Sofia Quijada
Uruguay W host Venezuela W at the iconic Estadio Centenario in Montevideo in what is a significant late-stage fixture of the CONMEBOL Liga de Naciones Femenina 2025/26 regular season. The hosts sit eighth in the standings with just five points from seven matches, while Venezuela arrive third on eleven points, buoyed by a strong goal difference of +13. The gap in current form is stark: Venezuela beat Bolivia 8-0 in their last outing and upset Brazil 2-1 earlier in the campaign, whereas Uruguay have lost four of their last seven league games and were beaten 1-0 by Colombia in their most recent fixture. Keep an eye on Venezuela’s attacking line, which has plundered 18 goals in seven matches, and Uruguay midfielder C. González, who has been one of the few consistent presences in a struggling Uruguayan setup.
Hot stat: Venezuela scored 8 goals against Bolivia in their last match and have netted 18 goals in just 7 league games, making them the highest-scoring side outside the top two in this competition.
| 🏆 Tournament: | CONMEBOL Liga de Naciones Femenina 2025/26 – Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Centenario, Montevideo |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Uruguay W vs Venezuela W Prediction
Venezuela are the clear favourites here and the bookmakers reflect that with an implied probability of 48% for an away win. Uruguay have won just one of their last seven league games and their attacking output has been poor, managing only 6 goals across those seven matches. Venezuela, by contrast, arrive with momentum and firepower. Their 5-4-1 defensive shape tends to absorb pressure well and then release quickly on the counter, which will suit them against a home side that struggles to create consistently.
Uruguay’s 4-2-3-1 setup gives them some structure in midfield, but with only 4 total shots and 0 goals in their last recorded match, the attacking threat is minimal. Their foul count of 15 in that fixture and 2 yellow cards suggest a physical approach that may invite set-piece danger against themselves. Venezuela’s disciplined block and fast transitions make them a strong candidate to win this match.
We predict a Venezuela win. The value lies with the away side given the odds of 1.86-1.91, which is fair considering their league position, goal record, and Uruguay’s recent struggles at home in this competition.
- Best bet: Venezuela W to win (Away Win)
- Value pick: Over 2.5 goals, given Venezuela’s prolific attack and Uruguay’s leaky defense (conceding 10 in 7 games)
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Venezuela W to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Uruguay W have endured a difficult campaign under coach Ariel Longo. Their recent five-match run in this competition tells a troubled story: a draw with Ecuador, two wins over Bolivia and Paraguay (the latter not featuring here), losses to Peru and Chile, and a narrow defeat to Colombia. The Colombia loss, their most recent match, saw them produce only 4 shots and fail to score, which points to a team lacking attacking ideas. Their pass accuracy in that game was poor, with just 115 completed passes from 186 attempted, and their 15 fouls committed show a reactive, defensive mindset that still couldn’t keep a clean sheet. C. González was the only midfielder to complete the full 90 minutes with any statistical impact, picking up a yellow card while making 3 interceptions.
Venezuela W have been one of the more impressive attacking sides in this tournament despite sitting third. Their last match, an 8-0 demolition of Bolivia, was their most emphatic result of the campaign. Before that, they beat Brazil 2-1 in a notable result, and while they did lose to Argentina 1-2 and Colombia 1-2, those defeats came against the top two sides in the competition. Venezuela drew 2-2 with Club America W earlier in the campaign, showing they can compete across different levels. Coach Pamela Conti has set them up in a disciplined 5-4-1 that defends deep but attacks with pace and numbers when the opportunity arises.
🚨Check out our dedicated Uruguay W vs Venezuela W stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Venezuela W the Favourite
- Moneyline Uruguay W 3.60–3.65 | Venezuela W 1.86–1.91
- Draw 3.25
The odds accurately reflect the current state of both teams. Venezuela at 1.86-1.91 represent fair value given their third-place standing and 18-goal tally in seven matches. Uruguay at 3.60-3.65 carry too much risk for a team with a single league win this season. The draw at 3.25 is tempting on paper, but Uruguay’s lack of goals makes a stalemate unlikely unless Venezuela disengage after taking an early lead. We lean toward the Venezuela win at the available price.
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Venezuela (w). Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Venezuela W are the better team on current form, in standings, and by goal output. Uruguay have managed just 6 goals in 7 league games and their last match produced zero shots on target and zero corners, pointing to a team that is struggling to create any meaningful attacking threat. Venezuela’s attack has been prolific, and their 5-4-1 structure gives them the platform to defend leads and punish transitions.
We predict a Venezuela W win, with goals likely coming from their active midfield runners. Over 2.5 goals is also a reasonable market given Uruguay’s defensive vulnerabilities and Venezuela’s scoring rate. To be honest, the 1.86 available on Venezuela is the pick of the card here, and BTTS at yes adds further interest given Uruguay’s home pride and Venezuela’s high line when attacking.
