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World Cup 2026 Group Stage: Tips Analysis, Upsets & Top Tipsters (Past 7 Days)

06.07.2026, 08:18

Over the past 7 days, the TipsGG Data Team tracked 2,727 tips across 18 matches from 382 active tipsters covering 2 stage rounds. Followers of all tracked tips secured a 62.5% win rate on average odds of 1.77, generating 62.8 units of net profit and a 7.6% ROI. Our team monitors these figures continuously, refreshing data 24/7 to capture market sentiment and betting performance across the tournament.

Disclaimer: This report is strictly for informational and educational purposes. It serves as a statistical showcase of market trends and historical performance within the sports betting niche and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to place specific bets. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We encourage all readers to view this data as a retrospective market analysis rather than a call to action. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Stage Matches Total Tips Win Rate Difficulty (Avg Winning Odds) Upset Rate Net Profit (Units) ROI
Round of 32 15 2,311 62.5% 2.27 13.3% 62.8 7.6%
Round of 16 3 416 2.54 33.3% 0.0

The Round of 32 delivered the sharpest market performance, with a 62.5% win rate and solid profitability. The Round of 16 proved far more volatile, showing a 33.3% upset rate where favorites stumbled on a third of matches. Win Rate reflects the share of settled tips that won. Difficulty measures Average Winning Odds—higher values signal tougher predictions. Upset Rate shows how often the favorite failed to secure victory. Net Profit and ROI quantify actual returns for tipsters who followed every recommendation.

Biggest World Cup Upsets

Match Score Winning Odds Lost Tips Total Tips
Germany vs Paraguay 4-5 8.96 185 186
Brazil vs Norway 1-2 4.62 141 150
Netherlands vs Morocco 3-4 3.32 90 109
Australia vs Egypt 3-5 2.31 27 123
Mexico vs Ecuador 2-0 2.16 18 143
Côte d’Ivoire vs Norway 1-2 2.09 25 168
Belgium vs Senegal 3-2 2.05 23 155
Switzerland vs Algeria 2-0 1.94 13 123
Canada vs Morocco 0-3 1.75 9 127
Brazil vs Japan 2-1 1.72 11 162

We rank the group stage’s biggest shocks by Winning Odds—the price at which the result actually landed. The higher the odds, the less the bookmakers and the betting public saw it coming. The Lost Tips column shows exactly how many tracked tipsters were caught on the wrong side. Germany vs Paraguay stands as the tournament’s defining shock: at 8.96 odds, Paraguay’s 5-4 victory left 185 of 186 tipsters scrambling.

Consensus Traps

Match Score Crowd Pick Consensus Share Total Tips
Germany vs Paraguay 4-5 Germany 99% 186
Brazil vs Norway 1-2 Brazil 94% 150
Netherlands vs Morocco 3-4 Netherlands 83% 109

These matches showcase where the crowd was most confident and most wrong. Crowd Pick is the outcome the majority of tracked tipsters backed. Consensus Share reveals how lopsided that agreement was. When the herd leans this hard and still loses, it serves as a stark reminder that popularity is not the same as value. Germany vs Paraguay reached an almost absolute consensus at 99%—yet Paraguay won anyway, erasing nearly the entire field.

World Cup Top Tipsters

Tipster Settled Tips Win Rate Net Profit (Units) ROI
Quirin Sterr 5 60.0% 6.96 139.3%
OddsLine 5 80.0% 3.41 68.2%
365Scores 5 80.0% 3.41 68.2%
gerard_im_ok 5 80.0% 3.41 68.2%
HRVizak 5 80.0% 3.41 68.2%
Benny Lauth 5 80.0% 3.41 68.2%
Matt SB 5 80.0% 3.41 68.2%
Blackburn Roverseas 5 80.0% 3.41 68.2%
footballbettingtips 5 80.0% 3.41 68.2%
Michael Talks Football 5 80.0% 3.41 68.2%

These are the sharpest performers among the tipsters the TipsGG Data Team tracks across the World Cup over the past 7 days. Rankings are by Net Profit in units, with Win Rate and ROI displayed for context. Quirin Sterr leads the field with a 139.3% ROI on 5 settled tips, followed by a cluster of 80% win-rate performers posting 68.2% ROI. All listed tipsters have met the 5 settled-tip minimum to qualify.

For comprehensive tips and predictions for upcoming football matches, browse the full World Cup 2026 hub, or check the football matches calendar and tournaments list for more data.

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