Liam Duckstein
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Crystal Palace welcome Nottingham Forest to Selhurst Park with both sides sitting in the lower half of the table after a scrappy start to the campaign. Palace sit 15th with just four points from five games while Forest are only one place and one point better off. The interesting wrinkle here is the head-to-head history: the last three meetings between these clubs have all finished 1-1, so anyone backing a cagey, low-margin affair has recent precedent on their side.
Keep an eye on Jörgen Strand Larsen, who has scored twice in Palace’s last five outings and remains their most direct route to goal through the middle. On the other side, Liam Delap has fired more shots than any Forest player over the same stretch (ten attempts) and looks the one man capable of dragging Forest’s blunt attack back to life.
Hot stat: Forest have managed just two goals from 46 total shots in their last five matches, a conversion rate that borders on alarming, while Palace have scored six goals from a lower shot count of 39 across the same span.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Selhurst Park, London |
| 🗓️ Date: | 11.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest prediction
We predict Crystal Palace edge this one at home. Palace have won three of their last six matches and scored freely against Lech Poznan and Middlesbrough, while Forest arrive having won just once in their last six and fresh off a limp 0-1 defeat to Coventry. Pierre Sage’s side carry more attacking rhythm into this fixture, and Selhurst Park has not been an easy place for visitors with poor away form this season.
Style-wise, Palace are the more physical side defensively with 36 interceptions in their last five games compared to Forest’s 11, suggesting they win the ball back quicker and higher up the pitch. Forest commit more fouls per game and have picked up seven yellow cards in that span against Palace’s four, a discipline gap that could matter if the referee runs a tight game. Palace’s pass accuracy sits comfortably above Forest’s too, pointing to a possession edge that should let the hosts dictate tempo for long spells.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Crystal Palace Draw No Bet |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Crystal Palace’s form reads as choppy rather than poor. The 0-2 loss to Bristol City was their most recent setback, but before that they drew 0-0 with Leeds, thrashed Lech Poznan 4-0, lost narrowly 2-3 to Ipswich and beat Middlesbrough 3-0. That is a side capable of real quality in bursts, even if consistency is missing. In our preview of Leeds vs Crystal Palace we backed Leeds to win with goals flowing at both ends, and the eventual 0-0 scoreline went against that call entirely, a reminder of how unpredictable Palace’s output can be week to week.
Nottingham Forest’s recent run is the more concerning of the two. Their last match ended in a 0-1 loss to Coventry, continuing a pattern where only one win has come from their last six games. Before that they beat Aston Villa 2-1, drew 0-0 with Tottenham, drew 2-2 with Liverpool and lost 0-2 to Leeds. Oliver Glasner’s side look short of confidence in front of goal, and that struggle travels badly to a Selhurst Park crowd that will sense weakness early.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Crystal Palace | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 4 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Crystal Palace the favourite
- Moneyline Crystal Palace 2.79 | Nottingham Forest 2.75
- Draw 3.49
Bookmakers have this priced almost as a coin flip, with Palace given a marginal 36% expectation against Forest’s 35%, and the draw sitting at 29%. That narrow gap matches what we see in the underlying numbers: Palace hold a slight edge in home advantage and recent attacking output, but Forest’s resilience in tight games (three draws in six) keeps the stalemate price relevant. We lean toward Palace’s home comfort tipping the scales, though value hunters could do worse than shopping around for the best Forest price given how tightly matched this looks on paper.
Possible Starting Lineups
Crystal Palace possible starting eleven
- GK: Walter Benítez
- DF: Chris Richards, Oscar Mingueza, Takehiro Tomiyasu
- MF: Tyrick Mitchell, Adam Wharton, Quinten Timber, Ben Chilwell, Daichi Kamada, Anan Khalaili
- FW: Jörgen Strand Larsen
Pierre Sage should stick with the 3-4-2-1 shape that has featured in Palace’s last five outings. Benítez keeps his place in goal on save numbers alone, while Strand Larsen leads the line as the focal point given his two goals in five games. Kamada and Khalaili operating just behind him give Palace width and creativity, with Wharton anchoring possession from deep.
Nottingham Forest possible starting eleven
- GK: Matz Sels
- DF: Neco Williams, Ola Aina, Murillo Santiago, Ousmane Diomande
- MF: Ryan Yates, Ibrahim Sangaré, Morgan Gibbs-White, James Mcatee, Xaver Schlager
- FW: Liam Delap
Glasner’s preferred 4-2-3-1 gives Delap the central striker role after leading Forest in shots over the last five matches. Gibbs-White and Mcatee are tasked with creating chances in the final third, though Forest’s overall goal output suggests they will need more from this front line than they have shown lately.
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Nottingham Forest. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Palace’s home comfort and sharper recent scoring form make them our pick to edge this one, perhaps by the odd goal. Forest’s defensive discipline issues, shown by their higher foul and card counts, combined with a striking conversion problem, leave them vulnerable against a Palace side that scored six times in their last five games. We expect goals at both ends given the history of tight scorelines between these two, but Selhurst Park should provide just enough of an edge for the hosts to get over the line.
