Croatia (w) vs Ukraine (w) Prediction: 03.06.2025 UEFA Women's Nations League 2025 Preview

As the curtain draws on League B Group A4 action in the UEFA Women’s Nations League 2025, Croatia Women welcome Ukraine Women to Brann Stadion in Bergen. While on paper this may seem a foregone conclusion given both form and table positions, there lingers an intriguing subplot: Can Croatia salvage pride on the final day, or will Ukraine continue their clinical march towards promotion? It’s a fascinating test of resilience on one side and consistency on the other.

This clash will no doubt shine the spotlight on Olha Ovdiychuk for Ukraine—her attacking flair and clinical finishing have been instrumental this campaign—along with Croatia’s midfield anchor Kristina Nevrkla, who must marshal her side against waves of Ukrainian pressure. Both have quietly shaped their teams, setting the tempo and dictating play away from goalkeeper heroics.

Hot stat: Ukraine Women are undefeated in this league phase, boasting a commanding 80% winrate in 2025 and having scored in each outing—contrasting starkly with Croatia’s goal drought and leaky defence (17 conceded in five).

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Croatia (w) vs Ukraine (w) prediction

Let’s not mince words: Ukraine arrive in Bergen with the winning scent in their nostrils, and the statistics are emphatic. They’ve racked up 4 wins and a single draw in their last five, while the Croats have suffered defeat in every game, shipping goals with alarming regularity. Ukraine’s high-intensity 3-5-2 delivers both attacking clout (8 goals) and stability, whereas Croatia’s struggles in the 4-3-3 have led to only 2 goals scored and confidence in tatters.

Judging recent discipline, Ukraine average almost no yellow cards or fouls in their last matches—a sign of controlled aggression—while Croatia have shown occasional frustration, most recently picking up a yellow. Ukraine’s ability to win the ball and transition quickly, reflected in their high number of corners and shots, should see them dominate possession. Croatia’s inability to keep the ball in midfield (pass accuracy issues and few completed passes) has left their back line exposed repeatedly. As a result, the best value forecast in this match is firmly behind a Ukraine win, with a comfortable margin the likely outcome.

Team Analysis

Croatia (w) recent games:
It’s been a glum run for the Croatians. In their last five, they’ve fallen heavily twice against Czech Republic (4-0, 5-0) and struggled home and away to Albania (1-2 and 0-4). Their only goal in this stretch came courtesy of a dogged effort versus Albania, demonstrating offensive bluntness and fragile confidence at the back. The latest outing—a 0-5 walloping by Czech Republic—laid bare their defensive frailties, with the midfield unable to stem wave after wave of Czech attack, and ball retention proving elusive.

Ukraine (w) recent games:
By contrast, Ukraine’s journey has been upwards. Their roll has included a hard-fought 2-1 victory over in-form Albania, a resolute 1-1 draw with Czech Republic, and—most tellingly—a 2-1 win over these same Croatians in their first meeting. Last time out, they outshot Albania by a distance (15 total shots) and managed proceedings with tactical poise, using width and set pieces (11 corners!) to steady the game when needed. Zinchenko’s side have shown both resilience and a knack for late goals, underlining their credentials as group favourites.

🚨Read our full Croatia (w) vs Ukraine (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ukraine (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Croatia (w) 11.60 | Ukraine (w) 1.26
• Draw 4.95
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.70 | Under 2.5 2.05
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.60 | No 1.46

The odds reveal the gulf in class and momentum. Ukraine are overwhelming favourites at as low as 1.25 at some sites, while Croatia—winless and goal-shy—are out near double-digits. The goal markets suggest bookies anticipate Ukraine dominating play, with BTTS ‘No’ also heavily favoured, matching Croatia’s scoring woes and Ukraine’s defensive control. Over 2.5 goals appeals given Croatia’s tendency to concede heavily and Ukraine’s potent attack.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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The Verdict

There’s a certain inevitability about this fixture’s direction, given the gulf in form and confidence. Ukraine, with their pace, cohesion, and goal threat, enter as deserved favourites and seem primed to finish their group campaign in style. Croatia’s motivation should not be discounted—they’ll fight for pride and could disrupt Ukraine’s rhythm with early resistance—but across ninety minutes, Ukraine’s sharp press and movement should make the difference. Our main pick: Ukraine (w) to win comfortably, with at least a two-goal cushion looking likely. This match offers an illuminating window into both ends of a developing European football spectrum.

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