Liam Duckstein
The impending clash between Venezia and Monza on the 12th of April, 2025, is one steeped in drama as both teams find themselves at the bottom of the Serie A standings. With Venezia occupying 19th position and Monza languishing at 20th, this match is a battle for survival. While neither side has enjoyed much success throughout the season, the urgency for points has never been higher. A win here could provide a much-needed lift for either side in their quest to escape relegation.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2024/25 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice |
| 🗓️ Date: | 12.04.2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
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Venezia vs Monza Prediction
The match presents a conundrum for punters, given both teams’ recent dismal forms. However, with Monza failing to secure a win in their last three matches and Venezia managing to snatch a draw against Lecce, the home advantage could be pivotal for Venezia. The side coached by Eusebio Di Francesco might edge this with a narrow victory, particularly as Monza’s defense has been leaky with frequent lapses.
Both teams tend to concede yellow cards, with Venezia accumulating more in their recent outing. This propensity for fouls could impact the game’s flow, potentially benefiting the more disciplined side. Meanwhile, Monza’s higher pass accuracy and interceptions could give them a tactical edge in controlling the midfield.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw No Bet: Venezia |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Venezia’s recent matches have been a roller-coaster of close encounters. Their 1-1 draw against Lecce was hard-fought, though vulnerabilities were exposed in their preceding 0-1 defeat to Bologna. Venezia’s lack of wins, despite several draws, indicates resilience, albeit coupled with the struggle to convert chances.
Conversely, Monza’s recent form has been alarming, with their 1-3 loss to Como marking their third consecutive defeat. Defensive frailties have been evident, and despite a spirited performance in a 1-1 draw against Parma, their inability to find goals consistently remains a concern.
Most recent H2Hs: Venezia dominates
| Statistic | Venezia | Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Total shots | 32 | 32 |
| Free kicks | 5 | 9 |
| Corner kicks | 8 | 14 |
| Total fouls | 47 | 44 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 72.5 | 85.9 |
| Interceptions | 18 | 26 |
| Offsides | 5 | 9 |
🚨Read our full Venezia vs Monza stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Venezia the favourite
| Moneyline | Venezia 1.75 | Monza 5.00 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.70 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.25 | Under 2.5 1.57 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 2.00 | No 1.75 | |
The odds indicate a leaning towards a Venezia win, acknowledging their slightly better home form. The probability of both teams failing to score aligns with the low expected goal outcome, highlighting defensive concerns on both sides.
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Key Players to Watch
For Venezia, Gianluca Busio, despite not scoring recently, has been instrumental in orchestrating the midfield with his pass accuracy at 84%. For Monza, Dany Mota stands out, scoring their only recent goal amidst struggles. His ability to exploit defensive gaps makes him a potential match-winner.
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Venezia. Source: Official Website
Possible Starting Lineups
Venezia possible starting eleven
- GK: Jesse Joronen
- DF: Ridgeciano Haps, Jay Idzes, Marin Šverko
- MF: Gianluca Busio, Bjarki Steinn Bjarkason, Mikael Ellertsson, Fali Cande, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
- FW: Christian Gytkjær, Alessio Zerbin
Venezia may opt for a 3-5-2 formation with Joronen providing a reliable presence in goal. Gytkjær’s forward positioning will be crucial for converting midfield penetration into goals.
Monza possible starting eleven
- GK: Stefano Turati
- DF: Pedro Pereira, Armando Izzo, Danilo D’Ambrosio, Samuele Birindelli
- MF: Patrick Ciurria, Roberto Gagliardini, Stefano Sensi, Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
- FW: Dany Mota, Keita Baldé
Monza is likely to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, looking to leverage Mota’s attacking prowess. Izzo’s leadership will be pivotal at the back.
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The Verdict
Despite both teams’ struggles, Venezia’s slight form edge and home advantage may see them nick a narrow win, but a low-scoring affair is anticipated. The key will be maintaining discipline and converting their limited chances.
