Arjun Menon
The Croatian 1. HNL serves up a pivotal regular season fixture as Varazdin take on Gorica at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec. Both teams arrive level on recent form, registering two wins, one draw, and one defeat each in their last four matches—a testament to their competitive balance this campaign. Varazdin’s assured home presence and Gorica’s resilience away set up an intriguing contest, with subtle tactical edges likely to separate the two sides.
While neither team boasts headline-grabbing stars this season, Varazdin will look to the creative spark of their attacking midfielder, whose intelligent movement has been crucial in recent victories. Gorica counters with their industrious winger, a player known for both work rate and producing key chances from wide areas. Each possesses the skill to tip the match in their team’s favor.
Hot stat: Varazdin delivered a statement performance with a 4-0 victory over Emirates Club in their last outing, underlining their attacking prowess and clean-sheet potential at home.
| 🏆 Tournament: | 1. HNL 2025/26 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varazdin |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.01.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:00 CEST |
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Varazdin vs Gorica prediction
The best value in this fixture points towards a Varazdin victory or, cautiously, covering the Draw No Bet market for the hosts. With Varazdin’s convincing recent performance—a 4-0 win—and their competitive edge at home, the odds present decent value. Gorica’s improvement in away fixtures can’t be discounted, but a recent strong home record for Varazdin and higher goal-scoring potential tip the scale in their favour.
Both teams typically play with discipline rather than aggression; expect an open match but not a particularly scrappy one. Varazdin have averaged slightly better ball retention and a proactive approach at home, though neither club has seen high volumes of yellow cards or fouls in recent matches. This suggests a game likely decided by technical quality and the ability to finish chances in open play rather than set-piece chaos or disciplinary lapses.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Varazdin Draw No Bet |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Varazdin: In their last five fixtures, Varazdin have shown renewed attacking impetus, most notably in their 4-0 demolition of Emirates Club. Their ability to capitalize on chances was evident, and their defensive line maintained strong organization, keeping clean sheets in challenging contexts. The midfield’s contribution, both defensively and creatively, was a standout feature—linking possession and distributing the ball comfortably, as reflected in recent pass accuracy upticks. Prior matches also included a 4-2 win over Al Ittifaq Dubai and a goalless draw with Kairat Almaty, solidifying their status as a well-drilled, versatile outfit.
Gorica: Gorica’s last five games have seen them steady the ship after a rocky spell. Edging Zalaegerszegi 1-0 and defeating Radomlje 2-0 reflects resilience and a newfound edge in tight matches. Their ability to manage narrow leads and absorb pressure away are positive signs. The 1-1 draw versus Koper and a close 1-0 loss to Rijeka underline their mixed defensive record but also highlight improved structure. Coach Mario Carevic has them operating with greater balance, emphasizing controlled possession and calculated forward runs.
🚨Read our full Varazdin vs Gorica stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Varazdin the favourite
- Moneyline Varazdin 2.02-2.08 | Gorica 3.40-4.03
- Draw 2.96-3.20
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.40 | Under 2.5 1.47
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.98 | No 1.73
The odds reinforce Varazdin’s slight favouritism, with bookmakers giving them a win probability of about 45 percent. Draw and away win probabilities trail at 30 percent and 25 percent, respectively. These lines provide value on Varazdin, especially with their recent run of strong home performances, but the narrow margins reflect Gorica’s potential to frustrate.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Possible Starting Lineups
Expected to stick with a balanced 4-2-3-1, Varazdin will look to control midfield possession and utilize wide players for tempo shifts. The attacking midfielder stands out as the main orchestrator, while the lone forward is likely to benefit from their supply. Watch for overlapping runs from full-backs adding width.
Likely to deploy a 4-4-2 setup to provide defensive solidity, Gorica’s emphasis will be on quick transitions and direct play out wide. Their winger is a player to watch, given recent performances and ability to get behind defenders. The double pivot in midfield must be disciplined to contain Varazdin’s creativity.
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Gorica. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
My take on the Match
My main pick is Varazdin Draw No Bet. The combination of strong home form, recent attacking fluency—shown in the 4-0 win—and Gorica’s inconsistent away defensive record gives Varazdin the edge. Expect a measured, technical match with limited goals. Gorica can threaten in transitions, but Varazdin’s organization and balance across lines should be decisive. This is a contest that rewards patience and intelligent gameplay over risk-taking.
