Levi Rothermund
Vietnam close out their ASEAN Championship 2026 Group A campaign at home against Cambodia on 7 August, and the hosts arrive in an almost perfect position. Sang-sik Kim’s side sit top of Group A with seven points, having conceded zero goals across three matches while scoring ten. Cambodia, coached by Koji Gyotoku, are fourth with three points and a goal difference of minus two. This is a dead-rubber only in the loosest sense for Vietnam, since the group is still alive for Singapore and Indonesia, meaning Vietnam have every reason to keep the pressure on.
Striker Nguyen Dinh Bac has been the standout name in Vietnam’s attack, scoring three goals from eleven total shots across the last five matches and adding one assist. He is the most direct goal threat in this lineup. For Cambodia, Soknet Hav has been quietly effective up front, scoring twice in just two appearances, and will be the man to watch if Gyotoku’s side are to get anything from this game.
Hot stat: Vietnam have scored ten goals in their last three ASEAN Championship group matches while keeping three consecutive clean sheets. Cambodia have conceded seven goals in those same three group fixtures.
| 🏆 Tournament: | ASEAN Championship 2026, Group A |
| 🏟 Venue: | My Dinh National Stadium, Hanoi |
| 🗓️ Date: | 07.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:00 CEST |
Vietnam vs Cambodia Prediction
The case for a heavy Vietnam win is strong. They beat East Timor 7-0, beat Indonesia 3-0, and drew 0-0 with Singapore in what was a tactical, cautious match. Cambodia beat East Timor 3-0 but lost 5-1 to Indonesia and 2-1 to Singapore. The gulf in quality is clear, and Vietnam are playing at home in Hanoi.
We think the best value here is on Vietnam to win and over 2.5 goals in the match. The hosts average over three goals per game in this tournament, and Cambodia’s defence has leaked badly against any side with real attacking quality. Vietnam’s 4-4-2 gives them width and two goal threats through the middle, and Cambodia’s 5-4-1 may delay things but it will not stop them entirely.
Vietnam commit very few fouls, averaging fewer than four per match across their last five, and have picked up just one yellow card. Cambodia are more physical, averaging over five fouls per match with three yellow cards. That discipline gap suggests Vietnam will control the tempo and generate more clean chances. Their pass accuracy of 87% compared to Cambodia’s 84% also points to a match where Vietnam dictate possession and Cambodia struggle to build anything sustained.
- Main Tip: Vietnam to win
- Goals: Over 2.5
- Both Teams to Score: No
- Corners: Over 7.5
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Vietnam to win by 3 or more goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Vietnam have been dominant throughout this group stage. Their 7-0 demolition of East Timor opened the tournament, followed by a controlled 0-0 draw with Singapore and a convincing 3-0 win over Indonesia. Across those three matches they have not conceded once. Before the tournament, they beat Myanmar 4-0 and Gangwon 2-1 in preparation, which means they enter this match having won six of their last seven fixtures with one draw. Their form over the past 30 days shows six wins and one draw from seven outings.
Cambodia’s tournament has been mixed. They beat East Timor 3-0 in their most recent match, which was their best performance of the group stage, but they were beaten 5-1 by Indonesia and 2-1 by Singapore before that. Looking at their last five matches overall, they beat Hong Kong 2-0 and Bhutan 4-0 before the tournament, so they are capable against weaker opposition. Against teams with genuine quality, though, they have struggled. One win from three in the last 30 days tells that story plainly.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides met in an International Friendly in March 2025, with Vietnam winning 2-1. That result fits the pattern of Vietnam being the stronger side in direct matchups.
| Statistic | Vietnam | Cambodia |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 10 | 5 |
| Total shots | 58 | 22 |
| Free kicks | 23 | 23 |
| Corner kicks | 15 | 16 |
| Total fouls | 19 | 28 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 87% | 84% |
| Interceptions | 22 | 15 |
| Offsides | 9 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Vietnam vs Cambodia stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Vietnam the Favourite
- Moneyline Vietnam 1.05 | Cambodia 23.00
- Draw 9.00
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
The odds reflect a near-certainty for Vietnam, and honestly the bookmakers are right to price it this way. At 1.05, there is almost no value on a straight Vietnam win moneyline. The better play is on the Asian handicap or the goals market, where Vietnam winning by three or more looks achievable given their form and Cambodia’s defensive record in this tournament. The draw and Cambodia outright prices are long for a reason, and we would not recommend touching either.
Cambodia. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Vietnam Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Dang Van Lâm
- DF: Phạm Xuân Mạnh, Nguyen Van Vi, Nguyen Nhat Minh, Pham Gia Hung
- MF: Nguyen Hoang Duc, Trương Tiến Anh, Le Pham Thanh Long, Nguyen Hai Long
- FW: Nguyen Dinh Bac, Nguyen Van Vi
Vietnam are most likely to line up in their familiar 4-4-2 shape. Dang Van Lâm gets the nod in goal based on his appearances. Phạm Xuân Mạnh has been consistent at the back, picking up one yellow card but contributing four interceptions across his three matches. In midfield, Nguyen Hoang Duc is the creative engine with three assists, while Nguyen Dinh Bac leads the attack with three goals and the highest shot count on the team. He is the player Cambodia will need to contain most.
Cambodia Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Kimhuy Hul
- DF: Hikaru Mizuno, Ouk Sovann, Alisher Mirzaev, Vakhim Im, Sokha Phat
- MF: Yudai Ogawa, Devit Yem, Sos Suhana, Samuel Bong
- FW: Ty Sa
Cambodia’s 5-4-1 is built to defend, and Koji Gyotoku will almost certainly stick with it here. Kimhuy Hul has made 14 saves in three matches, which is the clearest sign of how much pressure Cambodia’s defence has been under. Hikaru Mizuno has been reliable at the back with 145 accurate passes and two interceptions. Up front, Ty Sa leads the line alone, and with Soknet Hav also available, Gyotoku may give the two-goal scorer a start. Yudai Ogawa in midfield carries two yellow cards, so a cautious role is expected from him here. Samuel Bong works hard off the ball and covers a lot of ground, making him useful in a defensive midfield structure.
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Vietnam. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Vietnam are the better team by a wide margin and they are playing at home. Their defensive record in this tournament is perfect, their attack has produced ten goals in three matches, and Cambodia have not kept a clean sheet against any quality opposition in this group. The 5-4-1 shape Cambodia deploy will make it harder for Vietnam in the first half, but the hosts have the patience and the quality to break it down.
We think Vietnam win this comfortably, likely by three goals or more. The over 2.5 goals line is our preferred market given how freely Vietnam have scored. Both teams to score is a no, since Vietnam have conceded nothing in this tournament and Cambodia’s attack has only really functioned against East Timor. Corners should be plentiful with Vietnam pressing high and Cambodia defending deep, so over 7.5 total corners makes sense as an add-on.
