Alavés vs Sevilla Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Copa Del Rey Match - 17.12.2025

The Copa Del Rey returns with a compelling Round of 32 matchup between Alavés and Sevilla on December 17, 2025, at Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz. Both sides approach this fixture seeking to progress in Spain’s storied domestic cup, with kickoff scheduled for 22:00 CEST. Under the guidance of Eduardo Coudet and Matías Almeyda respectively, these teams have shown resilience and tactical nuance in recent weeks. Alavés, buoyed by home support and confidence from a notable win over Real Sociedad, hope to leverage their 4-2-3-1 structure; Sevilla, deploying a disciplined 4-1-4-1, aim to translate cup momentum into another deep run. The venue promises intensity—Estadio de Mendizorroza has hosted its share of dramatic Copa moments and is set to be feverishly atmospheric on this crucial evening.

Among the pivotal players to watch, Carlos Vicente of Alavés has contributed decisively in attack, while Akor Adams for Sevilla is a consistent threat with sharp movement and finishing skills. Their performances are likely to shape the match narrative.

Hot stat: Sevilla have notched up 8 goals in their last five outings—demonstrating the firepower that makes them a constant threat in knockout formats.

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Alavés vs Sevilla predictions

Me best bet: Both Teams To Score – Yes.
Rationale: Both clubs show tactical ambition and attacking intent, illustrated in recent matches where Alavés scored against the likes of Real Sociedad and Real Madrid, and Sevilla tallied four goals past Real Oviedo. Neither team’s defense inspires unshakeable confidence. Alavés have conceded in all of their last five matches, while Sevilla have managed only one clean sheet in the same span. Given their formations and tendency to push wide players forward, expect opportunities at both ends. The odds value aligns with the offensive trends and moderate defensive records. This selection is optimal for value and probability.

Statistical profile: Alavés favor a compact, direct style, reflected in their modest possession but high intensity—90 total fouls and 13 yellow cards over the past five games show physical play that sometimes leaves defensive gaps. Sevilla, meanwhile, favor technical ball control (2,327 passes completed in the last five) yet are susceptible to transitions, as evidenced by 13 yellows and 70 fouls. Set pieces could play a role, with Sevilla earning 31 corners recently (vs Alavés’ 21).

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Alavés vs Sevilla Most recent H2Hs

Historically, these two teams are tightly matched—evidenced by their last three encounters, where neither managed to win by more than a single goal. Their last meeting saw Sevilla edge Alavés 2-1 in La Liga, countered by a 1-1 draw prior, and Alavés’ 2-1 victory the season before. Each clash has reflected balance in midfield duels, resilience in defense, and the ability of both teams to strike on the break—making this cup tie even harder to call and likely determined by moments of individual quality.

🚨Read our full Alavés vs Sevilla stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Sevilla have scored in four of their last five away games across all competitions.
• Alavés have netted three or more goals in two of their last four home cup ties.
• Sevilla’s matches average nearly 10 corners per game in the last five fixtures.
• Both teams average over 13 fouls per game, suggesting potential for cards and broken rhythm.
• Pass accuracy is nearly even (Alavés 81 percent, Sevilla 82 percent last head-to-head), which could underline a contested midfield battle.

Alavés vs Sevilla score prediction: 1-2

Given the attacking profiles and historical tightness of this fixture, a 2-1 win for Sevilla is the predicted outcome. Akor Adams’ pace and cutting edge could exploit spaces left by Alavés’ attacking fullbacks, while Carlos Vicente remains a key creative outlet for the hosts. Expect both sides to create chances, but Sevilla’s recent Cup experience and slightly higher technical quality in midfield may prove decisive.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Alavés the favourite

The market slightly favors Alavés, likely due to home advantage and Sevilla’s patchy away form in domestic play. However, odds on both teams are close, indicating bookmakers’ uncertainty and implying value for those seeking upset scenarios. Over/under and BTTS odds reflect the expectation for a balanced encounter, with both defenses vulnerable and attack lines in good form. If you are seeking greater variance, the draw could also attract attention.

Alavés vs Sevilla Over/Under Analysis

• Alavés have seen over 2.5 goals in three of their last five games.
• Sevilla matches have gone over 2.5 goals in four of their last five fixtures.
• Expect a dynamic tempo early, with possible goal-scoring opportunities from set pieces and transitions.
• With both sides averaging 12 plus shots per match, attacking output appears sustainable.

Alavés Preview

Fresh from a dramatic 1-0 victory against Real Sociedad, Alavés enter this tie on a cautious but optimistic note. Prior to that, a 1-2 loss against Real Madrid showcased flashes of their attacking prowess, with Vicente and Boyé proving constant threats. Their defense, while resilient in stretches, was breached by both top-tier (Barcelona, Madrid) and mid-table (Celta Vigo) opposition. Notably, Alavés’ ball recovery stats (52 interceptions last five games) highlight a midfield capable of disrupting possession and launching rapid counterattacks.

Sevilla Preview

Sevilla approach the Round of 32 buoyed by a resounding 4-0 victory over Real Oviedo, after securing a hard-fought 1-1 draw versus Valencia. Their attacking line, led by Akor Adams and Chidera Ejuke, has proven effective, while midfield orchestrators like Lucien Agoumé add balance and creative impetus. Recent matches, including a 2-1 win over Extremadura, reflect the side’s ability to manage transitions and capitalize on opponent mistakes, though frailties remain defensively, with 2+ goals conceded in two of their last five.

Our prediction: Who Wins?

On behalf of the TipsGG team, our main pick for this match is a narrow Sevilla win, with a final scoreline of 2-1. Our dedicated AI prediction engine gives Sevilla a 37 percent win probability, with Alavés at 35 percent, and a 28 percent chance for a draw—showcasing just how finely balanced this contest is.
Expect a high-paced battle with moments of quality from both sides. Sevilla’s collective experience, combined with fresh attacking impetus, tips the balance ever so slightly in their favor. Nevertheless, Alavés’ compact approach and home atmosphere ensure this will be fought for every inch.

How to watch Alavés vs Sevilla

• When? December 17, 2025. Kick-off at 22:00 CEST.
• Where? Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain.
• How to watch: Check national broadcasters or live stream on RTVE Play/DAZN (ES) or designated streaming partners.
• Favorite: Alavés

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