Vojvodina Novi Sad vs Ajax Prediction: 23.07.2026 UEFA Conference League

Ajax return to Novi Sad for a rematch of last year’s Europa League qualifying tie, where they knocked Vojvodina out across two legs. Vojvodina will be motivated to reverse that narrative on home soil, but the Serbian side heads into this clash having lost three of their last six matches. Ajax, under Míchel, are not in the form of giants either, winning just two of their last four games, yet they carry far more quality across the squad.

Oscar Gloukh has been a persistent creative threat for Ajax, registering an assist across the last four appearances while leading the team in shot attempts from midfield with 11 total shots. For Vojvodina, Lazar Randjelović stands out as the most productive attacker in recent weeks, contributing one goal and two assists across three matches, making him the player Miroslav Tanjga’s side will lean on most heavily.

Hot stat: Ajax registered 68 total shots across their last five matches compared to Vojvodina’s 35, nearly doubling the Serbian side’s output in that department. That volume of attacking intent signals where the danger is most likely to come from on Thursday night.

Vojvodina Novi Sad vs Ajax Prediction

Ajax are the clear favorites here and with good reason. They beat Vojvodina twice in the same competition last season, winning 1-0 away and 3-1 at home. The Dutch side possesses a deeper squad, better passing structure, and significantly more European experience at this level. We predict an Ajax win, and the most value sits on them to win to nil or via an Asian handicap line given Vojvodina’s limited attacking output in recent games.

Vojvodina commit fouls regularly, racking up 46 fouls in their last five matches, and their pass accuracy is poor relative to Ajax’s 1,892 accurate passes to Vojvodina’s 653. Ajax play a possession-based style and will dominate the ball, which suits their 4-2-3-1 shape. Vojvodina may attempt to sit deep and hit on the counter, but their finishing has been inconsistent. With Ajax generating corners at a rate of 23 in five games to Vojvodina’s 12, expect the Dutch side to control territory and set-piece opportunities.

Team Analysis

Vojvodina’s recent form tells a mixed story. They recorded a comfortable 4-0 win over OFK Beograd in their most recent outing, but that followed a 3-0 defeat to Ferencvaros in a match that exposed their limitations against higher-quality opposition. Their year-long record of 16 wins from 30 matches shows consistency at domestic level, but the step up to European competition is a different challenge entirely.

Against Ararat-Armenia they could only draw 1-1, and a 3-0 loss to Ferencvaros in their previous European encounter underlined how they struggle to contain pressing sides. Nardin Mulahusejnović leads their recent goal tally with two goals in three matches, and Petar Sukacev chipped in with one goal and one assist, but the attacking depth beyond those two is limited.

Ajax arrive in Novi Sad on the back of a 1-0 win over Olympiacos, a result that showed their ability to grind out tight European fixtures. Before that, they drew 1-1 with Bochum and beat AEK Larnaca 1-0, suggesting a pattern of narrow victories rather than dominant performances. Their 1-3 loss to Panathinaikos is the one result that raises a flag, showing they can be vulnerable when opponents press high and force turnovers.

Maarten Paes has been solid in goal with six saves across four appearances. Don-Angelo Konadu and Caio Henrique have both scored once in recent matches, and Oliver Valaker Edvardsen contributed a goal and an assist in limited minutes. Ajax are not firing on all cylinders, but they have enough individual quality to control this match.

🚨Check out our dedicated Vojvodina vs Ajax stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ajax the favourite

• Moneyline Vojvodina Novi Sad 5.06 | Ajax 1.50
• Draw 3.89
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The market has Ajax priced around 1.50, which reflects the 61% win probability assigned by bookmakers. That price is short but fair given their head-to-head record against this specific opponent. The draw at 3.89 via Pinnacle offers some value if you believe Vojvodina can stay compact, but the evidence from last season and recent form does not support backing the home side to hold Ajax. Ajax to win is the play, and the clean sheet market adds extra value given Vojvodina’s modest goal output.

Possible Starting Lineups

Vojvodina possible starting eleven

Miroslav Tanjga is likely to set up in a 4-2-3-1 shape, with Njegos Petrović and Dejan Zukic shielding the back four. Lazar Randjelović is the most productive player in this squad over the last three matches and will likely operate just behind the striker. Nardin Mulahusejnović leads the team in recent goals and starts up front. Dragan Rosić is the established first-choice goalkeeper with 270 minutes played across the last three games.

Ajax possible starting eleven

Míchel is expected to deploy a 4-2-3-1 as well, mirroring what Ajax have used consistently in recent fixtures. Aaron Bouwman has been the most active defensive presence with 244 passes and five interceptions across four matches. Oscar Gloukh drives play from the number ten position and is the key creative outlet. Maarten Paes is the clear first-choice keeper with 211 minutes in the last four games. Caio Henrique could also feature at left back given his recent involvement, and Mika Godts provides width and directness from the flank.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Ajax have beaten Vojvodina in both legs of their previous European meeting, and the underlying stats from recent matches do nothing to suggest that pattern will change. Vojvodina’s pass accuracy is low, their shot volume is modest, and they have struggled against stronger opponents this preseason. Ajax, for all their inconsistency in 2026, carry a clear technical advantage and a squad depth that Vojvodina simply cannot match.

We predict Ajax to win this match with a clean sheet. The 1-0 scoreline is entirely possible given Ajax’s recent habit of grinding narrow wins in Europe, but a 2-0 result also fits the profile of this tie. The corners market is worth targeting too, with Ajax generating more than double Vojvodina’s corner count across the last five games. Back Ajax to win to nil as the primary selection, with over 8.5 corners as a supporting bet.

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