Levi Rothermund
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This one sits right at the bottom of the Bundesliga table, and honestly, there isn’t much glamour to dress it up with. Gladbach are rock bottom with zero points from five games. Hoffenheim aren’t far ahead at 17th, picking up a single win all season. The interesting wrinkle here is that both sides have leaked goals at an alarming rate lately, which makes this fixture less about who wins and more about how many go in.
Andrej Kramarić remains Hoffenheim’s creative heartbeat, pulling strings from the number 10 slot even when results go against him. On the other side, Isac Lidberg has looked sharper than most of his Gladbach teammates recently, scoring in his limited minutes and giving the hosts a focal point up top.
Hot stat: Gladbach have shipped at least three goals in three of their last four matches across competitions, including a brutal 0-5 defeat away at Freiburg. That defensive record is arguably the worst of any side in the division right now.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Bundesliga 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach |
| 🗓️ Date: | 18.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:30 CEST |
Borussia Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim prediction
We think the smarter angle here isn’t the match-winner market at all. Both teams concede freely, and neither has shown any sign of tightening up defensively in weeks. Gladbach have let in 18 goals in five league games. Hoffenheim aren’t much better at minus-4 on goal difference, and their away form has been shaky too. Goals at both ends feels like the value play, maybe paired with the total staying high.
Style-wise, Hoffenheim control possession far more comfortably, averaging close to 440 passes a game at roughly 83% completion, compared to Gladbach’s rougher 80% on a much smaller passing volume. Hoffenheim also foul more (66 fouls across five games against Gladbach’s 29) and pick up more cards, which hints at a side that presses higher and risks more contact. That aggression, combined with Gladbach’s leaky back line, points toward an open game rather than a cagey one.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hoffenheim to win & BTTS – Yes |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Gladbach’s last five results read like a relegation warning sign: a 1-2 loss to Köln, a 1-1 draw with St. Pauli, a 3-0 cup win over lower-league Siegen, a wild 3-4 defeat to Mainz, and the 0-5 hammering at Freiburg. Strip out the Siegen result against weaker opposition and the pattern is clear, Gladbach simply cannot keep teams out. In our preview of FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach we leaned toward Köln winning with goals at both ends, and the 1-2 final score backed that call up.
Hoffenheim haven’t fared much better. Four straight losses before this week, against Besiktas (2-3), Hamburger SV (2-3), Paderborn (1-3) and OFI Crete (0-2), only broken by a 2-1 win over Stuttgart further back. The attack still shows up most weeks, but the defense keeps handing games away late. In our preview of Hoffenheim vs Besiktas we backed Besiktas to avoid defeat with goals at both ends, and the 2-3 scoreline landed exactly that way.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Borussia Monchengladbach | Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings, total) | 11 | 10 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Borussia Monchengladbach vs Hoffenheim stats page for more info.
Borussia Monchengladbach. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hoffenheim the favourite
- Moneyline Borussia Monchengladbach 3.40 | Hoffenheim 1.87
- Draw 3.90
Bookmakers have Hoffenheim as clear favorites despite their own poor run, largely because Gladbach’s defensive collapse has been even worse. A near 50% implied probability for the away side at Borussia-Park is steep, but given Gladbach sit winless and pointless through five rounds, it’s hard to argue against it. We’d still treat the draw price with some respect though, since Hoffenheim have struggled to close out games cleanly themselves.
Possible Starting Lineups
Borussia Monchengladbach possible starting eleven
- GK: Moritz Nicolas
- DF: Joe Scally, Ko Itakura, Fabio Cristian Chiarodia, Lukas Ullrich
- MF: Philipp Sander, Jan Leszczynski, Florian Neuhaus, Wael Mohya, Robin Hack
- FW: Isac Lidberg
Blessin sticks with the 4-2-3-1 that’s been his go-to shape lately. Neuhaus is the one to watch in the number 10 role, he’s chipped in with a goal in limited minutes and tends to drive Gladbach’s tempo. Lidberg leading the line alone puts a lot on his shoulders given how little service the midfield has created recently.
Hoffenheim possible starting eleven
- GK: Oliver Baumann
- DF: Ozan Kabak, Koki Machida, Vladimír Coufal, Mats Rots
- MF: Wouter Burger, Leon Avdullahu, Andrej Kramarić, Bambasé Conté, Tim Lemperle
- FW: Fisnik Asllani
Ilzer also favors 4-2-3-1, with Kramarić pulling the strings behind Asllani, who already has a goal and an assist in his last four appearances. Burger and Avdullahu shield the back four, though both have picked up cards recently, which matches Hoffenheim’s higher foul count overall.
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Hoffenheim. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We’re leaning toward Hoffenheim getting the win here, mainly because their attack, even in defeat, keeps finding the net, while Gladbach’s defense has become close to unwatchable. That said, Hoffenheim’s own defensive issues mean a clean sheet feels unlikely, so BTTS and a high-scoring total both look like sound supporting picks. A scoreline somewhere around 2-3 or 1-3 wouldn’t surprise us at all. Our main lean stays Hoffenheim to win with both teams scoring, backed by over 2.5 goals.
