Varazdin vs Vukovar 1991 Prediction: 13.03.2026 1. HNL

The 1. HNL regular season grinds on, and as we reach its crucial spring stage, the encounter between Varazdin and Vukovar 1991 offers a genuinely intriguing subplot. While both sides have struggled for consistency this campaign, this fixture could well define their respective mid-table destinies, with Varazdin hoping to cement safety and Vukovar 1991 desperate to claw up from the danger zone. Adding spice to the matchup is the recent power shift – both teams have snatched victories in the head-to-head this season, proving that the form book may well be up for shredding once again.

Among the key players to watch, Varazdin’s lively forward Iuri Tavares, with his tenacious pressing and eye for space, has been their most notable attacking outlet in recent fixtures. For Vukovar 1991, striker Jakov Puljić is the man to keep tabs on – his two goals in the last four matches make him a genuine threat, particularly on the counter. The midfield tussle between Varazdin’s Tomislav Duvnjak and Vukovar’s versatile Vito Caic could also prove pivotal, as both are capable of dictating tempo and transitions.

Hot stat: Vukovar 1991 have conceded a staggering 67 fouls in their last five games – comfortably leading the division over that span – which could prove costly against Varazdin’s set-piece technicians.

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Varazdin vs Vukovar 1991 prediction

Given Varazdin’s narrow advantage in squad cohesion and superior recent overall form at home, the best value lies with backing Varazdin on the Asian Handicap -0.25 line. While Varazdin have only managed a single win in seven, they’ve shown more resilience than their visitors, pulling draws against tougher opponents like Hajduk Split and holding firm against Lokomotiva Zagreb. Conversely, Vukovar 1991’s away form and leaky back line all season (44 goals conceded in 25 matches) suggest they’ll be hard-pressed to keep the home attack at bay, especially under pressure in this high-stakes clash.

Both teams tend toward midfield battles and aren’t shy of a scuffle – they’ve racked up 16 yellow cards between them in the last five matches, so discipline will be crucial. Vukovar’s high foul count indicates an overly aggressive pressing style that might unravel under Varazdin’s patient buildup and set-piece opportunities. Ball possession numbers indicate Varazdin will look to control proceedings through Duvnjak and Latkovic, while Vukovar may adopt a more direct approach utilising Puljić on the break. Expect a tetchy contest, likely kept honest by the referee’s whistle, and with goals at a premium unless the defences collapse under pressure late on.

Team Analysis

Varazdin recent games: Varazdin’s form book is a mixed bag – from a heavy 0-4 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb to commendable draws against high-flying Hajduk Split (1-1) and Lokomotiva Zagreb (1-1), and a disappointing collapse at home against Gorica (1-3). Their lone victory in the last seven, a less-than-convincing showing, underscores their current struggle for clinical edge up top. A persistent 4-2-3-1 formation has kept their midfield compact, but chance conversion remains their Achilles heel. Notably, Zelenika’s performances between the sticks have proved invaluable, particularly in matches where the defence has looked overwhelmed.

Vukovar 1991 recent games: Vukovar 1991 mirror much of Varazdin’s inconsistency, though perhaps with an even shakier defensive spine. Their last five showings include a vital 3-2 win over Istra 1961, a determined 2-2 against Slaven Belupo, but backs-to-the-wall stalemates with Osijek and Gorica, and a worrying inability to take their chances in a 0-1 home loss to Rijeka. Defensively, the team has been worryingly porous, over-reliant on Pavicic and Tadinovic to repel waves of pressure. Their 4-2-3-1 shape betrays a tendency to get caught out wide, though Puljić remains a perennial out-ball up front.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Varazdin vs Vukovar 1991 stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Varazdin the favourite

• Moneyline Varazdin 2.01 | Vukovar 1991 3.60–3.73
• Draw 3.10–3.40
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.13 | Under 2.5 1.70
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.75

Bookmakers peg Varazdin as slight favourites, albeit at cautious odds. Their status as hosts, coupled with a marginally better home record, sees them top the probability charts. However, the narrow split – less than 50 percent – underlines the unpredictability of both line-ups. Tight margins in recent head-to-heads point to a fractured, hard-fought contest where the first goal could prove decisive. The market’s price on Under 2.5 reflects collective faith in both teams’ attacking struggles, while BTTS remains a true fifty-fifty given both defences’ erratic records.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Varazdin possible starting eleven

Safaric is likely to keep faith with his 4-2-3-1 setup, seeking midfield control through Duvnjak and Latkovic. Zelenika provides composure in goal, while Tavares’ mobility and Mamut’s hold-up play should stretch a vulnerable Vukovar defensive shape. Vuk’s recent contributions also earmark him as a livewire supporting from wide left.

Vukovar 1991 possible starting eleven

Coach Cabraja is expected to deploy his typical 4-2-3-1, but faces a juggling act in midfield. Pintol anchors the back line, while Pavicic’s energy at right back will be crucial. Puljić’s role as focal point will be supported by Banovec and Tičinović, both of whom will need to offer more attacking thrust if Vukovar want anything from this tie.

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My take on the Match

Backing Varazdin for this one – tentatively, but with reason. Their home resilience, marginally superior ball retention, and the creative spark provided by Tavares just tip the scales in their favour. While they’re far from flawless and still liable to the odd defensive lapse, Vukovar’s lack of control in midfield and discipline concerns remain major red flags. Expect a closely fought battle, with Varazdin eking out a 1-0 win, steadying their season’s ship, and possibly signalling brighter days ahead for Safaric’s squad as we approach the business end of the league campaign.

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