Levi Rothermund
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Dortmund sit second in the Bundesliga table, just a point off Bayern, and they get to defend that spot at home against a Frankfurt side that has been wildly inconsistent this autumn. Niko Kovac’s men have won four of six league games so far, but their defense has been leaky in patches, something that oddly mirrors Frankfurt’s own problem at the other end of the pitch.
The interesting wrinkle here is Frankfurt’s travel record against bigger clubs this season. They shipped six at RB Leipzig just two matches back, yet bounced straight into a tidy 1-0 win over Köln. Adi Hütter’s group is a team of extremes right now, and Dortmund’s home form at Signal Iduna Park rarely tolerates sloppy visitors.
Watch Serhou Guirassy up top for Dortmund. He has two goals in his last four appearances and remains the focal point of Kovac’s attack, feeding off service from Jobe Bellingham and Joey Veerman. On the Frankfurt side, Younes Ebnoutalib has been a bright spark, scoring in the rout of Braunschweig and giving Hütter’s side a direct outlet on the counter.
Hot stat: Frankfurt conceded six goals in a single match against RB Leipzig just two games ago, the heaviest defensive collapse of their season and a red flag heading into a trip to a Dortmund side that has scored eleven in six home league outings.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Bundesliga 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund |
| 🗓️ Date: | 24.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:30 CEST |
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
We think Dortmund win this one, but not necessarily comfortably. Bookmakers have them at roughly 65% to win, and the underlying numbers back that up. Still, Frankfurt have shown they can score against decent sides, drawing 2-2 with Freiburg and putting three past Dortmund themselves in their last Bundesliga meeting back in April. Our lean is Dortmund to win and both teams to score, rather than a clean Dortmund shutout.
Dortmund’s shot volume dwarfs Frankfurt’s across the last five games, 62 attempts to 33, and their passing accuracy sits well clear too. Discipline wise, Dortmund have picked up more fouls and cards than Frankfurt recently, which is a touch unusual for a home favourite, and it hints at a physical edge Kovac wants his side to play with. Frankfurt’s lower foul count partly reflects less time on the ball, not necessarily a cleaner approach. With both sides racking up corners at a decent clip, set pieces should matter here too.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Dortmund win & BTTS – Yes |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Dortmund’s last outing was a 2-1 win over Sabah Baku, a result that kept their winning habit going even if it was tighter than expected against a side on a decent run of its own. Before that they drew 0-0 with Union Berlin and beat Bodo Glimt 0-1 away, so the pattern lately is solid without being dominant, four wins, one draw, one loss in their last six across competitions. In our preview of Sabah Baku vs Borussia Dortmund we leaned toward Dortmund winning by two or more while the game went over 2.5 goals, and the eventual 2-1 scoreline covered the goals line but fell short on the margin, so that call went against us on the handicap side.
Frankfurt’s most recent result was a composed 1-0 home win over Köln, a rare clean sheet given how often they have leaked goals this campaign. Before that came the 0-6 hammering at Leipzig and a 4-0 win over Braunschweig, so Hütter’s side swings between flat defensive days and explosive attacking ones depending on the opponent in front of them. In our preview of Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Köln we backed goals at both ends and an over 2.5 total, but the match finished a tight 1-0, so that particular lean missed.
🚨Check out our dedicated Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Borussia Dortmund the favourite
- Moneyline Borussia Dortmund 1.48 | Eintracht Frankfurt 5.25
- Draw 5.00
The market is heavily tilted toward Dortmund, and honestly the numbers make sense given the table positions, 14 points against 8, and the fact Dortmund have lost just once in their last six outings. Frankfurt’s price above 5.00 reflects their shaky defensive record on the road more than their attacking ability, which has actually looked lively at times this season.
Possible Starting Lineups
Borussia Dortmund possible starting eleven
- GK: Gregor Kobel
- DF: Julian Ryerson, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini
- MF: Felix Nmecha, Marcel Sabitzer, Jobe Bellingham, Joey Veerman, Fábio Silva
- FW: Serhou Guirassy
Kovac keeps faith with the 4-2-3-1 that has carried Dortmund through most of October. Guirassy leads the line alone, with Bellingham and Veerman rotating between creating and arriving late into the box. Nmecha and Sabitzer shield the back four, a pairing that has held up well defensively in recent weeks.
Eintracht Frankfurt possible starting eleven
- GK: Noah Atubolu
- DF: Robin Koch, Lilian Brassier, Elias Niklas Baum
- MF: Keita Kosugi, Mario Götze, Raphael Onyedika Nwadike, Timothy Chandler
- FW: Ritsu Doan, Can Yilmaz Uzun, Jonathan Burkardt
Hütter sticks with his back three and 3-4-2-1 shape, trusting Koch and Brassier to organize the defense while Kosugi and Chandler provide width from wing back. Doan and Uzun operate just behind Burkardt, and Doan’s set piece delivery in particular could be a weapon against a Dortmund side that concedes its fair share of fouls near goal.
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Eintracht Frankfurt. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We land on Dortmund to win, but we are not convinced it will be a shutout. Frankfurt have scored in three of their last five matches and have taken points off Dortmund before, including that 3-2 win back in April. Our punters team leans toward Dortmund winning with both sides finding the net, and we’d rather take that combination than lay Dortmund at short odds alone. Maybe it gets nervy in the final twenty minutes, but the home side’s squad depth and table position should see them through.
