Levi Rothermund
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Leverkusen welcome Stuttgart to the BayArena on the back of a 5-2 romp over Nürnberg, and honestly, the home crowd should expect goals again. Stuttgart arrive having lost two of their last three, and the weird part is that the two sides haven’t split evenly in recent meetings either. Stuttgart actually won both Bundesliga clashes between these clubs last season, 3-1 and 4-1, so there’s history here that complicates the “clear favourite” narrative a bit.
Patrik Schick has been Leverkusen’s standout figure lately, scoring four goals across his last five appearances with a goal every 87 minutes on average. On the other side, Ermedin Demirović has carried Stuttgart’s attack almost single-handedly, netting three times in five games despite his side’s patchy form. Both strikers look sharp enough to decide this one on their own.
Here’s a stat worth sitting with: Leverkusen have won five of their last six matches in all competitions, an 83% winrate, and scored multiple goals in four of those five wins. Stuttgart, meanwhile, have won just two of their last five, with a draw and two losses mixed in. The gap in current momentum is wider than the table suggests.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Bundesliga 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 31.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:30 CEST |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart prediction
We lean toward Leverkusen winning this one, but not by a landslide margin. Their home form and attacking output (13 goals in five matches) look a notch above what Stuttgart’s leaky back line can handle on the road. Still, Stuttgart score goals too, Demirović and Undav have combined for five in their last five games, so we’re not expecting a shutout.
Leverkusen have committed 65 fouls and picked up 11 yellow cards across their last five matches, a touch more aggressive than Stuttgart’s 61 fouls and 8 cards in the same span. Passing numbers favor the visitors slightly on raw accuracy (88% vs Leverkusen’s 88.5%, basically a wash), but Leverkusen generate far more shots per game, 20.2 versus Stuttgart’s 18.4. That shot volume, paired with Stuttgart’s suspect defending away from home, nudges us toward goals at both ends rather than a cagey 1-0.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Patrik Schick to score anytime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Leverkusen’s last outing was that 5-2 demolition of 1. FC Nürnberg, with Schick again at the center of things. Before that, there was a surprising 0-3 home defeat to Hoffenheim, which looked like a blip rather than a trend given the three straight wins before it, including a 2-1 away win at Freiburg and a comfortable 4-0 over Lech Poznan. In our preview of Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg we backed Leverkusen to win with goals flowing, and the 5-2 scoreline delivered exactly that, with an extra goal or two thrown in for good measure.
Stuttgart’s form reads messier. Their most recent match was a 1-0 win away at Paderborn, a result that steadied things slightly after a 2-3 defeat to Borussia Mönchengladbach and a 1-1 draw with Atletico Madrid. Before that stretch, there was a 0-1 loss to Hamburger SV, a result that still looks odd on paper given Hamburg’s own struggles this season. In our preview of Paderborn vs Stuttgart we called a Stuttgart win, and the 1-0 result landed on that front, even if the goals dried up compared to what we expected.
🚨Check out our dedicated Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bayer Leverkusen the favourite
- Moneyline Bayer Leverkusen 1.78 | Stuttgart 3.80
- Draw 4.35
Books have Leverkusen around 53% to win, which tracks with their superior current form and home advantage at the BayArena. The draw price near 4.35 looks fair given how open both sides tend to play, neither team has shown much interest in parking the bus lately. We think the market slightly underrates Stuttgart’s away odds given their recent win at Paderborn, but Leverkusen’s attacking numbers at home still make them the sharper side to back.
Possible Starting Lineups
Bayer Leverkusen possible starting eleven
- GK: Mark Flekken
- DF: Lucas Vázquez, Edmond Tapsoba, Jarell Quansah, Miguel Gutiérrez
- MF: Aleix García, Equi Fernández, Jonas Hofmann, Malik Tillman, Ibrahim Maza
- FW: Patrik Schick
Carles Martínez has leaned on a settled 4-2-3-1 all season, and most of these names have played every minute of the last five fixtures. Schick leads the line alone up top, with Maza and Tillman rotating freely behind him. Watch Aleix García too, he’s contributed two assists from deep midfield and dictates tempo better than anyone else in that engine room.
Stuttgart possible starting eleven
- GK: Fabian Bredlow
- DF: Lorenz Assignon, Ramon Hendriks, Jeffrey Chabot, Finn Jeltsch
- MF: Angelo Stiller, Atakan Karazor, Bilal El Khannouss
- FW: Chris Führich, Jamie Leweling, Ermedin Demirović
Sebastian Hoeneß also sticks with a 4-2-3-1, with Stiller and Karazor shielding the back four and El Khannouss pulling strings further forward. Demirović remains the focal point in attack, his three goals in five matches make him the one Leverkusen’s defenders need to track closest. Führich and Leweling add pace on both flanks, which could stretch a Leverkusen back line that has looked occasionally loose this season.
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Stuttgart. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We’re backing Bayer Leverkusen to win this one, with goals at both ends likely given how open both attacks have looked recently. Schick carries the kind of form that punishes a Stuttgart defense that’s conceded in four of its last five outings. Our punters team isn’t expecting a blowout though, Stuttgart have enough firepower through Demirović to make things uncomfortable for stretches. A 2-1 or 3-1 finish for the hosts feels like the realistic range here, and over 2.5 goals combined with BTTS Yes covers the most likely outcomes without overreaching.
