Liam Duckstein
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Venezia sit bottom of the table without a single point after four rounds, and Lazio arrive on the back of three straight wins before a draw slowed their momentum. Gennaro Gattuso’s side travel to the Penzo as clear favourites, but Giovanni Stroppa’s men have shown flashes of fight even while losing. The interesting wrinkle here is that Venezia have conceded at least two goals in every single match this season, a trend that plays right into Lazio’s hands given how sharp Davide Frattesi and company have looked in front of goal recently.
Davide Frattesi has been the standout name for Lazio, scoring three times in his last four appearances and driving the team forward from midfield. For Venezia, Akor Adams remains the focal point up top, firing 13 shots across his last five outings even though the end product hasn’t quite matched the volume yet.
Hot stat: Venezia have shipped 13 goals across their last five matches, conceding multiple goals in every single one of those games, a run that has left them as the only winless side in Serie A this season.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venice |
| 🗓️ Date: | 19.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
Venezia vs Lazio prediction
We predict a Lazio win here, and the value looks strongest in backing the away side alongside over 2.5 goals. Venezia’s defense has been porous all season, conceding in bunches, while Lazio’s front three carries enough movement to punish a side that has already let in 11 goals in four league games. To be honest, this doesn’t look close on paper, and the away odds around 1.87-1.90 reflect a fixture Lazio should control for large spells.
Venezia commit fouls at a moderate rate, averaging just over ten per match across their last five, and their passing accuracy has dipped noticeably against stronger sides. Lazio, by contrast, keep the ball tidier and draw more free kicks in dangerous areas, which could translate into set-piece chances given Venezia’s shaky marking. Expect Lazio to dominate territory while Venezia look to hit on the break through Adams and Lion Lauberbach.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Lazio to win and Both Teams to Score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Venezia have lost five matches in a row, and the most recent one summed up their season perfectly. They fell 2-4 to Fiorentina, conceding twice in each half after taking an early lead, a pattern that keeps repeating for Stroppa’s side. Four of their five previous matches ended in defeats with at least two goals conceded, and their away form has bled into home games too, leaving them without a single point on the board.
Lazio, meanwhile, drew 2-2 with Milan in their last outing after building a two-goal cushion, a result that snapped a three-match winning run. Gattuso’s team has still won three of its last five overall and sits fourth in the table with ten points from four games. The draw against Milan showed a rare defensive lapse from a side that had otherwise kept things tight, conceding just three goals across their opening four league fixtures.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Venezia | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 3 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Venezia vs Lazio stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Lazio the favourite
- Moneyline Venezia 3.90 | Lazio 1.87
- Draw 3.50
The market leans heavily toward Lazio, with odds hovering close to 1.87-2.03 across most books while Venezia sit in the 3.65-3.93 range. That gap makes sense given the gulf in form and table position. We see little value backing Venezia outright here, though a small each-way punt on the draw at around 3.50 could appeal to those wanting a hedge, since Venezia have shown they can occasionally hold their own for spells against bigger sides.
Possible Starting Lineups
Venezia possible starting eleven
- GK: Lorenzo Montipò
- DF: Joël Schingtienne, Redouane Halhal, Ale Gomes
- MF: Antoine Hainaut, Gianluca Busio, Simon Sohm, Thierry Correia
- MF: Enrique Pérez Muñoz, John Yeboah
- FW: Akor Adams
Stroppa should stick with his preferred 3-4-2-1 shape, using Hainaut and Correia as wide outlets either side of Busio and Sohm in the middle. Adams leads the line alone, and how he holds up ball possession will matter a lot given how deep his side tends to sit without the ball.
Lazio possible starting eleven
- GK: Christos Mandas
- DF: Nuno Tavares, Oliver Provstgaard, Danilho Doekhi, Romano Floriani Mussolini
- MF: Davide Frattesi, Reda Belahyane, Kenneth Taylor
- FW: Mattia Zaccagni, Tijjani Noslin, Gustav Isaksen
Gattuso’s 4-3-3 relies on Frattesi pushing forward from deep while Zaccagni drifts inside to link with Isaksen and Noslin. Tavares offers width down the left, and his overlaps could stretch a Venezia backline that has struggled to track wide runners this season.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Venezia. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Lazio should get the job done at the Penzo, perhaps not by a landslide, but comfortably enough given the gap in form. Venezia have conceded multiple goals in five straight matches, and Frattesi’s recent scoring streak gives Lazio a clear route to goal. Our punters team backs Lazio to win with both sides finding the net, landing on a final score somewhere around 1-3 or 0-2 in the visitors’ favor.
