Sofia Quijada
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Athletic Bilbao welcome Getafe to San Mames sitting 13th in La Liga, a strange spot for a club with European ambitions, while Pepe Bordalas’ side arrive 15th having scored only five goals in nine league games. Both clubs find themselves punching below their usual weight this season, and the recent head to head record between them leans heavily defensive, with three of the last four meetings finishing 0-0, 0-1 or 0-2. The interesting wrinkle here is that Athletic have scored just once in their last five matches despite generating 30 shots, a conversion rate that even a leaky Getafe defense might survive.
Alex Berenguer stands out as Athletic’s most dangerous attacker right now, the only player from the squad to find the net in the last five matches and a constant source of set piece deliveries with six free kicks taken. On the other side, Martin Satriano carries Getafe’s attacking burden almost alone, leading the squad with 12 shots across four matches, though only one goal to show for it, which says plenty about the service he gets.
Hot stat: Athletic Bilbao have scored a single goal from 30 shots across their last five matches, the worst conversion rate of any side currently inside the top half of attacking volume in La Liga.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2026/2027, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | San Mames Stadium, Bilbao |
| 🗓️ Date: | 25.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 14:00 CEST |
Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe prediction
We predict Athletic Bilbao edge this one by the odd goal, most likely 1-0 or 2-1. Getafe have not won away this season and have scored just five league goals in nine matches, a return that makes it hard to trust them against a side that, despite its own struggles in front of goal, concedes very little at home. To be honest, backing Athletic with under 3.5 goals offers cleaner value than the outright price alone given how tight recent meetings between these two have run.
Getafe’s numbers paint a picture of a team that fouls often and takes risks defensively, averaging 42 fouls and 12 yellow cards across their last five outings compared to Athletic’s 25 fouls and 5 cards in the same span. That discipline gap matters at San Mames, where a settled Athletic back line has conceded sparingly, and it raises the chance of Getafe picking up cards and conceding free kicks in dangerous zones. Athletic’s pass accuracy and ball retention also look tidier on paper, which should let them dictate tempo even without being ruthless in front of goal.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Athletic Bilbao to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Athletic Bilbao’s form guide shows a club that cannot find consistency, mixing results across their recent run with more losses than wins in the middle stretch before stabilizing lately. Their last match ended 1-3 away to Levante, a result that stings given Levante’s own inconsistent form, though before that a goalless draw with Valencia and a tight 1-0 win over Real Sociedad showed defensive solidity even when the attack stalls. In our preview of Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao we backed Athletic to win away, and the 0-0 result went against that call, though the under 2.5 goals side of our pitch did land.
Getafe’s recent form reads even worse on the scoreboard, with zero wins in their last four matches and a 33% winrate across the current campaign. Their last outing was a 2-5 collapse against Lugano, a game where they conceded five without ever threatening to control proceedings. In our preview of Getafe vs Lugano we called for Lugano to avoid defeat and for goals at both ends, and the 2-5 scoreline delivered on both counts, with BTTS and over 2.5 landing comfortably.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Athletic Bilbao | Getafe |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 3 | 4 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletic Bilbao the favourite
- Moneyline Athletic Bilbao 1.56 | Getafe 6.00
- Draw 3.95
The market is clear on this one, with Athletic priced as heavy favourites and Getafe sitting above 6.00 on most books, a gap that reflects Getafe’s away form and goal output this season. We find the Athletic price fair rather than generous given their own scoring struggles, and would rather play the double chance or a clean sheet market than chase the outright price blind.
Possible Starting Lineups
Athletic Bilbao possible starting eleven
- GK: Unai Simon
- DF: Aymeric Laporte, Yeray Alvarez, Aitor Paredes, Yuri Berchiche
- MF: Inigo Ruiz De Galarreta, Mikel Jauregizar, Peio Canales, Benat Gerenabarrena
- FW: Inaki Williams, Alex Berenguer
Terzic’s 4-4-2 relies on Laporte marshalling the back line and Berenguer providing the main creative spark out wide. Inaki Williams’ pace up front stays the biggest threat on the counter, and his movement against a Getafe side that pushes bodies forward could be decisive.
Getafe possible starting eleven
- GK: David Soria
- DF: Dakonam Ortega Djene, Jean Ives Valou, Johan Mojica, Kiko Femenia
- MF: Nemanja Gudelj, Ramon Terrats
- AM: Francho Serrano Gracia, Andres Garcia, Mario Martin Rielves
- FW: Martin Satriano
Bordalas sticks with his usual 4-2-3-1, leaning on Gudelj and Terrats to shield the back four while Satriano leads the line almost in isolation. Francho Serrano’s distribution from the attacking midfield slot will need to be sharper than it has been to give Getafe any foothold here.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Getafe. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We lean towards Athletic Bilbao here, backed by a stronger home record, tighter discipline and a Getafe side that has not won in four and conceded 11 goals over its last five. Perhaps Athletic’s own blunt attack keeps the scoreline low, but a 1-0 or 2-1 home win feels like the most probable outcome. Our desk rates the under 2.5 goals and Athletic win combo as the sharpest value on the board, with Getafe’s travel struggles and poor scoring record working against any upset hopes.
