Liam Duckstein
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Two struggling London and Tyneside clubs meet at Selhurst Park with both sides desperate to stop the bleeding. Crystal Palace sit 14th after a stretch that has seen them ship goals for fun, while Newcastle arrive 11th having lost their last two matches without scoring. The quirk here is that neither team has found the net much lately, yet their head-to-head history tells a very different story, with Newcastle having hammered Palace 5-0 just last season. We predict this gap in recent meetings will weigh heavily on how both benches approach the game.
Yeremy Pino has been Palace’s spark in attack, netting three times across the last five matches despite his side’s collapse at the back. For Newcastle, Harvey Barnes carries the goal threat on the counter, firing six shots in his last two outings even if the finishing touch has gone missing.
Hot stat: Newcastle have scored just one single goal across their last five matches combined, a number that looks almost impossible for a club sitting 41% favourites here according to the bookmakers.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Selhurst Park, London |
| 🗓️ Date: | 25.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction
We’re leaning toward Newcastle avoiding defeat here, backed by Double Chance (Draw or Newcastle) rather than a straight moneyline punt. Palace have won only two of seven league games this season and their home form has been leaky, conceding 17 goals in just five outings. Newcastle’s attack is blunt right now, but their defensive record in this fixture specifically has been excellent, and that history matters more than the raw recent form suggests.
Palace foul more than Newcastle do in recent matches, 46 to 24 across the last five games, which hints at a side chasing the ball rather than controlling it. Both clubs have picked up seven yellow cards in that span, so referees won’t need to work overtime on discipline alone. Palace’s pass completion sits around 79%, lower than Newcastle’s near 85%, which to be honest tracks with Newcastle’s preference for patient circulation even when their final ball lets them down. Expect Palace to generate more corners given their attacking width, but fewer clean chances than the volume suggests.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Double Chance: Newcastle or Draw (X2) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Crystal Palace’s last five results read like a side in freefall: a 2-2 scramble against Besiktas, a humiliating 0-5 at home to Brighton, a 2-3 defeat to Lyon, a rare 3-1 win over Nottingham Forest, and a 0-2 loss to Bristol City. The Besiktas draw was their most recent outing and it summed up their season, conceding a late leveller after looking set for a result. In our preview of Besiktas vs Crystal Palace we called a home win for the Turkish side by around two goals, and the 2-2 result went against us, with Palace salvaging a point they barely deserved on the balance of play.
Newcastle head into this one off a 0-1 loss to Aston Villa, their second straight defeat without scoring, preceded by a 1-4 thrashing at Coventry, a 2-1 win over Hull, a 1-4 loss to Leeds, and a narrow 1-0 win against Millwall. The Villa defeat continued a pattern of games where Newcastle control spells of possession but can’t finish. In our preview of Newcastle vs Aston Villa we backed the visitors to win, and the 0-1 scoreline delivered that call comfortably, even though the BTTS angle we floated never materialized.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Crystal Palace | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 3 | 9 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Crystal Palace vs Newcastle stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Newcastle the favourite
- Moneyline Crystal Palace 2.90 | Newcastle 2.30
- Draw 3.60
Newcastle sit as clear favourites despite their wretched scoring form, and the odds reflect their stronger squad depth and superior head-to-head record rather than current momentum. Palace’s price around 2.90 looks fair given their home struggles, and we think the draw at 3.60 holds some appeal given how toothless both attacks have been lately. Perhaps the smarter route is avoiding goals markets altogether and focusing on the match outcome instead.
Possible Starting Lineups
Crystal Palace possible starting eleven
- GK: Walter Benítez
- DF: Tyrick Mitchell, Chris Richards, Jaydee Canvot, Oscar Mingueza
- MF: Adam Wharton, Jefferson Lerma, Daichi Kamada, Anan Khalaili, Yeremy Pino
- FW: Jörgen Strand Larsen
Pierre Sage should stick with his usual 4-2-3-1, with Wharton and Lerma shielding a back four that has leaked goals all season. Pino remains the player to watch given his three goals in the last five games, operating just behind Strand Larsen up top.
Newcastle possible starting eleven
- GK: Nick Pope
- DF: Sven Botman, Fabian Schär, Malick Thiaw
- MF: Lewis Hall, Joelinton, Joe Willock, Amar Dedić, Jacob Murphy, Nico González
- FW: Yoane Wissa
Matthias Jaissle looks set to continue with the back three in a 3-4-2-1 shape, with Hall and Dedić providing width from wingback. Wissa leads the line alone and needs more service than he’s been getting, while González pulls strings just behind him.
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Newcastle. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We expect a cagey, low-event game at Selhurst Park. Palace’s defense has been porous enough to concern even a misfiring Newcastle front line, but Newcastle’s own goal drought makes a one-sided scoreline unlikely. Our lean is Newcastle avoiding defeat, with a final score somewhere around 1-1 or a narrow 0-1 to the visitors feeling most probable. Backing under 2.5 goals alongside the Double Chance for Newcastle gives decent value without overreaching on a match where both sides have struggled to create clean chances recently.
