Como vs Inter Prediction: 23.05.2025 Serie A Preview

The buzz at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia is palpable ahead of Como’s clash with league giants Inter on the penultimate matchday of the Serie A season. While Inter charge into town battling for the Scudetto in a two-horse race, Como are carving out a remarkable narrative of their own, clinging tightly to a top half finish during their return to Italy’s top flight. The intrigue here isn’t just about contrasting ambitions; it’s about observing the chessboard moves of Cesc Fàbregas versus Simone Inzaghi. One side’s rising, the other’s defending its throne. Expect the midfield to be the battleground, with Como’s Maxence Caqueret and Inter’s Hakan Çalhanoğlu dictating the tempo and providing the game’s creative spark.

Notably, Como’s resurgence on home turf has been spearheaded by Gabriel Strefezza, who’s struck three goals in his last four Serie A appearances, while Inter’s Denzel Dumfries has surged forward, blending industrious wing play with an eye for goal and assists. One hot stat to keep in the back of your mind: Inter have scored 11 goals in their last five matches, doubling Como’s tally over the same period—testament to their forward firepower.

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Como vs Inter prediction

This match is set up for high drama, and the smart money is on Inter to emerge victorious. Despite a strong end-of-season uptick for Como—unbeaten in their last five with four impressive wins (including a 3-1 against Cagliari and 1-0 over Genoa)—Inter’s overall squad depth and recent attacking stats suggest they’ll edge this. Inter’s front line, marshalled by Thuram and Lautaro Martinez, has consistently damaged opposition in crucial moments, and their double-digit goal tally from the last five outings speaks volumes.

But let’s not overlook the midfield dynamics. Como average slightly less possession than Inter, with both teams hovering around 80/90% pass accuracy, but Inter’s seasoned campaigners (Barella, Çalhanoğlu) tip the scales with experience and physicality. Both sides maintain high pressure and similar foul counts (52 fouls in their last five each!), so expect battles and cards in abundance. Como’s recent proclivity for yellow cards (7 in five, with key men like Caqueret and Paz walking disciplinary tightropes) may come back to haunt them, especially with Inter’s pace on the counter.

Team Analysis

Como’s recent games:
Como have hit their best patch at exactly the right moment—undefeated in their last five, including a pair of clean sheets and an emphatic 3-0 thrashing of Lecce. Their latest result, a 1-1 draw at home to Verona, showcased stout defence but also hints at occasional struggles to convert control into goals. Strefezza remains their spark, while Cutrone’s movement will worry any defence. Importantly, their 4-2-3-1 offers both solidity and attacking width, and Cesc Fàbregas’s tactical acumen continues to make this team hard to break down.

Inter’s recent games:
Inter come into this off a pulsating 2-2 draw against Lazio, where their attack looked razor-sharp but questions linger defensively after leaking twice. Prior to that, they dispatched Torino 2-0 and were involved in two goalfests against Barcelona (4-3 win and 3-3 draw)—evidence of attacking verve but also vulnerability at the back. They too deploy a 4-2-3-1, with Thuram or Arnautovic as focal points. Inter’s wealth of options allows late tactical tweaks, and Inzaghi’s men are seasoned at grinding out high-pressure wins.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Como vs Inter stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Inter the favourite

• Moneyline Como 5.20 | Inter 1.60
• Draw 4.40
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.77 | Under 2.5 2.01
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.90 | No 1.89

Inter are installed as clear pre-game favourites by the market, and it’s little surprise. The odds present the Nerazzurri as a near-certainty, reflecting their superior squad, consistency over the season, and dominant head-to-head history. Como’s price is inviting, but their lack of firepower against top six opposition this term is a concern. The goals line—leaning over 2.5—suggests bookmakers (rightly) anticipate open football given both teams’ transitional strengths and recent high-scoring games. Both teams to score looks good value: Como are free-scoring at home, and Inter rarely fail to find the net.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Como possible starting eleven

Fàbregas favours a 4-2-3-1, relying on experience at the back through Goldaniga and Kempf, while Vojvoda and Valle push forward. The midfield’s blend of graft (Caqueret) and flair (Paz, Da Cunha) will be key. Strefezza has been on fire, and Cutrone’s energy links midfield and attack, with Douvikas a threat up front. Watch for Strefezza—his direct running and recent form make him Como’s X-factor.

Inter possible starting eleven

Inter’s 4-2-3-1 under Inzaghi is all about control and transitions. Sommer anchors the back, flanked by defensively solid, ball-playing defenders. Barella and Çalhanoğlu provide both steel and vision, while Dumfries and Dimarco will bomb forward, stretching Como. Martinez leads the line—his movement and finishing are world-class. Thuram’s link play and Dumfries’ prowess arriving late into the box are particular threats.

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My take on the Match

While Como have exceeded expectations and turned their home ground into a formidable fortress of late, Inter’s experience, squad depth, and firepower should be too much here. I’m tipping Inter to win, most likely by a two-goal margin, but Como’s attacking flair suggests they can grab a goal. If anyone’s likely to spring a surprise, it’s Strefezza—so a late goal from Como wouldn’t shock me. But Inter’s rhythm, tactical flexibility, and recent history make them deserved favourites.

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