Anderlecht vs Gent Prediction: 23.09.2025 Pro League 2025/26 Preview

There’s always added intrigue when two historic Belgian clubs cross swords, and Anderlecht’s date with Gent at Lotto Park has the hallmarks of a tightly contested Pro League encounter. Both sides have shared an identical start to the campaign, sitting on eleven points from seven matches each—yet the difference in momentum between these teams is palpable. Anderlecht are looking to shake off a poor winless run, while Gent aim to extend their recent burst of strong form. This contest not only bears significance for league positioning, but also for the tone each side sets as the regular season unfolds.

Eyes will inevitably be drawn toward Wilfried Kanga for Gent, who’s netted twice in his last three games and brings a blend of pace and predatory instinct—a handful for any back four. Anderlecht’s Luis Vasquez stands as their key threat, responsible for their only goal in the last five matches, and his movement off the last defender could tilt the balance if he gets service. However, both midfields pack subtlety and steel, making the central areas a real battleground tonight.

The ‘hot stat’? Anderlecht may have tallied just a single goal in their last five matches, but remarkably, they’ve amassed twenty corner kicks in that run. Set pieces could thus play a far more outsized role than the goalscoring charts suggest—a point Gent would do well to heed.

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Anderlecht vs Gent prediction

Given recent trends, the best value here lies with the double chance on Gent—either a draw or away win. Anderlecht have failed to win any of their last four outings, notching only one goal in that spell, while Gent have strung together an unbeaten three-match run with two wins. Gent’s increased attacking output (six goals across their last five matches compared to Anderlecht’s single strike) puts them in pole position for at least a point. Yet Anderlecht’s home discipline—reflected in decent defensive numbers and a penchant for racking up corners—means we shouldn’t be quick to write them off on their own turf.

Both outfits favour the 4-2-3-1, and their recent stats bear out their philosophies. Anderlecht’s high number of yellow cards (15 in five matches!) signals a side not averse to tactical fouls, which could easily break up Gent’s rhythm. Conversely, Gent’s superior pass accuracy and penchant for ball progression (38 shots and 23 interceptions in their last five) point toward a proactive approach. With fouls and bookings likely to mount, expect a bitty affair punctuated by set pieces and moments of individual flair. The balance of play may tip towards Gent should they keep their composure in the final third.

Team Analysis

Anderlecht: Their recent results make for grim reading—a pair of respectable stalemates (0-0 Antwerp, 1-1 Genk), followed by a goal-shy defeat to Royale Union SG (0-2) and AEK Athens (0-2). Most telling is the steep drop in attacking output; just one goal scored in five. Still, defensively they’ve managed to keep things relatively tight at home. Most interestingly, wide players like Cesar Huerta have drawn fouls and carved out a whopping four yellow cards, offering some bite even in a tough spell. You sense that if Anderlecht are to reverse this feeble streak, it’ll hinge on a set piece or a bit of magic from the likes of Vasquez or Hazard.

Gent: Leko’s side are enjoying a proper purple patch, highlighted by their recent 3-0 demolition of Dender. Factor in a clutch win over Antwerp (2-1) and a credible point against Club Brugge (1-1), and this is a team brimming with confidence and verve. Wilfried Kanga has led the line with real menace, not only with his goals but his ability to win free kicks and stretch defences. Gent’s midfield has also grown in influence—Samoise and Kadri are chipping in with both goals and assists, making their transitions from defence to attack decisive. Their away record shows more resilience than in seasons past, which could prove crucial in this tricky assignment.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Anderlecht vs Gent stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Anderlecht the favourite

• Moneyline Anderlecht 0.00 | Gent 0.00
• Draw 0.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 0.00 | Under 2.5 0.00
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 0.00 | No 0.00

Despite identical point tallies, historical reputation sees Anderlecht installed as slight favourites by the bookies. Yet the underlying numbers tip the value Gent’s way—current form, superior goalscoring in recent weeks, and a far more settled attacking unit all make the case for an away result compelling. Factor in Anderlecht’s recurrent discipline issues and shot-shyness, and it’s no surprise most analytics nod toward Gent avoiding defeat here.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Anderlecht possible starting eleven

• GK: Colin Coosemans
• DF: Killian Sardella, Lucas Hey, Ludwig Augustinsson, Ali Maamar
• MF: Marco Kana, Enric Llansana, Mario Stroeykens
• FW: Cesar Huerta, Thorgan Hazard, Luis Vasquez

The line-up above reflects Hasi’s faith in continuity and a settled back four, anchored by Lucas Hey’s composure and Augustinsson’s marauding runs. In midfield, Kana and Llansana provide tenacity and control, while the attacking trio—Huerta, Hazard, and Vasquez—are likely to interchange to disrupt Gent’s lines. Hazard, in particular, could play a pivotal role drifting in from wide and testing Gent’s full-backs. Expect a familiar 4-2-3-1 designed to stifle and strike on the break.

Gent possible starting eleven

• GK: Davy Roef
• DF: Siebe Van Der Heyden, Maksim Paskotsi, Jean-Kevin Duverne, Samuel Kotto
• MF: Omri Gandelman, Atsuki Ito, Abdelkahar Kadri
• FW: Matisse Samoise, Wilfried Kanga, Michał Skóraś

Ivan Leko’s options have grown as form and fitness converge; Roef is a safe pair of hands, while the likes of Van Der Heyden and Paskotsi offer solidity at the back. The trio of Gandelman, Ito and Kadri in midfield has delivered balance, frequently springing runners like Samoise (who bagged a recent goal) and Skóraś. Kanga leads the line and will be the danger man in Gent’s attack. The shape? Expect a flexible 4-2-3-1, with wing-backs pushing high when Gent sense weakness.

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My take on the Match

Given the ebb and flow leading into this clash, Gent’s improved attacking sharpness gives them an edge—draw no bet covering possible late drama. There’s enough evidence to suggest that Anderlecht’s frontline will continue to struggle in open play, and unless they poach an early one from a corner or set piece, Gent’s compact shape and clever transitions may prove decisive. Still, expect a physical, competitive fixture not shy of cards and tactical intrigue! A 1-0 away win wouldn’t surprise, but a pragmatic 1-1 seems the likeliest scenario—with set pieces front and centre in determining the outcome.

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