When Varazdin and Gorica meet on April 3, 2026, at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, both sides will be seeking momentum as they enter the decisive stretch of the 1. HNL season. Just six points and three places separate the teams in the standings, with Varazdin sitting fourth and Gorica seventh. While Varazdin have stuttered lately, Gorica arrive with quietly improving form. Notably, their last encounter saw Gorica claim a convincing 3-1 away victory in the Croatian Cup quarterfinals—proof that they can be dangerous even as underdogs.
Two players to watch in this clash are Varazdin’s versatile forward Aleksa Latkovic, who has delivered both goals and assists in recent outings, and Gorica’s explosive attacker Bruno Bogojević, whose three goals and one assist over his last three starts make him a potent threat. These players could be pivotal in swinging the outcome in their team’s favor. The “hot stat” to keep in mind: Gorica have hit an impressive 12 goals across their last five matches, outscoring Varazdin two-to-one in that period—a clear signal of their attacking intent.
| 🏆 Tournament: | 1. HNL 2025/26 (Regular Season) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion Anđelko Herjavec, Varazdin |
| 🗓️ Date: | 03.04.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:15 CEST |
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Varazdin vs Gorica prediction
Given Gorica’s surging attack, evidenced by 12 goals from their last five fixtures and an emphatic 3-1 win away at Varazdin in the cup, there is clear momentum in their camp. However, Varazdin’s home consistency in the league (with just four losses in 13 home matches this season) and their solid defensive structure in the 3-4-2-1 setup mean this game could be tighter than some expect.
The best value pick is Over 2.5 goals. Both sides have shown a tendency for multi-goal matches recently, and neither has been rock-solid defensively—Varazdin have conceded 38 goals in 27 league games, while Gorica have shipped 38 as well. That offensive edge, combined with vulnerable backlines, suggests there will be chances at both ends.
Discipline may also play a role: across their last five games, these teams have combined for 21 yellow cards, indicating the potential for set-piece opportunities. Gorica’s pass accuracy has dropped slightly away from home, and Varazdin’s midfield duos aren’t shy about putting a foot in, so expect this to be a spirited contest with multiple momentum shifts.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Over 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Varazdin Recent Form:
Varazdin’s last five matches exemplify inconsistency. Their recent home defeat (1-2) to a well-drilled Istra 1961 side exposed lapses in defensive concentration, especially down the flanks. Previous to that, they recorded a routine 2-0 win over Vukovar 1991, showing attacking verve but against limited opposition. A 1-1 home draw with Lokomotiva Zagreb underlined their struggle to turn dominance into goals despite a high volume of total shots (80 over their last five matches). The 1-3 defeat at home to Gorica in the Croatian Cup stuck out—not just for the three goals conceded, but the manner in which Gorica punished every mistake committed by the Varazdin backline.
Gorica Recent Form:
Gorica’s last five games, meanwhile, reveal a team with both attacking firepower and some defensive resilience. The 4-0 thrashing of Rijeka was a statement, featuring three different scorers and a dominant 151 completed passes from left-back Marijan Čabraja. The goalless draw with Osijek and a 2-2 stalemate with Slaven Belupo point to lingering inconsistency, but their 3-1 away win in Varazdin and a respectable 2-4 defeat to league leaders Dinamo Zagreb show they’re dangerous, especially on the break and from set-pieces. With 46 total shots in their last five, they’re getting the ball into key areas—a great sign for over bettors.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Varazdin | Gorica |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 11 | 11 |
| Total shots | 80 | 46 |
| Free kicks | 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks | 16 | 21 |
| Total fouls | 38 | 35 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 76 | 61 |
| Interceptions | 16 | 29 |
| Offsides | 7 | 6 |
🚨Read our full Varazdin vs Gorica stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Varazdin the favourite
- Moneyline Varazdin 2.25 | Gorica 3.10
- Draw 3.08
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.80
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.61 | No 2.20
Bookmakers see Varazdin as narrow favourites, primarily due to their home advantage and slightly better league position. However, the odds for a Gorica win are quite generous, reflecting their improved recent form and capacity for upsets—not least their recent 3-1 victory at this venue. The high BTTS odds reflect both sides’ scoring potential and defensive vulnerabilities. Over 2.5 offers value given recent goal tallies, but caution is warranted due to Varazdin’s tendency for low-scoring draws.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Possible Starting Lineups

Varazdin possible starting eleven
- GK: Oliver Zelenika
- DF: Luka Skaricic, Frane Maglica, Roberto Punčec
- MF: Tomislav Duvnjak, Aleksa Latkovic, Gregor Sikošek, Antonio Boršić
- FW: Matej Vuk, Ivan Canjuga, Luka Mamic
Varazdin are expected to stick with their tried-and-tested 3-4-2-1 formation, which gives them an extra man in midfield to disrupt Gorica’s build-up play. Zelenika remains a vital last line of defence, while Latkovic’s recent run of goals and assists makes him essential in transition phases. Expect Maglica and Punčec to shoulder a lot of responsibility against Gorica’s attack-minded wingers. The front three offers a mix of physical presence and mobility, with Matej Vuk particularly dangerous in tight situations.

Gorica possible starting eleven
- GK: Davor Matijaš
- DF: Stefan Perić, Marijan Čabraja, Jakov Filipović, Ante Kavelj
- MF: Iker Pozo, Jurica Pršir, Domagoj Pavičić, Ognjen Bakic, Theo Epailly
- FW: Bruno Bogojević
Gorica are set to field a 4-1-4-1 formation—compact in defence, but transitioning quickly to attack through wide players. Matijaš has been reliable, with Čabraja providing both defensive stability and attacking thrust from left-back. Pavičić’s recent goal-scoring form and Pozo’s creativity will be key components. Bruno Bogojević, in scintillating goal-scoring form, spearheads the attack and is arguably the biggest threat Varazdin must contend with.
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Gorica. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
My take on the Match
This game promises excitement and tactical intrigue. My main pick remains “Over 2.5 goals”—supported by both teams’ attacking output and defensive frailties. Varazdin will rely on midfield control and set-pieces, while Gorica’s speed on the counter and recent efficiency in front of goal point toward a showdown with plenty of goals and drama. For punters, watching line movements leading up to kickoff will be key, but goals seem set to flow in Varazdin.

