Villarreal vs Sevilla Prediction: 13.05.2026 La Liga

Villarreal host Sevilla at Estadio de la Cerámica in a match where the home side’s push for a Champions League spot faces a Sevilla team looking to salvage pride after a turbulent season. Villarreal have cemented themselves in third, trailing only Barcelona and Real Madrid, while Sevilla languish in the bottom half, with their defensive record a significant concern. Gerard Moreno remains Villarreal’s attacking heartbeat, and Nicolas Pépé’s recent scoring run makes him a danger every time he’s on the ball. For Sevilla, Neal Maupay stands out for his work rate and ability to create chances out of nothing, while Alexis Sanchez’s experience could prove invaluable.

Hot stat: Villarreal have scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches—almost triple Sevilla’s output over the same span.

Villarreal vs Sevilla prediction

We predict a Villarreal win. Villarreal’s attack has been both consistent and efficient, netting 11 goals in 5 games. Sevilla have managed just 4 in the same stretch, with their defense conceding more than one goal per match. Villarreal’s recent form includes a 5-1 thrashing of Levante and victories over Celta Vigo and Athletic Bilbao. Sevilla’s two wins in five have come against struggling sides, and they’ve shown vulnerabilities against more organized teams.

Villarreal’s style is based on possession and patient buildup, as reflected in their 2189 passes and 84% pass accuracy in the last five games. They draw fewer fouls (59) and see less disciplinary trouble (10 yellow cards) than Sevilla, whose 62 fouls and 13 yellows hint at a less controlled, more reactive approach. Villarreal’s high corner count (21) shows their intent to keep pressure on opponents. Sevilla’s interception numbers are slightly higher, suggesting more time spent without the ball and a reactive defensive stance, which may backfire against Villarreal’s midfield dominance.

Team Analysis

Villarreal come off a 1-1 draw against Mallorca, a result that slightly flatters the visitors given Villarreal’s 2nd half dominance. Before that, they thrashed Levante 5-1, and squeezed past Celta Vigo 2-1. Gerard Moreno has led the line, but Nicolas Pépé is the in-form player, scoring 3 goals and assisting 2 in his last five. Villarreal have kept their unbeaten run intact in the last five matches and boast a 60% win rate for the month. Their passing has been sharp, midfield compact, and the defense allows little space, with just 4 yellow cards distributed among their back four in the last five games.

Sevilla picked up a narrow 2-1 win against RCD Espanyol last time out, with Neal Maupay and Alexis Sanchez both involved. Earlier, they beat Real Sociedad 1-0 but suffered defeats against Osasuna and Levante, conceding 4 goals in those matches. Their overall win rate for the month stands at 60%, but the team’s lack of attacking output and tendency to accumulate cards (13 yellows) hurt their rhythm. Defensive midfielder Djibril Sow has contributed with assists, while Andrés Castrín has been their best defender, showing resilience despite the team’s inconsistency.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Villarreal vs Sevilla stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Villarreal the favourite

• Moneyline Villarreal 2.19 | Sevilla 4.01
• Draw 3.45
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.96 | Under 2.5 1.83
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.72 | No 2.10

The odds reflect Villarreal’s home advantage and better recent form. Bookmakers give them a 46% win probability, with Sevilla at just 26%. Over 2.5 goals is a smart pick, considering both teams’ defensive lapses and Villarreal’s prolific attack. BTTS is also likely given Sevilla’s need to attack and Villarreal’s attacking style.

Possible Starting Lineups

Villarreal possible starting eleven

Tenas remains the clear number one in goal. The defensive line sees regulars Veiga, Cardona, Navarro, and Marin Zamora, all with consistent minutes and solid discipline. Midfield is anchored by Parejo and Comesaña’s control, with Gueye’s energy and Buchanan’s dynamism. Up front, Gerard Moreno leads with Pépé’s pace and scoring touch. Expect Villarreal to stick with their familiar 4-4-2 formation, maximizing width and attacking threat.

Sevilla possible starting eleven

Vlachodimos starts in goal. Castrín and Salas anchor the defense, joined by Carmona and Sánchez. In midfield, Gudelj and Sow add steel, Agoumé and Suazo provide support. Maupay’s work rate pairs with Sanchez’s intelligence up front. Sevilla should line up in their regular 4-4-2 but may switch to a more defensive setup if Villarreal dominate early. Watch for Maupay’s movement and Castrín’s clearances.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict Villarreal to win in a high-scoring match. Villarreal’s form, attacking consistency, and tactical discipline should prove too much for a Sevilla side that struggles for goals and discipline. Expect both teams to score, but Villarreal’s efficiency in the final third and ability to control midfield give them a decisive edge.

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