With both Como and Cremonese riding identical win rates into this Serie A showdown at the historic Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, expectations are quietly swelling for an under-the-radar thriller on the banks of Lake Como. Under the watchful guidance of Cesc Fàbregas, Como are enjoying a fresh breeze of confidence, sitting just behind their visitors in the table by a solitary point. Both sides have showcased steely resolve and solid structure in the early stages of the campaign, yet recent performances hint that margins could be razor-thin. An intriguing detail: both clubs have favoured the modern 4-2-3-1 formation for their last five matches, suggesting a strategic chess match awaits between two ambitious dugouts.
This match draws added intrigue from dynamic midfielder Nicolás Paz, whose creative spark has lit up Como’s attack, and Filippo Terracciano of Cremonese, a versatile defender whose tireless work rate is quickly making waves in Italian football.
The ‘Hot Stat’? Como have thundered in six goals and conceded just three in their last five outings—doubling Cremonese’s tally over the same period. Attack is thriving under Fàbregas.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2025/26, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como |
| 🗓️ Date: | 27.09.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
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Como vs Cremonese prediction
The bookmakers have thrown their hats in favour of Como, giving them a clear edge—a perspective echoed by their attacking verve and home advantage. Cremonese’s rise has been built on defensive discipline and an uncanny knack for stubbornly eking out results, but question marks hover over their attacking output, with just three goals scored in the last five matches. The most judicious value appears to lie with a Como win, while the under 2.5 goals market looks tempting given Cremonese’s record of resilient, low-scoring games.
Both sides have shown a willingness to scrap—Como have amassed 9 yellows in five, while Cremonese are even more combative with 4, but their foul count is surprisingly restrained compared to Como’s 57. Ball retention could swing the tie: Como’s 85% pass accuracy in recent matches dwarfs the visitors’ 80%, suggesting a midfield battle that Como are well-equipped to control. Set-pieces and corners have played an outsize role for Como (16 corners to Cremonese’s 9); expect these moments to have a say in the final scoreline.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Como -1 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Como recent games:
Como’s past month reads like a club relishing its Serie A return—two wins, a draw, and a narrow defeat. Their most striking performance came last time out, dispatching Sassuolo 3-0 with authority: solid defending, quick transitions spearheaded by Nicolás Paz and Jesús Rodríguez, and tangible threat from set-pieces. Prior, they ground out a 2-1 victory over Fiorentina and held Genoa to a draw, blending youthful fearlessness with disciplined pressing. Their solitary loss (to Bologna) came despite dominating much of the possession and territory. This is a side with growing swagger, shifting quickly through the gears, and notching six goals in the last five fixtures.
Cremonese recent games:
Cremonese remain undefeated in their last five, but goals have been in short supply. Their most recent clashes ended 0-0 against both Verona and Parma—clean sheets but also evidence of frontline hesitancy. Their 3-2 triumph over Sassuolo, however, showed a flash of their attacking ceiling, with Franco Vázquez and Terracciano coming to the fore. Previous draws and their robust 43% win rate this year suggest consistent solidity rather than flourishes of brilliance. Davide Nicola has drilled this unit to stay compact and force mistakes, but their attack has yet to click into higher gear.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Como | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 6 | 3 |
| Total shots | 59 | 20 |
| Free kicks | 16 | 9 |
| Corner kicks | 16 | 9 |
| Total fouls | 57 | 31 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 85 | 80 |
| Interceptions | 26 | 12 |
| Offsides | 3 | 7 |
🚨Read our full Como vs Cremonese stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Como the favourite
- Moneyline Como 1.51 | Cremonese 6.35
- Draw 4.26
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.71
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.25 | No 1.72
Como’s status as firm favourites is unambiguous: home advantage, a scoring touch, and the sharper form guide underpin their odds. Cremonese’s hefty 6.35 speaks to questions over their goal threat. The draw price of 4.26 reflects Cremonese’s ability to frustrate, but the under 2.5 at 1.71 is where shrewd punters will be looking, given both sides’ recent defensive resilience and Cremonese’s stuttering attacking return. “Both teams to score: No” also feels astute, with Como’s back four increasingly miserly at home.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
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Possible Starting Lineups

Como possible starting eleven
- GK: Jean Butez
- DF: Alberto Moreno, Marc-Oliver Kempf, Álex Valle, Ivan Smolcic
- MF: Nicolás Paz, Maxence Caqueret, Sergi Roberto, Maximo Perrone, Jesús Rodríguez
- FW: Álvaro Morata
This selection leans heavily on Fàbregas’ lately-preferred 4-2-3-1, blending experience with mobility in the back four. Watch for Nicolás Paz to orchestrate transitions and Rodríguez to dart into pockets behind Morata, while Marc-Oliver Kempf’s set-piece prowess is a prominent threat.
Cremonese possible starting eleven
- GK: Emil Audero
- DF: Filippo Terracciano, Matteo Bianchetti, Giuseppe Pezzella, Federico Baschirotto
- MF: Franco Vázquez, Michele Collocolo, Alberto Grassi, Warren Bondo
- FW: Jari Vandeputte, Antonio Sanabria
Nicola will likely opt for the 4-2-3-1 that keeps things narrow and combative in midfield. Terracciano gets the nod at full-back for his surges, and Vázquez’s creative spark will be key if Cremonese are to spring a surprise on the break. Keep an eye on Vandeputte’s movement across the front line.
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Cremonese. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
The Verdict
We’re sensing a measured, professional display from Como. Their pressing and set-piece superiority should gradually force holes in Cremonese’s disciplined lines. Expect the midfield trio to dictate tempo and Morata’s experience to prove the X-factor, especially as Cremonese begin to tire late on. Cremonese will defend deep and look for the odd counter, but the numbers, recent eye test, and home support all point towards a Como victory—perhaps by a methodical 2-0 scoreline.
