Venezia vs Modena Prediction: 10.02.2026 Serie B Preview

When Venezia host Modena at the charming Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo on 10 February 2026 for this key Serie B regular season clash, both sides will be squarely focused on staking their claim for playoff contention. With Giovanni Stroppa’s Venezia enjoying a vibrant patch of form, collecting a perfect 15 points from their last five matches, there’s an undeniable aura of confidence swirling amongst the lagoons. Modena, under Andrea Sottil, have stuttered of late—a meagre one win in five—but remain a tricky outfit capable of frustrating any side in Italy’s fiercely competitive second tier.

For those hunting for an intriguing subplot, keep an eye on Venezia’s midfield dynamo Gianluca Busio and Modena’s impressive all-rounder Fabio Gerli. Busio has recently played with irresistible energy and is chipping in with crucial goals, while Gerli’s engine room reliability and grit have been vital for Modena in tight encounters.

The standout stat? Venezia have netted an eye-popping 12 goals in their past five matches—an attacking rhythm few Serie B teams can match at present, and a threat that Modena’s backline will have to answer.

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Venezia vs Modena prediction

Given their irresistible momentum, Venezia are rightly tipped to win, and the odds reflect that, but there’s more to unpick. Stroppa’s 3-5-2 has hit its stride, the squad’s attacking intent sharper by the week—12 goals in five, as mentioned, is no fluke. Modena, for their part, have only managed 3 goals in the same span, and their underlying numbers—particularly 84 fouls and 6 yellow cards in their last five—show a side struggling to maintain control.

The high volume of fouls and bookings suggests Modena might be forced to play on the edge, especially against Venezia’s sharp midfield. Venice’s discipline (just 7 yellows in as many matches) and edge in possession and passing accuracy further bolster their claim. Expect Venezia to dictate tempo, keep the ball expertly, and carve out enough attacking chances to see off their visitors—particularly as Modena’s defense faces the daunting task of containing forwards brimming with confidence.

Team Analysis

Venezia come in riding a five-match winning streak, capped by a narrow but impressive 2-1 triumph over Frosinone—a top three rival—highlighting their big game nerve. The attack is humming: Andrea Adorante has chipped in with 3 goals in 4 appearances; midfielders Busio and Issa Doumbia are driving play, while the defense has stayed compact despite a few lapses in high-scoring games, notably the 5-2 over Mantova. Stroppa’s side love to dominate ball and spread play wide, leading to flurries of corners (18 in five games) and sustained pressure on opposition defenses.

Modena are stalling with just one win in five, and their confidence took a knock with a 1-2 home defeat to Sampdoria last time out. The attack has found life tough: scoring only thrice in five matches, their build-up play often stymied in the final third. On the plus side, Modena have racked up a startling 31 corners across this stretch, showing some set-piece prowess even in defeat—a factor that might keep them in the game if the midfield can hold firm. However, their defensive discipline is a growing concern, evidenced by a rash of yellow cards and frequent fouling. Watch for Gerli to try and steady the ship from midfield, but Modena’s recent form is cause for concern.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Venezia vs Modena stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Venezia the favourite

• Moneyline Venezia 2.10 | Modena 3.20
• Draw 3.20
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.90 | Under 2.5 1.75
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.95

The odds solidly favour Venezia—an assessment that’s difficult to argue with given both current form and home advantage. Modena’s drift in recent weeks makes them tricky to back, and Venezia’s goal-scoring rate combined with Modena’s defensive wobbles tilts the scales further. The draw is not out of the question, yet with Venezia’s attacking variety, a home win remains the shrewd pick. The over 2.5 goals bet also looks attractive given both teams’ tendency to concede, and BTTS offers value considering Modena might nick one from a set-piece.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Venezia possible starting eleven

• GK: Filip Stankovic
• DF: Richie Sagrado, Michael Svoboda, Antoine Hainaut
• MF: Gianluca Busio, Nunzio Lella, Issa Doumbia, Enrique Pérez Muñoz, John Yeboah
• FW: Andrea Adorante, Antonio Manuel Casas Marin

Stroppa should persist with his successful 3-5-2 scheme. Stankovic’s reliability between the sticks anchors a defensive trio boasting composure and physicality. In midfield, Busio and Doumbia are essential for both creativity and pressing, while Yeboah can trigger transitions from wide positions. Adorante’s recent goal-scoring surge cements his place up front. Watch for Doumbia’s deep runs and Busio’s vision to orchestrate attacks—form and understanding are the squad’s current weapons.

Modena possible starting eleven

• GK: Leandro Chichizola
• DF: Daniel Tonoli, Bryant Nieling, Francesco Zampano
• MF: Fabio Gerli, Simone Santoro, Yanis Massolin, Gady Beyuku, Alessandro Dellavalle
• FW: Ettore Gliozzi, Manuel De Luca

Sottil’s most repeated system is also a 3-5-2, with Chichizola returning as the reliable shot-stopper. Tonoli and Nieling line up at the back, with Zampano providing some width. Gerli is tasked with dictating play—his ball progression and ability to break lines will be critical. Up top, Gliozzi and De Luca need to rediscover their shooting boots if Modena are to trouble their hosts. With discipline an issue, Massolin and Santoro will also be tasked with keeping the midfield tight and avoiding unnecessary cards.

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My take on the Match

Venezia have found a gear that Modena simply haven’t been able to match, both in the stats and in their on-pitch confidence. The home crowd and the side’s composure in possession should see them control proceedings. My main pick: Venezia win, with over 2.5 goals and both teams finding the back of the net. Modena’s set-piece strength may trouble the hosts at times, but this feels like a match Venezia will use to further cement their promotion charge—while Modena’s discipline issues could cost them dearly. Whatever transpires, expect a tactical battle that will have neutrals and fans alike analysing every moment.

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