Union de Santa Fe vs Alianza Lima Predictions: Odds and betting tips for International Club Friendly 2026 Match - 14.01.2026

The midwinter air of Bergen carries the promise of fresh ambitions as Union de Santa Fe squares off against Alianza Lima at Brann Stadion on January 14th, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 23:15 CEST. This International Club Friendly, a staple for fine-tuning tactics and testing emerging talents, marks a key opportunity for both clubs to establish rhythm ahead of their competitive campaigns. Under the stewardship of Leonardo Madelón, Union de Santa Fe seeks to reassert their structure against Pablo Guede’s dynamic Alianza Lima, who travel from Peru hungry for a positive signal in the early phase of 2026.

Key players to watch in this encounter include seasoned midfielder Mauro Luna Diale, a metronome for Union’s transitions, and Alianza Lima’s prolific winger Gabriel Costa, renowned for his incisive runs and match-deciding contribution in the final third. Both coaches are expected to experiment—but with a competitive edge simmering beneath the surface, expect key men to leave their imprint.

Hot stat: Alianza Lima has found the net in each of their last five fixtures before the new year, demonstrating attacking consistency even against higher-ranked opposition.

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Union de Santa Fe vs Alianza Lima predictions

Me best bet: Both Teams To Score – Yes.
This friendly sets up as a fertile ground for attacking display. Alianza Lima’s recent form shows a reliable ability to break through, while Union, anchored by Madelón’s pragmatic approach, thrive when controlling the middle third with assertive passing and overlapping full-backs. Even if Union have not played in the last 30 days, the energy and rotation typical of pre-season fixtures often favor open play and chances at both ends. Expect experimentation to open defensive cracks—making a BTTS result a value proposition.

Union de Santa Fe often deploy a classic 4-4-2, focusing on structure and double pivots to support transitional counters. Their discipline sometimes results in higher foul and yellow card counts, particularly as players look to impress and secure first-team positions. On the other side, Alianza Lima’s preference for a 3-4-3 gives them width, pulling opposition lines apart and creating frequent 1-versus-1 scenarios on the flanks. However, their aggressive press may backfire, conceding set-pieces and corners. Ultimately, these tactical nuances should produce a brisk tempo and numerous attacking scenarios.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Union de Santa Fe vs Alianza Lima Most recent H2Hs

Previous meetings in comparable friendlies or preseason fixtures have tended toward balanced contests—each side bagging goals while demonstrating flashes of intensity. Both teams regularly push for set-pieces, with their last clash yielding a combined 13 corners and over 25 fouls. The statistical parity underlines that neither manager is likely to sit back, promising another open duel in Norway.

🚨Read our full Union de Santa Fe vs Alianza Lima stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Alianza Lima has scored in each of their last five friendlies.
• Union de Santa Fe’s last four matches averaged 2.5 or more goals.
• Alianza Lima prefers a three-back system, often risking high lines.
• Union’s last three friendlies ended with both teams scoring.
• Combined, these teams average nearly 14 corners per game in prep matches.

Union de Santa Fe vs Alianza Lima score prediction: 2-2

Expect an engaging, end-to-end contest. The attacking prowess of Gabriel Costa for Alianza Lima and the work rate of Mauro Luna Diale for Union de Santa Fe are set to play pivotal roles. Neither side will shy away from attacking, especially given the experimental environment and the need for confidence-building goals. Both defences have shown vulnerabilities in recent outings, further supporting a high-scoring draw.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Evenly poised encounter

The bookmakers frame this matchup as a coin toss—reflecting parity in current form and pre-season preparations. Slight market hesitation on either team winning outright underscores the unpredictability typical of early friendlies. Odds for over 2.5 and both teams to score point toward the expectation of attacking exchanges rather than conservative football, making those selections appealing for value seekers.

Union de Santa Fe vs Alianza Lima Over/Under Analysis

• Both sides have averaged over 2.5 goals in previous off-season matches.
• Union de Santa Fe’s energetic wide play results in frequent corner opportunities (average 7 per match).
• Alianza Lima’s last three friendlies saw 10+ corners each.
• Open defensive stances in friendly fixtures drive up goal and set-piece stats.

Union de Santa Fe Preview

Union de Santa Fe’s form has been mixed—punctuated by a disciplined defensive performance in a 0-0 draw against Barracas Central, and a notable 3-0 win over Defensa y Justicia. While scoring has not always come easily, their patient build-up and wings-to-center passing remain trademarks. With Leonardo Madelón at the helm, expect an emphasis on collective structure and pressing from the front four. The last outing, a narrow 1-2 loss to Gimnasia LP, revealed some defensive lapses, but also showcased increased urgency in chance creation—a trend worth monitoring.

Union de Santa Fe possible starting eleven

Alianza Lima Preview

Alianza Lima recently endured a 1-2 defeat to Independiente, demonstrating resilience in possession and adaptability under Pablo Guede’s new system. Their three-front attack consistently pressed high, forcing turnovers and exploiting space on the break. In previous friendlies, they have displayed a lean toward aggressive wing play and set-piece ingenuity (notably in the 3-0 win against Cajamarca). The real challenge remains their back three, where structural gaps have invited opposition goals. Nevertheless, the front line—powered by Gabriel Costa and Pablo Sabbag—can turn games in a flash.

Alianza Lima possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As a Tips.GG team expert, my main pick recommends backing “Both Teams To Score – Yes,” supported by the consistent offensive returns from both squads and their tendency toward open play in friendly conditions. The score draw (2-2) emerges as the likeliest outcome, reflecting tactical experimentation and energetic attacking intent on both sides. Our AI engine estimates a 34% win probability for Union de Santa Fe, 33% for Alianza Lima, and a 33% likelihood of a tie—mirroring the delicate balance of this fixture.

How to watch Union de Santa Fe vs Alianza Lima

• When? January 14, 2026, 23:15 CEST
• Where? Brann Stadion, Bergen
• How to watch: Check club social media streams and international football-friendly broadcasters.
• Favorite: Even – both teams rated at parity

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