Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb Prediction: 22.02.2026 1. HNL Preview

On 22 February 2026, Stadion Anđelko Herjavec will set the stage for a pivotal 1. HNL regular season encounter between Varazdin and Dinamo Zagreb. This clash spotlights a Varazdin side battling for European qualification against a Dinamo Zagreb team eager to cement their position at the league’s summit. With both clubs in mixed form from their recent league fixtures, the match serves as a litmus test, offering valuable insight into both squads’ resilience and tactical flexibility.

Watch out for Dion Drena Beljo, Dinamo Zagreb’s prolific forward (4 goals in his last 5 matches), whose clinical finishing could stretch Varazdin’s defence. For Varazdin, Ivan Mamut brings both goals and creativity, having chipped in with 2 goals and an assist in the last three appearances. Their ability to influence proceedings will be vital to their teams’ respective outcomes.

A highlight from recent games: Dinamo Zagreb registered an impressive 33 corners across their last five matches—a testament to their sustained attacking intent and wide play dominance.

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Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction

Given current form, league standing, and historic dominance, the best value lies in backing Dinamo Zagreb for the win. Dinamo Zagreb have not only amassed 48 points from 22 matches, but they also boast a stellar 48-17 goal difference—clear evidence of their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. Varazdin, while capable of upset performances at home, have struggled against top-tier sides, exemplified in their recent 0-3 home defeat to Radnik Krizevci. With Dinamo’s forward line firing and their midfield dictating possession, the away side’s quality is set to shine.

Statistically, Dinamo Zagreb are disciplined—just 6 yellow cards in their last five matches, compared to Varazdin’s 8. They also average more than double the shots (78 vs 36), and far more completed passes, demonstrating greater control in midfield battles. Varazdin’s slightly higher foul count suggests they could try to disrupt Dinamo’s rhythm, but this approach risks set pieces and possible bookings.

Team Analysis

Varazdin head into this clash after a disappointing 0-3 defeat to Radnik Krizevci—an outcome that raised questions about their defensive compactness. In their last five, they’ve managed two wins, two losses, and a draw, conceding more frequently than they would like. Their 4-2-3-1 formation relies on midfield balance, but lapses in concentration have cost them, with 28 fouls and 8 yellow cards in recent fixtures. Ivan Mamut and Matej Vuk have provided a spark up front, though support from midfield has been inconsistent.

Dinamo Zagreb have displayed their quality in bursts, especially in a 4-0 demolition of Istra 1961, yet stumbled against Genk (1-3) in European action. Across their last five matches, they’ve netted 8 goals while conceding five, their well-oiled 4-2-3-1 structure facilitating both strong positional play and transition attacks. With the creative core of Josip Mišić and Miha Zajc controlling tempo, and wide players like Luka Stojkovic stretching the opposition, Dinamo offer threats from multiple angles.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Dinamo Zagreb the favourite

• Moneyline Varazdin 5.20 | Dinamo Zagreb 1.55
• Draw 3.90
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 1.95
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.90 | No 1.85

Bookmakers clearly back Dinamo Zagreb, pricing them as heavy favourites at average odds of 1.55. Varazdin are significant underdogs (5.20), reflecting their mixed form and issues at both ends of the pitch against elite competition. The slight edge in odds for Over 2.5 goals (1.85) suggests expectations of an open game, possibly driven by Dinamo’s attacking strength and Varazdin’s defensive vulnerabilities. BTTS is nearly even, but recent meetings have often seen one-sided scorelines. Punters seeking value should note Dinamo’s urge to push for early goals and maintain dominance throughout.

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Possible Starting Lineups

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My take on the Match

My main pick for this fixture is a Dinamo Zagreb win—potentially with a handicap. Dinamo’s tactical control, consistent threat from wide areas, and superior squad depth suggest a comfortable victory, especially if Beljo continues his rich vein of form. Varazdin could trouble the visitors in brief moments, particularly through Mamut and quick transitions, but their lack of defensive cohesion against top opposition leaves them vulnerable. Expect Dinamo to assert control early, dominate possession, and create a high volume of chances.

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