Varazdin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb Prediction: 09.05.2026 1. HNL 2025/26 Preview

Varazdin and Lokomotiva Zagreb face off in what’s shaping up as a pivotal late-season clash in the Croatian 1. HNL regular campaign. The match, set at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, features two sides separated by six points but with ambitions that feel much closer than the table suggests. Both clubs have shown streaky form, yet Varazdin’s push for a top-three finish adds extra intrigue. One compelling detail: both teams prefer attacking fullbacks and have racked up a combined 10 goals in their last five matches, underlining the potential for open play.

Keep an eye on Iuri Tavares for Varazdin — three goals from him in the last five games speak to his knack for finding space inside the box. For Lokomotiva Zagreb, Blaž Bošković stands out; two goals and a penchant for winning set-pieces make him a constant threat in midfield transitions.

Hot stat: Varazdin have not drawn a single match in their last five, going win-loss without settling for parity — expect a result one way or another.

Varazdin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb prediction

We think Varazdin to win is the best value option for this match. At home, Varazdin have been consistent, taking 3 wins in their last 5 outings, and their attack has produced seven goals in that span. Lokomotiva Zagreb, despite recent improvement, have looked vulnerable at the back — conceding three against Rijeka and drawing blanks in a few recent away matches.

Stylistically, both sides aren’t shy about fouling: Varazdin (53 fouls, 9 yellows in 5 matches), Lokomotiva Zagreb (70 fouls, 11 yellows in 5). This will likely disrupt rhythm, so don’t expect free-flowing football for 90 minutes. Varazdin’s better pass completion (average 78% in the last five) should help them retain more possession and create better chances, especially in transition. Lokomotiva’s tendency to concede corners and free kicks — 21 corners allowed in 5 games — could play into Varazdin’s hands, particularly if set-piece threats like Boršić get forward.

Team Analysis

Varazdin’s last match was a 1-3 loss at home to Hajduk Split. The result reflected defensive lapses, but Varazdin still managed a respectable attacking output, forcing several saves and hitting the woodwork once. Before that, they edged Rijeka 1-0 and beat Osijek 2-0, showing they can shut out opponents at home. Their recent run (three wins, two losses in five) hints at inconsistency but also potential for strong performances in front of their own fans.

Lokomotiva Zagreb, meanwhile, were outclassed 0-3 by Rijeka in their last outing. Defensive organization fell apart after the first goal, and their midfield gave up too many easy passes. Still, they put together wins against Slaven Belupo, Gorica, and Istra 1961 earlier in this stretch. Their formline (two wins, two losses, one draw in the last five) shows a team that can capitalize on weaker opposition but struggles to contain teams with more creative midfielders.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Varazdin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Varazdin the favourite

• Moneyline Varazdin 2.00 | Lokomotiva Zagreb 3.40
• Draw 3.50
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.72
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.65 | No 2.20

Bookies have Varazdin as favourites, with odds around 2.00 at top bookmakers. Lokomotiva’s win at 3.40 reflects their inconsistent away form and defensive frailties. The high price on a draw (3.50) feels justified, as neither team has drawn often lately. Over 2.5 goals looks solid with both teams averaging more than a goal per match in recent outings. BTTS is set low, suggesting both attacks can breach these defences — both have scored in four of the last five head-to-head meetings.

Possible Starting Lineups

Varazdin possible starting eleven

Zelenika starts in goal — he’s been the ever-present between the sticks. Boršić, Maglica, Barać, and Lesjak make up a defensive line with decent chemistry and discipline. Midfield features the energetic Duvnjak and Puclin alongside Latkovic, who has added attacking impetus. Vuk and Marina push high to support Tavares, the clear focal point up front. Varazdin will probably stick with their preferred 4-2-3-1, relying on width and late runs from midfielders. Watch for Tavares and Boršić on set pieces.

Lokomotiva Zagreb possible starting eleven

Posavec has been reliable as first-choice keeper. In defence, Dajcer, Kolinger, and Pajač provide experience, while Subotić and Vešović offer width in the wingback roles. Bošković and Belcar control midfield; both contribute offensively and defensively. Up front, Šušak and Stojakovic are likely to lead the line — both carry goal threats. Lokomotiva Zagreb tend to use a 3-4-2-1, which morphs into 5-4-1 when defending. Bošković and Šušak are the players to watch, especially on quick counters and second balls.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

We think Varazdin’s recent attacking form at home, combined with Lokomotiva Zagreb’s defensive inconsistencies, tips the balance toward the hosts. Expect an open match with goals, but also a fair amount of fouls and cards as both sides press for points. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score look attractive, but Varazdin to win stands out as the best play, especially with the edge in home form and squad stability.

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