Vukovar 1991 vs Hajduk Split Prediction: 21.03.2026 1. HNL

As the Croatian 1. HNL regular season enters a crucial phase, Vukovar 1991 welcomes Hajduk Split to Gradski Vrt Stadium in Osijek. For Vukovar, the stakes are high as they seek points for safety, while Hajduk Split aims to maintain their pressure on league leaders Dinamo Zagreb. Despite a gap in recent form and league standing, fixtures like this often yield intensity and surprise. Notably, Vukovar’s defensive discipline will be tested against Hajduk’s dynamic attack.

Among the notable players to watch, Vukovar’s forward Jakov Puljić stands out for his recent goals, while Hajduk’s veteran striker Marko Livaja brings experience and consistent goal threat. Each will be pivotal in shaping their side’s fortunes in this encounter, but goalkeepers Marino Bulat and Toni Silic could also play pivotal roles given the attacking dynamics at play.

A “hot stat” for this matchup: Hajduk Split have recorded a remarkable 33 corners in their last five matches, illustrating their capacity to sustain attacking pressure and exploit wide areas—something Vukovar’s defense must be wary of.

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Vukovar 1991 vs Hajduk Split prediction

Given form, squad quality, and recent performance metrics, Hajduk Split enter this tie as justifiable favorites. They boast a stronger win rate (58% across this season), have consistently outperformed Vukovar both defensively and offensively, and carry strong momentum from their last six matches. Meanwhile, Vukovar 1991 has failed to win a match in their recent five outings, struggling for both defensive solidity and creative output, scoring just two goals in that stretch.

The most valuable bet thus leans toward Hajduk Split securing victory, possibly with a margin, although Vukovar’s occasional resilience at home could make outright dominance less certain. With Hajduk excelling at generating corners and maintaining possession (averaging 1390 successful passes at 83% accuracy per match recently), expect them to control the rhythm. Vukovar’s discipline is a concern, with a high total fouls count (61 in their last five) and a tendency to go into the referee’s book (9 yellows recently), which could translate to set-piece chances for Hajduk.

Additionally, Vukovar averages just 0.4 goals per match over their recent five, while Hajduk’s stronger attack (1.4 goals per game over the same span) hints at the likelihood of a low-scoring home side. Expect Hajduk to win, possibly with a -1 Asian Handicap for additional value.

Team Analysis

Vukovar 1991: Recent games have posed significant challenges for Vukovar—no wins in their last five fixtures, and a lack of attacking spark proved costly in the 0-2 loss to Varazdin. Despite moderate passing accuracy (61%), they struggled to convert opportunities (just 34 shots over five matches). Defensive effort remains consistent, with 32 interceptions showing resilience, but fouls and indiscipline have offset their efforts. Jakov Puljić’s goals remain a rare positive sign for this unit.

Hajduk Split: Contrastingly, Hajduk Split’s form is much improved, most recently edging out Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1. They registered 82 shots across their last five matches, underpinning a direct, forward-moving style. With recent goal contributions from Marko Livaja and Ante Rebić, plus impressive width (reflected in 33 corners won), Hajduk look equipped to dominate. While discipline (10 yellows, 1 red in five games) is something to monitor, their high passing accuracy and offensive intent position them well for this contest.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Vukovar 1991 vs Hajduk Split stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hajduk Split the favourite

• Moneyline Vukovar 1991 5.25 | Hajduk Split 1.62
• Draw 3.40 – 3.55
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 1.90
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.25 | No 1.60

The odds strongly support Hajduk Split as favorites—reflecting recent records and squad strength. Vukovar’s low win probability and attacking struggles justify their high price on the home win, while even odds on total goals signal bookies’ expectations of a tightly contested, potentially low-scoring affair. The “No” on BTTS (both teams to score) at a short price further cements the perception of Vukovar’s limited attacking output.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Vukovar 1991 possible starting eleven

This squad reflects Vukovar’s most consistently featured players, particularly in defense with Pavicic and Tadic. Expect a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Puljić tasked as the focal point up front. The midfield’s flexibility is key, as they look to support transition play, but the main pressure falls on Puljić and Banovec to convert rare chances.

Hajduk Split possible starting eleven

Hajduk will likely line up in their favored 4-2-3-1, designed to exploit width and attacking fluidity. The combination of Livaja’s creativity with Rebić’s finishing makes this side particularly dangerous. Marešić and Šarlija provide stability at the back. Watch for Pukstas to support from midfield while Livaja roams, facilitating movement in the final third.

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My take on the Match

With the evidence at hand—form, head-to-head stats, squad potential, and bookmaker confidence—it’s difficult to make a compelling case for Vukovar 1991. Hajduk Split’s recent efficiency in front of goal, superior ball progression, and attacking depth make them likely winners. The -1 Asian Handicap on Hajduk is my primary recommendation, as their control in midfield and wide spaces should translate to a solid victory. For those seeking value, under 2.5 total goals is justified by Vukovar’s scoring issues and Hajduk’s tendency to manage matches efficiently when ahead.

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