Liam Duckstein
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Arsenal host Hull at the Emirates with the league leaders looking to extend a near-perfect start to the season. The interesting angle here is Hull’s stubbornness: five draws in nine matches make them the Championship-style draw specialists of this Premier League season, and only one of their last ten league games has ended in defeat. Arsenal, though, have beaten better sides than Hull this term, and the gap in quality across every metric is stark. This looks like a question of margin rather than outcome.
Two players shape this fixture. Viktor Gyökeres has two goals and three assists in his last five appearances and gives Arsenal the direct running that draws fouls high up the pitch. For Hull, Oliver McBurnie is the outlet: two goals and an assist in four games, plus a free-kick goal, and he will feed on any set-piece chance Hull can manufacture.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Emirates Stadium, London |
| 🗓️ Date: | 07.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:00 CEST |
Arsenal vs Hull prediction
We predict Arsenal to win and cover a two-goal handicap. The league leaders have conceded just five goals in nine matches, won eight of them, and have beaten Liverpool and Slavia Prague in the past week without looking stretched. Hull’s defensive block is organised and they rarely lose by much, but their attack produces very little: 11 goals in nine games, and none of their recent opponents outside the bottom half have been truly punished.
The style clash favours the home side heavily. Arsenal average high possession numbers with 84% pass accuracy across their last five matches, while Hull sit deep and concede territory, completing only 847 passes at 53% accuracy in the same span. Hull also foul more (49 to Arsenal’s 42) and give up corners, which plays straight into Arsenal’s strength from set pieces, where Gabriel and Saliba remain dangerous. Expect Arsenal to dominate the ball, force Hull’s back line into repeated clearances, and eventually break through. Hull’s best hope is a low-scoring grind, and even that requires McBurnie to hold the ball up far better than he has managed away from home.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Arsenal to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 corners |
Team Analysis
Arsenal arrive in outstanding form: eight wins in their last ten matches, unbeaten in the league since the opening weeks, and fresh from a 2-1 Champions League win over Slavia Prague followed by a 1-0 defeat of Liverpool. The defensive machine is the story. Five goals conceded in nine league games, with Raya rarely worked, gives Arteta’s side the platform to attack without risk. In our preview of Slavia Prague vs Arsenal we called a comfortable Arsenal win with a clean sheet, and the 2-1 result delivered the win but went against us on the shutout. The attack is more collective than explosive, spread across Gyökeres, Eze and Madueke, which makes Arsenal hard to plan against.
Hull sit 11th with 11 points from nine games, built almost entirely on draws: five of them, including 2-2 finishes against Ipswich and Everton and a 1-1 with Brentford. Their last outing was a 2-2 home draw with Ipswich, a game they led twice through McBurnie’s influence before conceding late. In our preview of Hull vs Ipswich we called a tight, level contest with both teams scoring, and the 2-2 result delivered it. Away from home, though, Hull have not won in this run, and their pass accuracy of 53% suggests they struggle to keep the ball under pressure. Jakirovic will set up in the same 4-2-3-1 shape and hope for a set-piece moment.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
The teams have no recent competitive meetings on record, so there is no meaningful head-to-head trend to lean on for this fixture.
🚨Check out our dedicated Arsenal vs Hull stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal the favourite
- Moneyline Arsenal 1.14 | Hull 17.00
- Draw 7.60
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.45 | Under 2.5 2.60
- BTTS Yes 2.10 | No 1.70
The market agrees with the table: an 82% implied probability for Arsenal is fully justified by form, squad depth and home record. The draw at 7.60 is the trap option given Hull’s draw habit, but Arsenal have drawn only twice all season and neither against a side this limited. Value sits in the Asian handicap around -2 rather than the short moneyline.
Possible Starting Lineups
Arsenal possible starting eleven
- GK: David Raya
- DF: Ben White, William Saliba, Gabriel Magalhães, Myles Lewis-Skelly
- MF: Martin Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Martin Odegaard
- FW: Bukayo Saka, Viktor Gyökeres, Eberechi Eze
Arteta has rotated in Europe but the league side picks itself when fit. Zubimendi anchors, Rice and Odegaard create, and Gyökeres leads the line with Eze and Saka providing width and cutting inside. The 4-2-3-1 shape has been used in all of the last five matches, and Gabriel’s threat from corners is worth noting against a side that concedes territory. Saliba and Calafiori may rotate depending on the midweek load.
Hull possible starting eleven
- GK: Dillon Phillips
- DF: Lewie Coyle, Semi Ajayi, John Egan, Ryan Giles
- MF: Regan Slater, Tim Iroegbunam, Matt Crooks
- FW: Mohamed Belloumi, Oliver McBurnie, Joe Gelhardt
Jakirovic sticks with the 4-2-3-1 that has earned most of Hull’s points. McBurnie is the focal point with Belloumi’s dribbling the main creative outlet, while Slater and Iroegbunam do the screening work in front of a back four that will spend most of the afternoon defending its own box. Gelhardt’s energy gives Hull something in transition, but the numbers say their possession game will not survive at the Emirates.
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Hull. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Everything in the data points one way. Arsenal lead the league with 24 points, a 14-5 goal record, and wins over Liverpool, Everton and Bayern-level opposition in recent weeks. Hull have not beaten anyone outside the bottom half all season and have drawn five times because they defend deep and rarely score enough to win. Arsenal’s pressing will force turnovers, their set pieces will test a Hull defence that concedes corners, and the over 2.5 goals line at around 1.45 offers better value than the 1.14 moneyline. Our main call is Arsenal -2 on the handicap, with Arsenal to win both halves as the hot tip. Hull to keep it respectable is possible, but a clean home win to nil is the most likely scoreline shape here. Back the hosts with confidence.
