Alavés vs Osasuna Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2024/25 Match - 24.05.2025

On May 24, 2025, at 22:00 CEST, La Liga’s Regular Season presents an intriguing showdown as Deportivo Alavés welcomes CA Osasuna to Estadio de Mendizorroza in Vitoria-Gasteiz. This fixture, emblematic of Spanish football’s depth and tactical heritage, holds particular relevance for both mid-table teams aiming to finish the season on a high and potentially influence the composition of next year’s top tier. Under the stern guidance of Eduardo Coudet, Alavés strives to make home advantage count, while Vicente Moreno’s Osasuna, boasting a stronger win rate this month, travel with momentum and a sharp eye on European places.

For Alavés, midfield anchor Ander Guevara combines tireless industry with surprising forward forays, providing the transition link, while left-back Nahuel Tenaglia — versatile and intelligent-will challenge Osasuna’s wide play. On the visitors’ side, striker Ante Budimir’s sharp movement and recent three-goal haul make him the player to watch around the penalty area, closely supported by playmaker Aimar Oroz, whose vision and technical prowess have unlocked defences all season.

An outstanding stat emerges from Osasuna’s recent form: they have scored eight times in their last five matches, more than double Alavés’ tally, underlining their current attacking verve and hinting at potential fireworks.

🏅Best bets for Alavés vs Osasuna at Thunderpick with a Welcome offer +100% up to 600€💰

Alavés vs Osasuna predictions

Me best bet: Osasuna Draw No Bet. The visitors’ higher winrate in recent weeks (67 percent vs Alavés’ 50 percent), combined with a nearly twice as many goals scored (8 vs 3), and solid away performances, gives them a marginal edge. Alavés’ defensive solidity at home is notable, but Osasuna’s balanced 4-4-2 system and consistency against varied opposition hint that Vicente Moreno’s men have the tactical flexibility to secure at least a draw — if not a narrow away win.

On style of play, both squads prefer structured, defensively sound approaches. Fouls and cards are prominent: Alavés have accumulated 14 yellow cards in five matches — an average of nearly three per game while Osasuna are less physical, with nine yellows. Ball control tips slightly in Osasuna’s favour; their mid-table pass accuracy (over 83 percent) and better ball retention help them sustain pressure. However, Alavés’ more physical style-87 fouls can stifle rhythm but potentially concede set pieces, inviting danger from Osasuna’s clinical attackers. Expect a tight, tactical contest where patience and discipline could prove decisive.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Best bets this month available at Thunderpick

Alavés vs Osasuna Most recent H2Hs

Their previous encounter in La Liga ended 2-2, underlining the parity between these two sides. Generally, Osasuna have displayed more creativity in the final third, reflected in their recent higher shot and goal outputs, whereas Alavés have relied heavily on set-piece opportunities and compact defending.

🚨Read our full Alavés vs Osasuna stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Osasuna boast a current three-match winning streak, a testament to their late-season form.
• Alavés have lost just once at home in their last five, underscoring their resilience at Mendizorroza.
• Ante Budimir has scored in three of Osasuna’s last five fixtures.
• Alavés’ last three home games have all featured under 2.5 goals.
• Both teams average over five corners per game, offering value in corners markets.

Alavés vs Osasuna score prediction: 0-1

Given Osasuna’s sharper attack and recent form spike, this match has the makings of a narrow away victory. Budimir’s movement will challenge the slower Alavés defence, while Oroz’s set-piece quality could be decisive. Alavés have struggled to convert chances recently, and with Osasuna’s disciplined midfield, expect clear opportunities to be rare. Osasuna to edge it, thanks to their attacking efficiency and cooler heads under pressure.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Osasuna the favourite

• Moneyline Alavés 3.20 | Osasuna 2.41
• Draw 3.20
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.30 | Under 2.5 1.62
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.98 | No 1.80

Bookmakers and analytics give Osasuna a slight edge (40 percent win probability vs 30 percent for Alavés). The high odds on a home win reflect Alavés’ inconsistency, while Osasuna’s stability and away record temper expectations. The preference for Under 2.5 in the markets mirrors both clubs’ low-scoring tendencies lately.

Alavés vs Osasuna Over/Under Analysis

• Four of Alavés’ last five matches ended under 2.5 goals.
• Osasuna have scored two goals in each of their last three matches, but typically in tight contests.
• With both teams showing defensive focus, a low total is again likely.

Alavés Preview

Alavés come into this match after back-to-back 1-0 victories — over Real Valladolid and Valencia — demonstrating defensive improvement but continued offensive struggles. Prior to that, a narrow defeat to Athletic Bilbao and a goalless draw with Atletico Madrid reinforced the side’s reliance on defensive discipline. The absence of effective finishing in attack remains a concern. Eduardo Coudet’s likely strategy will rest on transitional play and exploiting set-pieces.

Osasuna Preview

Osasuna, unbeaten in four and winners in three, carry real attacking momentum to Vitoria. Their 2-0 wins over Espanyol and Atletico Madrid showcased adaptability and attacking verve, while a 1-1 with Real Betis demanded defensive resilience. Budimir’s scoring form and Oroz’s creativity provide threats in open play and set situations. Coach Moreno is likely to keep faith in his 4-4-2 structure, prioritizing balance across phases.

My take on the Match

The TipsGG expert verdict: Osasuna to win. Their blend of defensive reliability and offensive edge puts them just ahead in this tactical duel. We assign a 42 percent winning probability to Osasuna (AI engine), with the remaining probability split almost evenly between a draw and an Alavés upset. Expect a chess match, but the visitors’ form and finishing quality look decisive.

How to watch Alavés vs Osasuna

When?
Kick-off: 24.05.2025, 22:00 CEST
Where?
Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz
How to watch: Regional broadcasters, La Liga TV, and scheduled live streams on major football platforms.
Favorite: Osasuna

Best football betting sites and Bonuses

More useful links for football fans

• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG