al Fateh backline. Expect a compact midfield shape with the fullbacks providing support when possible.

Al Fateh possible starting eleven

José Gomes also favours the 4-2-3-1. Al Fateh’s backline sees pace and strength with Saadane and Fernandes, while in midfield Bendebka will look to exploit spaces behind Damac’s lines. On the wings, Batna and Vargas provide directness—Vargas especially dangerous cutting inside. Sbaï leads the line with energy, capable of pulling defenders out of shape. This lineup is primed for rapid counters and exploiting wide spaces left by Damac’s pressing fullbacks.

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My take on the Match

For all Damac’s defensive effort and flashes of coordinated play, this match feels sculpted for Al Fateh’s enterprising attack to shine. If their front line sustains this form, particularly with Bendebka’s late surges and Batna’s efficiency on transitions, Al Fateh should edge Damac—though likely not by a huge margin. A 1-2 away win seems plausible, with Damac scrapping but ultimately succumbing to sustained pressure. For the neutral, expect quality on the ball, a fair share of drama, and a match that could remain in balance until the final whistle.

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