Cavalry vs Supra Du Quebec Prediction: June 29, 2026 Canadian Premier League

Cavalry sit second in the CPL 2026 standings with 8 points from 4 games, unbeaten so far this season. Supra Du Quebec arrive at ATCO Field in Foothills County having played one fewer match, sitting third on 6 points with two wins and one loss. The gap in standings is narrow, but Cavalry’s home record and longer run in the league give them a clear structural edge. One detail worth noting: Supra’s only loss this season came against Atletico Ottawa, a side that Cavalry beat 3-1 on the road, which says something about the relative strength of these two squads right now.

Keep an eye on Cavalry’s attack as a unit. They have scored 6 goals in 4 matches, the joint-highest output alongside HFX Wanderers, and have yet to concede a lead that cost them points. For Supra, their forward line has been productive too, netting 5 goals in 3 games, so Supra Du Quebec’s striker will be one to watch against a Cavalry backline that has conceded 3 times already. On the other side, Cavalry’s midfield creative players will be key in breaking down a Supra side that has shown vulnerability when pressed, losing to a strong Atletico Ottawa team.

Hot stat: Cavalry have scored in every single one of their last 5 matches in this competition, netting at least 2 goals in three of those outings, including back-to-back 3-1 wins over Pacific and Atletico Ottawa.

Cavalry vs Supra Du Quebec Prediction

The bookmakers price Cavalry at roughly 66% implied probability to win, and we agree that a Cavalry home win is the most likely outcome. They are unbeaten in 4 CPL games this season, they are at home, and their long-term form across 15 recorded results shows a winning record. Supra, with only 3 matches played, are still finding their rhythm in the league. Their 67% win rate looks impressive but is built on a small sample, and they have not yet faced a top-two side at away ground.

We predict a Cavalry win, and the value sits in backing them on the Asian handicap or in a combined market rather than the flat moneyline, which offers limited return at around 1.36-1.41. The most interesting angle is Cavalry to win and both teams to score, given Supra’s attacking numbers and Cavalry’s slight defensive softness. Supra have scored in 2 of their 3 games, and Cavalry have conceded in at least 2 of their 4, so goals at both ends are realistic.

Cavalry under Tommy Wheeldon Jr. tend to play a high-energy, direct style with quick transitions. Their foul count across recent games suggests they press actively and are not afraid to disrupt play in midfield. Supra under Jeff Strasser, a coach with a European defensive background, likely set up more compactly, which could slow the game down and generate free kicks in dangerous areas. This tactical contrast makes a moderate-tempo match likely, with Cavalry dominating possession and Supra looking to break.

Team Analysis

Cavalry have been consistent in 2026. Their 4-match unbeaten run in the CPL includes a 3-1 win over Pacific, a 1-1 draw with York United, a 0-0 draw against Forge (the league leaders), and a 3-1 win over Atletico Ottawa. The draw against Forge shows they can hold their own against the best in the league. Their most recent match, a 3-1 home win over Pacific, saw them control the game comfortably. Across their longer form record, Cavalry show a pattern of occasional draws mixed with wins, rarely losing in bunches. Their last recorded loss came before a strong stretch of results.

Supra Du Quebec have played 3 CPL matches and shown a sharp attacking output. Their last match was a 3-1 win over Woodbridge Strikers, which came just a day after Cavalry’s most recent result. Before that, they beat HFX Wanderers 2-1 in a competitive game, which shows they can grind out wins against physical opponents. Their only loss, 0-1 to Atletico Ottawa, came early in their CPL campaign. With only 3 games of data, their form line of W-L-W is positive but limited. Their 5 goals in 3 games is an encouraging attacking stat, though their 4 goals conceded suggests some defensive fragility.

🚨Check out our dedicated Cavalry vs Supra Du Quebec stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Cavalry the Favourite

• Moneyline Cavalry 1.36-1.41 | Supra Du Quebec 6.25-7.60
• Draw 4.10-4.60
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

Cavalry’s moneyline is very short across the board, ranging from 1.33 at Cloudbet and Everygame to 1.41 at BetFury. At these prices, flat win betting offers poor value. The draw at 4.10-4.60 and Supra at 6.25-7.60 reflect the gap in experience and home advantage accurately. Pinnacle, typically the sharpest book, prices Cavalry at 1.36 and Supra at 7.25, suggesting the market sees very little realistic chance of a Supra win. The best odds on Cavalry come from Bet365 at 1.40, and the best draw price is at Pinnacle with 4.58. For punters looking for value, the BTTS Yes market or a Cavalry win combined with over 1.5 goals is the smarter play than the raw moneyline.

Possible Starting Lineups

Cavalry Possible Starting Eleven

Cavalry are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 or 4-5-1 shape depending on Wheeldon Jr.’s tactical read. Marco Carducci remains the clear starter in goal. Callum Montgomery brings experience at right back, and Tom Field anchors the center of defense. In midfield, Maël Henry and Mihail Gherasimencov provide the engine, with Elijah Adekugbe offering creativity. Up front, Tobias Warschewski is the target man and Ali Musse the pace threat on the wing. Warschewski is worth watching given Cavalry’s tendency to score in bunches at home.

Supra Du Quebec Possible Starting Eleven

Jeff Strasser will likely deploy a 4-3-3 or a compact 4-4-2 to stay organized away from home. Maxime Crépeau is the expected starter between the posts. Samuel Piette is the key defensive midfielder and will look to disrupt Cavalry’s rhythm in the center of the park. Ballou Tabla and Mathieu Choinière offer pace and technical quality in the attacking third. Anthony Jackson-Hamel is Supra’s most experienced striker and the man most likely to punish any defensive lapse from Cavalry. His ability to hold up play and bring others into the game makes him the primary threat to watch.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Cavalry are the right side to back here. They are unbeaten in 4 CPL games, scoring 6 goals, playing at home, and facing a Supra side with only 3 matches of top-flight CPL experience this season. The 66% win probability assigned by bookmakers aligns with what the form and standings suggest. We predict a Cavalry win, with both teams scoring. Supra have the attacking quality to get on the scoresheet, but Cavalry’s home record and goal output make them the clear favorite to take all three points.

To be honest, the flat Cavalry moneyline at 1.36-1.41 is not worth chasing on its own. The smarter market is Cavalry to win and BTTS Yes, which combines two realistic outcomes into a better-value package. Over 2.5 goals is also worth considering given both teams have averaged over 1.5 goals per game in their recent CPL fixtures. We predict a 2-1 or 3-1 scoreline in Cavalry’s favor.

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