Liam Duckstein
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Vikingur Reykjavik host Thun at Víkingsvöllur in the second leg of their UEFA Europa League Third Qualifying Round tie on 13 August 2026. The Icelandic side face a steep task after losing the first leg 0-3 in Switzerland, meaning they need a three-goal swing just to force extra time. Thun arrive in Reykjavik with a comfortable cushion and the knowledge that even a draw sends them through. That dynamic shapes everything about how this match will be played.
Gylfi Sigurðsson has been the standout creative force for Vikingur, contributing a goal and an assist across his six recent appearances while leading the team in shots. For Thun, Brighton Labeau is the man to watch up front, having scored four goals in six matches and generating consistent attacking threat from his forward position.
A hot stat worth noting: Thun put six goals past Young Boys in their most recent Swiss Super League outing before this tie, signalling that their attacking output is not limited to one good European night.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Europa League 2026/27, Third Qualifying Round |
| 🏟 Venue: | Víkingsvöllur, Reykjavik |
| 🗓️ Date: | 13.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun Prediction
The aggregate scoreline makes Thun heavy favourites to progress, and the betting market reflects that despite Vikingur having home advantage. Thun only need to avoid a three-goal defeat, which gives them enormous tactical freedom. Privitelli’s side can sit back, absorb pressure, and hit on the counter, a strategy that suits their personnel well.
Vikingur’s season-long record of 21 wins from 32 matches in all competitions shows they are a strong domestic side, but their last 30 days tell a different story: two wins, three draws, and three losses. Thun share the same short-term record, yet their 3-0 first-leg win demonstrated they can operate at a clearly higher level when the occasion demands it.
We predict Thun to win or draw this match, and backing them on the Asian handicap or the double chance (Draw/Thun) looks like the best value. Thun’s defensive solidity, combined with Vikingur’s need to chase the game, creates space for the Swiss side to score on the break. A Thun win at odds around 2.60 is the pick we feel most confident about.
Vikingur commit fouls frequently, averaging 56 fouls across their last five matches compared to Thun’s 72. Both sides accumulate yellow cards at a notable rate, with Vikingur picking up 15 bookings in that same stretch versus Thun’s 10. The home side’s higher foul count in a must-win match could lead to an open, physical game. Thun’s superior pass volume and their 100 total shots in five games compared to Vikingur’s 75 underlines the quality gap between the two squads at this level.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Thun to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Vikingur Reykjavik head into this second leg on the back of a 2-2 draw at home to IBV Vestmannaeyjar in the Icelandic league. That result continued a mixed recent run where the team has struggled for consistency, drawing three times and losing three times in their last eight outings. Before the first leg against Thun, they also drew 2-2 with Akranes and suffered a 0-2 home defeat to Hapoel Beer Sheva in European qualifying. The 5-1 win over Keflavik was a bright spot, but the overall picture points to a side that concedes too easily at this level.
Thun’s most recent result before this second leg was a 2-4 home defeat to Basel in the Swiss Super League, which broke a sequence of confident performances. Prior to that, they beat Vikingur 3-0, drew 2-2 with Dinamo Zagreb in a strong showing, and beat Luzern 3-1. The 0-6 loss to Young Boys stands out as an outlier, though it came against one of Switzerland’s top clubs. Across five recent matches, Thun have scored 13 goals and their attacking players have been direct and clinical. Even with the Basel defeat fresh in mind, their European form gives them every reason to be confident.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides have only met once before this second leg, in the first leg of this very tie played just days ago. Thun won that match 3-0 in Switzerland, setting up a commanding position heading into Reykjavik.
| Statistic | Vikingur Reykjavik | Thun |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun stats page for more info.
Vikingur Reykjavik. Source: Official Website
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Thun the Favourite
- Moneyline Vikingur Reykjavik 2.35 | Thun 2.60
- Draw 3.75
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
The moneyline odds are closer than the aggregate scoreline might suggest, which reflects the home advantage Vikingur carry at Víkingsvöllur. The bookmakers price Thun at around 2.60, and to be honest that looks slightly generous given the three-goal lead they carry into this leg. Vikingur at 2.35 represents the crowd and desperation factor being priced in, but backing a team that needs to overturn a three-goal deficit in European football is rarely good value. The draw odds at 3.75 are reasonable but serve Thun’s interests just as well as a win. We see Thun winning outright as the sharpest play at the available prices.
Possible Starting Lineups
Vikingur Reykjavik Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Aron Snaer Fridriksson
- DF: Gunnar Vatnhamar, Oliver Ekroth, Karl Fridleifur Gunnarsson, Sveinn Gisli Thorkelsson
- MF: Gylfi Sigurðsson, Aron Elís Thrándarson, Viktor Örlygur Andrason, Sveinn Margeir Hauksson
- FW: Diljan Stigur Thordarson, Armann Ingi Finnbogason
Sölvi Ottesen is likely to set up in his preferred 4-4-2, with Aron Snaer Fridriksson as the clear first-choice goalkeeper after appearing in all six recent matches. Gunnar Vatnhamar anchors the right side of defence with seven interceptions across five appearances, making him one of the more reliable defensive presences. Gylfi Sigurðsson is the key man in midfield. His 11 shots and two yellow cards in six games show he is prepared to take risks, and in a must-win second leg, his creative output will be central to any Vikingur comeback. Up front, Diljan Stigur Thordarson and Armann Ingi Finnbogason provide the physical presence needed to press a Thun back line that will likely sit deep.
Thun Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Niklas Steffen
- DF: Jan Bamert, Nicolas Bürgy, Michael Heule, Lucien Dähler
- MF: Nassim Zoukit, Justin Roth, Nils Reichmuth, Fabio Fehr
- FW: Brighton Labeau, Marc Gutbub
Gian Luca Privitelli is expected to line up in a 4-2-2-2 shape, mirroring recent selections. Niklas Steffen has been commanding between the posts with 23 saves in six matches. Jan Bamert and Nicolas Bürgy have each scored twice in recent games, making them attacking threats from set pieces. Brighton Labeau leads the line with four goals in six appearances, and Marc Gutbub’s four assists make him the primary creator. Michael Heule has recorded 10 interceptions across five matches, and his defensive awareness will be tested as Vikingur push forward in search of goals. Thun have the personnel to absorb pressure and punish on the counter.
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Thun. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Thun carry a 3-0 aggregate lead into this second leg and have shown in their recent matches that they can score goals against varied opposition. Vikingur have the home crowd and a season-long domestic record that commands respect, but their European performances this summer have been inconsistent, and the 0-2 loss to Hapoel Beer Sheva before this tie suggested vulnerabilities against quality opposition.
Vikingur’s foul-heavy, high-energy style may produce an open match, and we do expect them to score at least once with the backing of their home support. A Thun goal on the counter, perhaps from Labeau or Gutbub, looks probable. We predict Thun to win this match, with both teams scoring. The Swiss side’s ability to defend their lead while remaining dangerous in transition makes them the clear selection at available odds around 2.60.
- Best Bet: Thun to Win
- Total Goals: Over 2.5
- Both Teams to Score: Yes
- Hot Tip: Thun to score in both halves
