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World Cup 2026: First Week Analysis – 899 Tips, Group Breakdown & Biggest Upsets

15.06.2026, 07:54

The TipsGG Data Team monitored 899 tips across 10 group-stage matches over the past 7 days, with 207 active tipsters covering all 6 groups. The market posted a 51.7% win rate on average odds of 1.84, resulting in a -101.1 unit net loss and -11.2% ROI for followers of all tracked tips. This data is collected and provided 24/7 by the professional TipsGG Data Team, which aggregates predictions from hundreds of independent forecasters.

Disclaimer: This report is strictly for informational and educational purposes. It serves as a statistical showcase of market trends and historical performance within the sports betting niche and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to place specific bets. Past performance is not indicative of future results. We encourage all readers to view this data as a retrospective market analysis rather than a call to action. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.

Group-by-Group Breakdown (A-F)

Group A emerged as the sharpest market, posting a 70.1% win rate with +29.3 units net profit and 14.6% ROI across 2 matches. Group C delivered the strongest returns at +30.4 units and 19.0% ROI, though with a slightly lower 59.4% win rate. The remaining groups struggled significantly: Group B cratered to just 8.2% wins (100% upset rate) for -122.0 units, while Group D fell to -45.6 units with 47.1% accuracy and full upset prevalence.

Group Matches Total Tips Win Rate Difficulty (Avg Odds) Upset Rate Net Profit ROI
Group A 2 201 70.1% 1.93 0.0% +29.3 14.6%
Group B 2 171 8.2% 5.45 100.0% -122.0 -71.3%
Group C 2 160 59.4% 2.68 50.0% +30.4 19.0%
Group D 2 153 47.1% 3.32 100.0% -45.6 -29.8%
Group E 1 113 100.0% 1.03 0.0% +3.4 3.0%
Group F 1 101 29.7% 3.48 100.0% +3.4 3.4%

Win Rate shows the share of settled tips that won. Difficulty (measured by Average Winning Odds) reveals how hard each group proved to predict: higher odds mean longer shots landed. Upset Rate tracks how often the favorite failed. Net Profit and ROI show what a bettor would have made staking one unit on every tracked tip in that group.

Biggest World Cup Upsets

We rank the group stage’s biggest shocks by Winning Odds—the price of the result that actually landed. The higher the odds, the less the bookmakers and the betting public saw it coming. The Lost Tips column shows exactly how many of the tipsters tracked by the TipsGG Data Team were caught on the wrong side.

Match Score Winning Odds Lost Tips Total Tips
Qatar vs Switzerland 1-1 7.4 90 90
Australia vs Turkey 2-0 5.2 73 74
Brazil vs Morocco 1-1 3.72 62 79
Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-1 3.5 67 81
Netherlands vs Japan 2-2 3.48 71 101
South Korea vs Czech Republic 2-1 2.42 54 83
Haiti vs Scotland 0-1 1.63 3 81
USA vs Paraguay 4-1 1.44 8 79
Mexico vs South Africa 2-0 1.43 6 118
Germany vs Curacao 7-1 1.03 0 113

Consensus Traps

These are the matches where the crowd was most confident and most wrong. Crowd Pick is the outcome the majority of tracked tipsters backed, Consensus Share is how lopsided that agreement was, and the Result column shows how it actually ended. When the herd leans this hard and still loses, it is a reminder that popularity is not the same as value.

Match Score Crowd Pick Consensus Share Result
Qatar vs Switzerland 1-1 Switzerland 100% Draw
Australia vs Turkey 2-0 Turkey 91% Australia won
Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-1 Canada 77% Draw
Brazil vs Morocco 1-1 Brazil 71% Draw
Netherlands vs Japan 2-2 Netherlands 64% Draw
South Korea vs Czech Republic 2-1 Draw 55% South Korea won

World Cup Top Tipsters

These are the sharpest performers among the tipsters the TipsGG Data Team tracks across the World Cup over the past 7 days. All tipsters listed had a minimum of 5 settled tips. They are ranked by Net Profit in units, with Win Rate and ROI shown for context.

Tipster Settled Tips Wins Win Rate Net Profit (Units) ROI
Esso99 10 8 80.0% +8.65 86.5%
JUJU Football 10 7 70.0% +6.23 62.3%
massivedillan 6 4 66.7% +3.86 64.3%
OneMillionPredictions 6 4 66.7% +3.45 57.5%
Michael Talks Football 8 5 62.5% +3.29 41.1%
PALPITES DO REI 7 5 71.4% +2.99 42.7%
BettingPros Staff 9 5 55.6% +2.70 30.0%
Betbrain 10 6 60.0% +2.51 25.1%
Soccer Platform 9 6 66.7% +2.45 27.2%
xGscore 5 4 80.0% +2.38 47.6%

For more information on World Cup 2026 predictions and live updates, visit the World Cup 2026 hub, check the Football Matches Calendar, or explore Football Tournaments and Leagues. Browse Tips and Predictions for upcoming football matches for real-time analysis.

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