Liam Duckstein
Ajax travel to Kras Stadion to face local rivals Volendam in what is, on paper, a straightforward pre-season outing. The gap in quality between these two Dutch clubs is real, and the bookmakers reflect that clearly, giving Ajax a 68% win probability against Volendam’s modest 14%. What makes this one worth watching is Ajax’s form under coach Míchel, who has the team producing goals in bunches during this pre-season window, while Volendam under Erwin van de Looi are still finding their footing.
Oscar Gloukh is the name to watch for Ajax. The attacking midfielder has scored four goals in five pre-season appearances and leads the team’s creative output with ten shots and 133 passes completed. For Volendam, without detailed player data available, the team will rely on collective organisation to keep the scoreline respectable.
Hot stat: Ajax have scored 12 goals across their last five matches, averaging 2.4 per game, and have taken 96 total shots in that same stretch. That is an attacking output that Volendam’s defence will find very difficult to contain.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Kras Stadion, Volendam |
| 🗓️ Date: | 02.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 14:30 CEST |
Volendam vs Ajax Prediction
The best value here sits with an Ajax win and goals. Ajax have been clinical in pre-season, winning five of their last seven matches, and their attacking depth is far superior to what Volendam can offer at this level. The head-to-head record from Eredivisie play backs this up: Ajax won the most recent meeting 2-0, and even the draw between these sides in the previous encounter came at odds of 71% for the draw, suggesting Ajax were heavily favoured even in a game they did not win.
Ajax operate in a 4-2-3-1 shape that presses high and recycles the ball quickly. Their pass accuracy across the last five games sits at roughly 88% (2,561 accurate out of 2,895 attempted), and they generate corner kicks at a high rate, with 40 recorded in five matches. That is eight corners per game on average. Volendam’s 4-3-3 will likely sit deeper to absorb pressure, meaning Ajax will dominate territory and produce set-piece opportunities consistently.
Ajax have committed only 48 fouls across five games, which is a low number and suggests a disciplined defensive shape that rarely gives away cheap free kicks. Volendam, with no detailed stats available, are the unknown quantity, but their overall record of two wins, two losses, and one draw in the last 30 days points to inconsistency.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ajax to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Volendam’s recent run of five matches tells a mixed story. They picked up wins against Groningen (4-0) and RKAV Volendam (3-2), which shows they can score, but they also lost to Almere City (1-2) and AZ Alkmaar Youth (1-3). The defeat to an AZ youth side is a concern and suggests the squad is not yet at full competitive sharpness. The 2-2 draw with Waalwijk was their most recent result before this fixture, and it reflects a team that can be pegged back even when leading.
Ajax arrive in strong shape. Their last match was a 4-1 win over Vojvodina, a result that followed a 2-1 victory over Burnley and another 4-1 win over Vojvodina in a prior meeting. The only blemish in recent weeks was a 1-1 draw with Bochum and a narrow 1-0 win over Olympiacos. Five wins from seven in the last 30 days, with a winrate of 71%, confirms Ajax are building momentum. Míchel’s side look sharp going forward, and the 4-1 scorelines against Vojvodina suggest the goals are flowing freely when Ajax face teams of comparable or lower quality.
🚨Check out our dedicated Volendam vs Ajax stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Ajax the Favourite
- Moneyline Volendam 6.75 | Ajax 1.34
- Draw 5.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Ajax at 1.34 is a short price, but given their pre-season form and the quality gap between these two clubs, it reflects reality accurately. Volendam at 6.75 is a long shot for good reason. The draw at 5.00 would require a very disciplined Volendam performance and an unusually poor Ajax showing. We predict Ajax to win, and the value in backing that outcome is clear even at a compressed price. If you want more return, looking at an Ajax win combined with over 2.5 goals makes sense given their 12-goal haul in five matches.
Possible Starting Lineups
Ajax Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Maarten Paes
- DF: Anton Gaaei, Lucas Oliveira Rosa, Daley Blind, Owen Wijndal
- MF: Jorthy Mokio, Youri Regeer, Oscar Gloukh, Davy Klaassen
- FW: Mika Godts, Steven Berghuis
Ajax line up in their preferred 4-2-3-1, with Maarten Paes between the sticks after four appearances this pre-season. The defensive line picks itself, with Daley Blind providing experience and composure in possession. Lucas Oliveira Rosa has been consistent across all five matches and adds a calm, technical presence at centre-back. In midfield, Oscar Gloukh is the standout name: four goals in five games make him the most dangerous player on the pitch. Davy Klaassen adds two goals and a high work rate from a box-to-box role. Mika Godts offers pace and two assists from the left, while Steven Berghuis brings a goal and an assist from wide right. Caio Henrique and Aaron Bouwman offer cover and rotation options from the bench.
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Ajax. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Ajax are the clear pick here. Their pre-season numbers are strong across the board: 12 goals in five games, 96 total shots, 40 corner kicks, and a disciplined defensive record with only 48 fouls conceded. Volendam have shown inconsistency, losing to an AZ youth side and dropping points against Waalwijk, and they enter this match without the depth or quality to contain what Ajax bring going forward.
We predict an Ajax win with at least three goals scored. The head-to-head record from Eredivisie play supports that view, with Ajax taking four goals from the two most recent meetings. Volendam are unlikely to keep a clean sheet given Ajax’s volume of shots and set-piece threat, but we do not expect Volendam to find the net against a well-organised Ajax defensive unit. Ajax to score in both halves is the tip we back most confidently, with over 2.5 total goals as the primary market selection.
