Alex MacQuoid
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Besiktas welcome Crystal Palace to the Tüpraş Stadium sitting fifth in the Europa League table with a perfect two from two, and honestly, the home side arrives with more rhythm than the Eagles right now. Vincenzo Italiano’s side have scored seven goals already in the competition, more than most clubs ranked above them, while Pierre Sage’s Palace limp in off the back of a chastening 0-5 defeat to Brighton that exposed just how thin their away form has become. There’s a neat subplot here too: Palace have won only one of their last five matches in all competitions, and that lone win arrived against a side nowhere near Besiktas’ current level, so the gap in confidence between these two squads feels wider than the bookmakers’ numbers suggest.
Orkun Kökçü has been Besiktas’ standout creator this season, already on two goals from three Europa League appearances, and his range of passing from deep midfield tends to unlock low blocks exactly like the one Palace might sit in. On the other side, Daichi Kamada has quietly produced two goals in three matches for Palace and remains their most reliable source of chance creation when the wide players go quiet. Watch both of them closely, they could decide this one on their own.
Hot stat: Besiktas have fired off 75 total shots in their last five matches compared to just 30 from Crystal Palace, a gap that says plenty about who’s dictating tempo and who’s being pinned back lately.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Tüpraş Stadium, Istanbul |
| 🗓️ Date: | 22.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Besiktas vs Crystal Palace prediction
We’re leaning Besiktas here, and not reluctantly either. A home side unbeaten through two Europa League matches, scoring freely, against a visitor that just shipped five without reply and has won once in its last five outings… that’s not a close call for us. Besiktas average over three goals per game in this competition so far, and Palace’s defensive numbers on the road have been shaky all autumn. We think a one or two goal margin for the hosts is the likeliest script, though Palace’s ability to nick a goal through Kamada or Pino keeps this from being a banker.
Stylistically, Besiktas commit fewer fouls per shot taken and keep the ball moving at a quicker tempo, evidenced by their 1978 passes attempted across the last five games against Palace’s 1258. Palace have drawn more yellow cards (6 to Besiktas’ 11, though over fewer fouls relatively), which hints at a side forced into reactive defending rather than controlling matches. Expect Besiktas to dominate possession early and Palace to sit deeper than they’d like, which usually opens space for second-half corners and late pressure.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Orkun Kökçü to score or assist |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Besiktas go into this one having lost their most recent fixture 0-2 away at Trabzonspor, a result that snapped a run of decent domestic form. Before that defeat, though, they’d won three straight, including a scrappy 3-2 win over Hoffenheim and a 2-1 edge against Kocaelispor, both games where they conceded goals but found enough at the other end to get over the line. That pattern, leaky but prolific, defines their last five matches almost perfectly: five goals conceded, seven scored. In our preview of Trabzonspor vs Besiktas we leaned toward a Besiktas win built around Vlahović and Kökçü’s attacking depth, but the 2-0 defeat (listed 0-2 from Besiktas’ side) went against that call, and the BTTS leg missed too since Besiktas failed to score. It’s a reminder that this attack can go cold against well-organized defensive setups, something Palace will hope to replicate.
Crystal Palace’s form tells a rougher story. That 0-5 collapse against Brighton was their heaviest defeat of the stretch, following a 2-3 loss to Lyon and a rare 3-1 win over Nottingham Forest sandwiched in between. Across their last five they’ve won just once, drawn once (a goalless stalemate with Leeds) and lost three times, shipping ten goals while scoring only five. In our preview of Brighton vs Crystal Palace we called for a comfortable Brighton win by two goals or more, and the eventual 0-5 scoreline delivered that prediction with room to spare, even if the BTTS angle we floated never materialized since Palace failed to register. Walking into Istanbul off that result, confidence can’t be high, and Sage will need a response fast before this slide turns into something harder to reverse.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two clubs haven’t actually met in any recent competitive fixture we could pull data on. This Europa League clash is effectively a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on, which honestly makes the current form lines even more important than usual.
🚨Check out our dedicated Besiktas vs Crystal Palace stats page for more info.
Crystal Palace. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Besiktas the favourite
- Moneyline Besiktas 2.06 | Crystal Palace 3.15
- Draw 3.78
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The market has Besiktas as clear favourites around 45% implied probability, and given how both sides have performed over the last month, that price actually looks a touch generous on the home side. Palace drifting out past 3.00 with most books feels fair considering their away struggles, and the draw sitting near 3.75-3.90 reflects a match most bookmakers expect to be decided by goals rather than stalemate. We’d happily back Besiktas at those odds, maybe even looking at a -1 handicap line if your book offers one with better value.
Possible Starting Lineups
Besiktas possible starting eleven
- GK: Alexander Nübel
- DF: Amir Murillo, Emmanuel Agbadou, Tiago Djaló, Ridvan Yilmaz
- MF: Wilfred Ndidi, Salih Özcan, Orkun Kökçü, Junior Olaitan, Ilhan Fakili
- FW: Oh Hyeon-gyu
Italiano should stick with his preferred 4-2-3-1, the shape that’s featured in every one of their last five matches. Nübel has started all four recent appearances tracked and gets the nod over Alemdar. The back four built around Djaló and Agbadou has looked solid without being flawless, while Ndidi’s defensive screening frees Kökçü to roam and create. Oh Hyeon-gyu leads the line with two goals from his last four outings, though Dušan Vlahović lurks as a dangerous option off the bench if the game opens up.
Crystal Palace possible starting eleven
- GK: Walter Benítez
- DF: Chris Richards, Jaydee Canvot, Oscar Mingueza
- MF: Tyrick Mitchell, Adam Wharton, Quinten Timber, Dwight McNeil
- FW: Yeremy Pino, Daichi Kamada, Jörgen Strand Larsen
Sage’s side have run with a 3-4-2-1 across their recent matches, and Benítez’s 10 saves across three starts suggest he keeps his spot ahead of Matthews despite the heavy concessions. Mitchell and McNeil provide the width from wing-back positions, with Wharton and Timber holding the midfield two. Up top, Pino and Kamada operate just behind Strand Larsen, and both have shown they can find the net when given room, something Besiktas’ high defensive line might inadvertently offer.
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Besiktas. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Besiktas to win this one, probably by a two-goal margin, maybe 3-1 or 2-0, with Palace’s defensive frailties on the road likely to show up again against a home attack averaging better than a goal and a half more per match over the last five fixtures. We wouldn’t be shocked if Palace nick one back through Kamada or Pino, but stopping the flow of chances Besiktas generate, 75 shots across five games doesn’t lie, feels like a big ask for a defense that just conceded five to Brighton. Our lean stays firmly with the hosts, backed up by both the underlying numbers and the raw momentum each side carries into Istanbul.
