Sofia Quijada
Villarreal host Levante at Estadio de la Cerámica in a late-season La Liga clash where both teams have a lot on the line. Villarreal chase a top-three finish, aiming to cement their Champions League place, while Levante fight to escape the relegation zone. The home side’s consistent home form gives them an edge, yet Levante’s recent upturn keeps the stakes unpredictable. Nicolas Pépé (Villarreal), with two goals from his last four, brings speed and scoring threat, while Iván Romero (Levante) stands out for the visitors, notching two goals in his last three. One hot stat: Villarreal have scored in every home match since February.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal |
| 🗓️ Date: | 02.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 14:00 CEST |
Villarreal vs Levante prediction
We predict Villarreal to win. The home side have a superior squad, stronger season stats, and more creative players. Villarreal’s recent results show resilience, especially at home, and their attack, led by Pépé and Gerard Moreno, regularly breaks down mid-table defenses. Levante’s defensive line has improved, but the team’s away struggles persist and their tendency to concede under pressure remains. Villarreal’s midfield ball retention and passing accuracy—74%+ in recent matches—should dictate the rhythm, while Levante’s high foul count (59 in five matches) could see them penalized in dangerous areas, leading to more set-piece chances for Villarreal. Bookmakers put Villarreal as clear favorites (56% implied probability), and our stats-driven analysis supports this.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Villarreal win & Over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Villarreal’s recent games underline their offensive reliability. In their last outing, they overcame Celta Vigo 2-1, controlling possession and producing 41 total shots across their last five matches. Their passing accuracy (average 84%) and well-organized 4-2-3-1 formation allow them to dominate midfield. Nicolas Pépé’s impact remains significant, while Gerard Moreno continues to threaten in and around the box. Villarreal have only lost once in their last five, proving hard to break down when at home.
Levante approach this fixture with renewed hope, securing a vital 0-0 draw against Espanyol and beating Sevilla 2-0 earlier. Their formation switches between 4-4-2 and 4-2-3-1, but their identity centers on gritty defense and opportunistic counter-attacks. Iván Romero, with two recent goals, is their best finisher. Despite improvement, Levante’s discipline is a concern: 11 yellow cards and 59 fouls in the last five matches indicate an aggressive, sometimes reckless, approach.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Villarreal | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Total shots | 14 | 7 |
| Free kicks | 11 | 12 |
| Corner kicks | 5 | 4 |
| Total fouls | 15 | 16 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 81 | 73 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 9 |
| Offsides | 2 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Villarreal vs Levante stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Villarreal the favourite
- Moneyline Villarreal 1.76 | Levante 4.58
- Draw 4.41
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.92 | Under 2.5 1.87
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.92
Villarreal’s win odds offer reasonable value given their home strength and Levante’s away inconsistency. The draw is priced high, reflecting Levante’s underdog status. Over 2.5 goals sits near evens, suggesting both teams’ recent scoring trends—Villarreal’s consistent attack and Levante’s leaky defense—push this market into value territory. Both teams to score appears likely with both sides regularly finding the net and conceding.
Possible Starting Lineups
Villarreal possible starting eleven
- GK: Arnau Tenas
- DF: Renato Palma Veiga, Alfonso Pedraza, Pau Navarro, Sergi Cardona Bermúdez
- MF: Dani Parejo, Santi Comesaña, Pape Gueye, Tajon Buchanan
- FW: Nicolas Pépé, Gerard Moreno
This lineup reflects Villarreal’s typical 4-2-3-1 system, maximizing their ball progression through midfield and wide options. Arnau Tenas has been solid in goal, while Veiga and Pedraza contribute reliability and attacking support from the back. Pépé and Moreno drive the attack, and Santi Comesaña’s work rate gives balance. Expect Villarreal to control possession and threaten from set pieces.
Levante possible starting eleven
- GK: Mathew Ryan
- DF: Adrián de la Fuente Barquilla, Jeremy Toljan, Manu Sánchez, Matias Moreno
- MF: Pablo Martínez Andrés, Kervin Arriaga, Jon Ander Olasagasti, Ugo Raghouber
- FW: Iván Romero, Carlos Espí
Levante likely stick with a 4-4-2, relying on a compact back line and the energy of Romero and Espí up front. Mathew Ryan anchors the defense with consistent shot-stopping. Adrián de la Fuente and Toljan offer discipline but the midfield must limit errors under Villarreal’s pressure. Romero, fresh off a strong run of form, is Levante’s main attacking hope.
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Levante. Source: Official Instagram. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Villarreal to control the game, outshoot Levante, and secure three points. Villarreal’s high possession, offensive sharpness, and organized defense leave Levante’s hopes hanging on a rare away goal. Expect an open game with multiple chances, goals on both ends, and Villarreal’s class to decide it late.
