Liam Duckstein
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Andorra host Gibraltar at the Estadi de la FAF on Friday night in a League D Group 1 fixture that carries real weight for both sides. Malta sit top of the group, and neither Andorra nor Gibraltar can afford to drop points carelessly. The hosts sit on a single point, while Gibraltar hold two after a pair of draws.
Both teams have played cautious football in recent weeks. Gibraltar have not lost in their last four matches, which is a rare stretch of stability for a side that often struggles to win. The most interesting detail is that the last meeting between these two ended 0-0, so the teams already know how to frustrate each other.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League D Group 1 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadi de la FAF, Andorra |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.11.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:45 CEST |
Andorra vs Gibraltar prediction
We predict a draw as the best value on this card. Bookmakers price the draw at around 3.05, which implies roughly 31% probability. That number looks fair to us, and the teams have a clear habit of splitting points. Gibraltar have drawn three of their last four, and the head-to-head record shows a stalemate in September.
Andorra are the favourite, but their recent results do not back up that price. The hosts have won only one of their nine matches this year, and they have not picked up a win in the last 30 days. Gibraltar have shown more resilience, so a home win at 1.78 offers little value for us.
Both sides look more likely to keep a clean sheet than to trade goals. Andorra have struggled to find the net in their recent defeats, and Gibraltar have repeatedly played low-scoring games. We expect a tight contest with few chances, which fits the under line.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Andorra arrive after a difficult run, and their last outing was a narrow 0-1 home defeat to Malta. That result came on the back of a 1-2 loss to the same opponent, so the hosts have been competitive without managing to finish their chances. Their defensive numbers are the main concern, with three defeats in their last four matches.
To be honest, Andorra have little margin for error at home. A draw against Gibraltar would be a useful result for them, but the squad has to create more than it has recently.
Gibraltar come into this game on the back of a 2-0 win over Liechtenstein, which was their most convincing performance in this run. Before that, they recorded a 1-1 draw with Malta and a 0-0 draw with Andorra. Perhaps the most telling sign is that they have avoided defeat in four straight matches, collecting one win and three draws in that spell.
Gibraltar are a side that protects its shape well, and they rarely give away chances. That approach suits a visit to Andorra, where a point would keep them within touching distance of the top of the group.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Andorra | Gibraltar |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
The most recent meeting ended 0-0 in the UEFA Nations League 2026/27 group stage. The teams also met in a September 2024 friendly, which Gibraltar won 1-0.
🚨Check out our dedicated Andorra vs Gibraltar stats page for more info.
Gibraltar. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Andorra the favourite
- Moneyline Andorra 1.78 | Gibraltar 5.23
- Draw 3.05
Andorra are priced as the favourites with an implied probability near 56%, which sits above the bookmaker average of 51%. The draw at 3.05 is the most attractive price for us. Gibraltar at 5.23 offer a reasonable return, but their away form does not justify a bet on a win. We see the draw as the most realistic outcome.
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Andorra. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a 1-1 draw at the Estadi de la FAF, with the draw as our main pick. Andorra have the home advantage, but their recent scoring output has been poor. Gibraltar have shown they can hold firm, and their three draws in the last month suggest a side that is hard to beat.
Our pick is the draw, with under 2.5 goals as the supporting selection. Expect a cagey first half and a late chance or two.
Read also: Nations League Betting Tips: 6 Expert Picks — 12-14 November
