Levi Rothermund
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Werder Bremen welcome FC Augsburg to the Weser-Stadion with the table standing looking a bit upside down compared to preseason chatter. Augsburg, dismissed by plenty of pundits as relegation fodder back in August, sit third after three rounds. Bremen, meanwhile, have already dropped points they probably shouldn’t have and find themselves down in ninth. Bremen’s own recent friendly against lower-league Hansa Lüneburg (a 3-0 win) hints at a squad still shaking off rust, while Augsburg arrive full of confidence after four goals against Frankfurt.
Niclas Füllkrug has scored three of Werder’s eight goals across their last five matches, a number that says a lot about how reliant this attack is on one man right now. On the other side, Michael Gregoritsch has been just as decisive for Augsburg, netting three times in his last four appearances and looking sharp in the box. Both strikers will get chances against defenses that have shown gaps.
Hot stat: Augsburg have scored 11 goals across their last five matches against Werder’s 8, yet Bremen’s pass accuracy sits at roughly 86% compared to Augsburg’s 76%, an odd mix of Bremen controlling the ball better while creating less.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Bundesliga 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Weser-Stadion, Bremen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 19.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:30 CEST |
Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg prediction
We think Augsburg carry the better value here. Their standing (third, seven points from three games) isn’t a fluke; it lines up with a squad that’s scoring freely and rarely losing. Bremen sit mid-table with a negative goal difference and have looked shaky defensively at home this season. Backing Augsburg to avoid defeat feels like the smarter angle rather than a straight moneyline punt, given Bremen’s home crowd could lift them for spells.
Style-wise, Bremen commit more fouls per game (roughly 10) than Augsburg (around 7.6), yet Augsburg actually pick up more cards (6 to 4 across five matches), suggesting Augsburg’s challenges come in sharper, more cynical moments rather than sheer volume. Bremen’s higher pass accuracy (86% vs 76%) points to a possession-based approach that hasn’t translated into enough shots or goals lately. Augsburg play more directly and it’s working for them right now.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Double Chance: Draw or FC Augsburg (X2) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Werder Bremen’s last match ended 1-1 against FC Köln, a fair result on the balance of things but another sign that this Bremen side struggles to close games out. Before that, a 3-1 win over RB Leipzig looked promising, only for a 1-4 collapse against Freiburg to undo the good feeling. There’s also a 0-1 loss to Auxerre sandwiched in there. Honestly, the form reads inconsistent rather than bad, up one week, down the next.
FC Augsburg’s most recent outing was a 2-2 draw with Bayer Leverkusen, a result that’s actually solid against a side of that quality. The 4-1 demolition of Eintracht Frankfurt before that, plus a 3-0 win over Schalke, shows a team scoring goals in bunches. The one blemish is a 0-4 defeat to Leeds, a reminder that Augsburg can be caught out defensively when the game turns quickly against them.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Werder Bremen | FC Augsburg |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings) | 3 | 7 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: FC Augsburg the favourite
- Moneyline Werder Bremen 2.30 | FC Augsburg 2.80
- Draw 3.80
The bookmakers actually lean toward Bremen at home (41% implied probability vs Augsburg’s 34%), which feels generous given Augsburg’s stronger league position and goal output. We’d argue the market underrates Augsburg slightly here, and there’s decent value sitting on the away side or the double chance option if you want some cushion.
Possible Starting Lineups
Werder Bremen possible starting eleven
- GK: Alexander Schlager
- DF: Marco Friedl, Amos Pieper, Mick Schmetgens, Arthur Augusto De Matos Soares
- MF: Iván San José Cantalejo, Ludovit Reis, Olivier Deman, Marco Grüll, Cédric Itten
- FW: Niclas Füllkrug
Thioune sticks with the 4-2-3-1 that’s featured across the recent run. Reis and San José screen in front of the back four, Grüll drifts from the left, and everything still funnels toward Füllkrug up top. He’s the one to watch; take him out of the equation and Bremen’s attack looks thin.
FC Augsburg possible starting eleven
- GK: Finn Gilbert Dahmen
- DF: Noahkai Banks, Chrislain Matsima, Hennes Behrens, Marius Wolf
- MF: Fabian Rieder, Han-Noah Massengo, Robin Fellhauer
- FW: Anton Kade, Michael Gregoritsch, Rodrigo Ribeiro
Baum’s 4-3-3 gives Rieder license to roam behind Gregoritsch, who’s been the focal point of most of Augsburg’s best moves. Kade’s minutes have been shorter than some teammates but his output (two goals, an assist) earns him the nod on the wing over less productive options.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
FC Augsburg. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
We’re leaning toward FC Augsburg here, not necessarily for a straight win but for avoiding defeat. Their goal-scoring form, table position, and Gregoritsch’s sharpness in front of goal all point one way. Bremen aren’t a bad side, and home advantage plus Füllkrug give them a puncher’s chance, but the underlying numbers, fouls, pass accuracy, recent scorelines, favour the visitors slightly. Expect goals at both ends and a tight finish, maybe a draw isn’t the worst shout either given how tense recent H2H meetings between these two have been.
