Zambia vs Comoros Prediction: 26.12.2025 Africa Cup of Nations 2025

Group A action at the Africa Cup of Nations 2025 sees Zambia and Comoros face off at the iconic Stade Mohamed V in Casablanca. Both sides enter this fixture facing immediate pressure: neither has secured a win in the group so far, and tournament ambitions rest on the outcome of this clash. Zambia, coming off a battling draw against Mali, seek to rediscover their spark, while Comoros strive to overturn a poor run of form and claim precious points after a disappointing opener. What makes this match intriguing is their recent history—Comoros have upset Zambia twice in the last two years, bringing added tension to this encounter.

In this anticipated battle, keep a close eye on Patson Daka for Zambia. Daka remains the focal point of their attack, netting Zambia’s crucial equaliser versus Mali and consistently leading the line with high work rate. For Comoros, Faïz Selemani stands out; despite a lack of goals recently, his creativity and ability to unlock tight defenses will be pivotal if the islanders want to spring another surprise.

A “hot stat” from the last five matches: Comoros have amassed a staggering 48 fouls to Zambia’s 13, highlighting their robust, sometimes reckless, defensive approach—something bettors and fans alike should factor into their predictions.

🏅Best bets for Zambia vs Comoros at N1Bet with a Welcome offer 120% up to 600$💰

Zambia vs Comoros prediction

The best value prediction here is a Zambia win (Asian Handicap -0.25 or Draw No Bet Zambia), with reasoning heavily informed by both teams’ recent results, tactical setups, and underlying stats. Zambia, while winless in their last two, showed defensive improvement in their hard-fought 1-1 draw with Mali. Comoros, conversely, have lost four of their last five and struggled significantly against teams of similar calibre.

Looking deeper, Zambia tend to retain more possession and defend more cohesively, reflected in a higher pass accuracy (301 completed passes to Comoros’s 1205 in their last five combined, with 301 per match being surprisingly functional given their defensive shape). Their fouls count is substantially lower, suggesting a more disciplined approach—critical for avoiding set-piece dangers.

Comoros, on the other hand, have been indisciplined, conceding six yellow cards and 48 total fouls in just five games, partly contributing to their leakage of goals and set-piece vulnerabilities. Their attack does show spark—thirty shots to Zambia’s seven recently—but these have yet to convert into match-winning efforts. Comoros’ penchant for counter-attacks and disruptive pressing could make for a cagey encounter.

Team Analysis

Zambia – Recent Performance & Last Match Analysis:
Zambia’s last match saw them earn a gritty 1-1 draw versus Mali—an outcome that can serve as a springboard for improvement. Patson Daka’s poacher’s finish salvaged a point, but the Zambians managed only seven shots and struggled for consistent threat. Defensively, they showed notable composure and tactical discipline, incurring just one yellow card, limiting space, and slowing Mali’s transitions. However, their inability to create chances from open play remains a concern, as does a general lack of cohesion in midfield link-ups.

Comoros – Recent Performance & Last Match Analysis:
Comoros entered AFCON with defensive frailties apparent, suffering a 0-2 defeat to Morocco in their opener. Despite an early flurry of chances, Comoros failed to convert, finishing with 30 shots but undermined by poor accuracy and decision-making in the final third. Disciplinary issues were prominent—six yellow cards and a slew of fouls suggested frustration and tactical disarray. Their pressing game, while energetic, left gaps that Morocco exploited. Increasing composure under pressure and better execution in transition will be essential if they are to overcome a disciplined Zambia side.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Zambia vs Comoros stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Zambia the favourite

• Moneyline Zambia 2.13 | Comoros 3.94
• Draw 3.02
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.43 | Under 2.5 1.57
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.40 | No 1.53

The odds position Zambia as narrow favourites, reflecting their marginally better recent form and slightly greater squad depth. While Comoros have upset Zambia in recent head-to-heads, their defensive troubles and inconsistent scoring make an outright win less likely. The Under 2.5 market is strongly supported, considering both teams’ low output and the high likelihood of a tightly-contested match. BTTS ‘No’ is similarly favoured as both teams struggle to consistently threaten in front of goal.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Zambia possible starting eleven

Zambia’s likely 4-2-3-1 leans on experience across the back with Benson Sakala and Dominic Chanda offering stability. Patson Daka leads as lone striker, supported by the dynamic Fashion Sakala and Lubambo Musonda on the wings. Kings Kangwa anchors midfield, with Lameck Banda’s runs often adding unpredictability. Expect Daka and Fashion Sakala to shoulder most of the attacking threat in what should be a disciplined, compact setup.

Comoros possible starting eleven

Comoros likely opt for their recent 4-3-3, designed to maximise width and quick transitions. Youssouf M’Changama anchors the midfield, aiming to connect defensive actions with the attack. Faïz Selemani and Rafiki Said Ahamada will look to exploit Zambia’s flanks, but discipline will be essential to avoid costly fouls and cards. The backline, led by industry from Ismaël Boura and Yannis Kari, will need to hold firm under pressure from Daka and company.

🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅

• Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
• Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
• Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.

Best football betting sites and Bonuses

My take on the Match

With disciplined defensive structure and superior attacking quality in Patson Daka, Zambia hold the upper hand here, despite recent setbacks in this fixture. While Comoros’s energy and set-piece threat can never be dismissed—especially given their pride in pulling off shocks—Zambia’s stronger organisation and lower foul count indicate a better chance of coming out on top.

My main pick: Zambia or Draw (Double Chance). For those seeking slightly higher value, Zambia -0.25 (Asian Handicap) covers the risk well. Expect a cagey first half and few scoring chances, with Zambia’s efficiency tipping the balance.

More useful links for football fans

• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG