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Celtic vs Hibernian Prediction: 27.09.2025 Scottish Premiership Preview

25.09.2025, 15:19

On Saturday, as the Scottish Premiership’s regular season continues, table-toppers Celtic host Hibernian at Celtic Park. While both clubs are familiar contenders, the early formbook paints a clear divide: Celtic have yet to lose in league play, while Hibernian are searching for momentum after a slow start. Historically, this matchup frequently favors the hosts — but Hibernian’s attacking output in recent games adds an unpredictable factor. Two key players to watch will be Kelechi Iheanacho, Celtic’s new forward already scoring twice in three appearances, and Martin Boyle, whose pace and recent goal for Hibernian has added a sharper edge to their transitions. Note that neither side has had a player sent off in their last five outings, hinting at focus rather than rashness in crucial encounters. The “hot stat”: Hibernian have amassed 11 yellow cards in their last five games, more than any other top five team — a trend with direct implications for bookings-related bets.

10:00Finished27.09.2025
0CelticScotland
0HibernianScotland
🏆 Tournament: Scottish Premiership 2025/26 Regular Season
🏟 Venue: Celtic Park, Glasgow
🗓️ Date: 27.09.2025
⏰ Time: 17:00 CEST

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Celtic vs Hibernian prediction

Given the current data and form, the best value bet is Celtic -1.5 Asian Handicap. Celtic’s potent home form (four wins, one draw, only one goal conceded so far in the league) contrasts sharply with Hibernian’s struggling away performances, especially against higher-ranked opposition. Hibernian’s defensive lapses — 7 goals conceded in just 4 league games — and a consistently high cards tally increase the likelihood of them being overrun, especially as fatigue sets in during the second half.

Tactically, Celtic under Brendan Rodgers will likely dominate possession at home, leveraging a 4-2-3-1 formation that encourages broad attacking play but is disciplined enough to avoid unnecessary cards or fouls (averaging just six yellows in their last five). Hibernian play a fluid 4-3-3, with wide forwards tracking back, but their elevated cards and fouls (averaging 2.2 yellow cards and nearly 9 fouls per match recently) may see them drop aggressively into a lower block — stifling, but susceptible to technical midfielders like Callum McGregor. On corners, Hibernian’s recent numbers (27 in last five) suggest they will force the issue even while sitting back, so an over-corners market is attractive as a side bet.

🔥Hot Tip: Celtic -1.5 Asian Handicap
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

Team Analysis

Celtic’s last five matches saw them score seven goals and concede just three, with their 4-0 dispatching of Partick Thistle the standout. A 1-1 draw against Champions League-level Crvena Zvezda revealed defensive composure; only a single goal allowed against a high-powered attack underscores their discipline. In the most recent league match, Kelechi Iheanacho led the line effectively, while wingers like Benjamin Nygren were heavily involved (10 shots in five games). Celtic average 11.2 shots and 3.2 corners per match, reflecting their intent to dictate play and test opposing keepers relentlessly.

15:00Finished24.09.2025
1CelticScotland

Hibernian’s form is shakier: only four league games played, with a single win, three draws, and seven goals both scored and conceded. Their latest result — 0-2 at home to Rangers — revealed vulnerability at the back, especially to quick passing moves and set-pieces. Defensively, Rocky Bushiri scored twice across recent matches but has also been one of the key culprits in the fouls and cards department. Hibernian’s 4-3-3 looks mobile but yields too much space behind full-backs, and the high yellow card count (11 in five games) signals a squad making up for positional weaknesses by tactical fouling.

12:45Finished20.09.2025
2RangersScotland
0HibernianScotland

Possible Starting Lineups

Celtic possible starting eleven

  • GK: Kasper Schmeichel
  • DF: Kieran Tierney, Cameron Carter-Vickers, Liam Scales, Anthony Ralston
  • MF: Callum McGregor, Reo Hatate, Paulo Bernardo, Arne Engels
  • FW: Benjamin Nygren, Kelechi Iheanacho

This projected 4-2-3-1 takes into account most-used players in recent games. Schmeichel’s experience in big matches is critical at the back; Tierney and Carter-Vickers offer both technical and defensive solidity. In attack, Nygren’s penetration and Iheanacho’s finishing make Celtic a clear threat. The midfield pairing of McGregor and Hatate should give Rodgers flexibility in both ball retention and pressing.


Hibernian possible starting eleven

  • GK: Jordan Smith
  • DF: Rocky Bushiri, Warren O’Hora, Jack Iredale, Grant Hanley
  • MF: Dylan Levitt, Josh Mulligan, Jamie McGrath
  • FW: Kieron Bowie, Martin Boyle, Junior Hoilett

Hibernian’s core will likely remain a 4-3-3 given Gray’s preference for width and midfield runners. Bushiri, despite disciplinary concerns, anchors the back line. In midfield, Levitt and Mulligan provide energy, while McGrath links to the attackers. With Boyle and Hoilett wide, the attack is built for counter-attacks — but a deeper, more compact approach is likely here given the opposition.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Celtic Hibernian
Free kicks 14 13
Corner kicks 6 4
Total fouls 11 14
Pass accuracy (%) 89 84
Interceptions 9 11
Offsides 3 2

🚨Read our full Celtic vs Hibernian stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Celtic the favourite

  • Moneyline Celtic 1.30 | Hibernian 8.00
  • Draw 5.00
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.58 | Under 2.5 2.30
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.78 | No 1.92

Bookmakers overwhelmingly back Celtic, and for good reason. Their 71% average win probability — supported by market odds around 1.30 — reflects dominant league form and historical home advantage in this fixture. Hibernian’s long odds mirror their inconsistent results and defensive frailties. The over 2.5 goals market is moderately priced, hinting at expectations for attacking play but also factoring Celtic’s low goals conceded. BTTS is nearly even, reflecting Hibernian’s frequent goal involvement, but their last away performance suggests Celtic could keep a clean sheet.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Hibernian. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo

Hibernian. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo


The Verdict

The numbers point to a strong Celtic victory, likely with a clean sheet given their recent defensive performances and Hibernian’s tendency to commit fouls in transition. My main pick is Celtic -1.5 Asian Handicap at current market odds — a bet that balances small payout with strong win probability. Expect Hibernian to rack up bookings as they attempt to disrupt Celtic midfielders, but their offense may struggle for clear chances if Celtic maintain discipline and tempo control. Any result apart from a Celtic multi-goal win would register as a significant shock.

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