Levi Rothermund
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Union Berlin host Eintracht Frankfurt at An der Alten Försterei on Matchday 1 of the Bundesliga 2026/27 season. These two sides met four times in the previous two campaigns, producing some genuinely unpredictable results, including a 4-3 thriller back in the 2025/26 season. Frankfurt arrive in significantly better form, but Union’s home record and the derby atmosphere in Berlin make this far from a straightforward call.
Two players stand out heading into this fixture. Can Yilmaz Uzun has been in outstanding shape for Frankfurt, contributing 2 goals and 3 assists across just two recent matches, making him the focal point of Adi Hütter’s attack. For Union Berlin, Marin Ljubičić is the one to watch, scoring twice and adding an assist in his last outing, showing the kind of clinical edge Union will need if they are to trouble Frankfurt’s defence.
The hot stat coming into this match belongs to Eintracht Frankfurt: they scored 11 goals in a single game against DJK Teutonia St. Tönis in their most recent outing, accumulating 42 total shots across their last five matches compared to Union’s 17. That attacking output gap is genuinely significant.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Bundesliga 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | An der Alten Försterei, Berlin |
| 🗓️ Date: | 29.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 15:30 CEST |
Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction
Frankfurt are the value pick here. Their form over the last 30 days reads five wins from six matches, a winrate of 83%, and they have been scoring freely. Union, by contrast, won just two of their last five and lost twice, with their attack producing a modest four goals over that same stretch. The bookmakers see this as near-even, with Frankfurt sitting at roughly 36% implied probability, but the underlying stats lean more heavily toward the visitors.
We think an Eintracht Frankfurt win is the play. Their attacking volume, pass accuracy, and recent consistency all point in the same direction. Union have shown they can score at home, evidenced by that 4-2 win against Braunschweig, but they also conceded four to Ipswich recently, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities Frankfurt’s forwards will be keen to exploit.
Looking at style of play, Union Berlin averaged 18 fouls across their last five matches and picked up 3 yellow cards, suggesting a physical but not reckless approach. Frankfurt committed 23 fouls and collected just 1 yellow card, meaning they press hard without losing discipline. Frankfurt’s pass accuracy of 879 successful passes from 1032 attempts dwarfs Union’s 198 from 272, reflecting a team that controls the ball and dictates tempo. That possession dominance should give Frankfurt the platform to create the chances their forwards clearly know how to convert.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Eintracht Frankfurt to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Union Berlin’s last five matches have been a mixed picture. They beat Braunschweig 4-2 in their most recent game, which gives them confidence heading into the new Bundesliga campaign, but the results before that tell a different story. A 2-4 loss to Ipswich exposed their defensive frailty, and even their wins came against lower-rated opposition in Aris Limassol and Braunschweig. The 1-2 home defeat to Dynamo Dresden was a notable low point. Mauro Lustrinelli’s side have goals in them, but they are inconsistent, and that inconsistency has defined their 2026 calendar year, where they won just 8 of 30 matches for a 27% winrate.
Eintracht Frankfurt have been in a different gear entirely. Their 11-0 demolition of DJK Teutonia St. Tönis in their last outing is an extreme result, but the wins before that tell the same story of a team in form: a 5-1 win over FSV Frankfurt and a 2-0 victory against Hull. The one blot is a 0-7 loss to Brentford, which looks like an outlier given the wider context. Across 30 matches this year, Frankfurt have won 11 for a 37% winrate, and their last 30 days produced 5 wins from 6. Adi Hütter’s team carry genuine momentum into this fixture.
🚨Check out our dedicated Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt stats page for more info.
The four previous meetings between these clubs produced 14 goals in total, with Union Berlin edging the aggregate 8-6. Two of those four matches ended in draws, and the lone 4-3 result in 2025/26 shows how open these fixtures can get. Frankfurt won the most recent league meeting between the sides in the Bundesliga 2025/26 season, though Union had the better record across the two campaigns combined. Goals have consistently come at both ends, which supports the BTTS angle for this match.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite
- Moneyline Union Berlin 2.55 | Eintracht Frankfurt 2.65
- Draw 3.65
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The moneyline odds sit extremely close, which is honestly a slight surprise given the form gap. Bookmakers give Frankfurt a 36% implied probability and Union 38%, but we think those numbers underestimate Frankfurt’s current level. The draw at around 3.60-3.70 offers decent value if you believe the head-to-head pattern of shared points will repeat, but Frankfurt’s recent form makes a straight win the more attractive option. Union’s home advantage is the main factor keeping the odds this tight.
Possible Starting Lineups
Union Berlin possible starting eleven
- GK: Matheo Raab
- DF: Josip Juranović, Leopold Querfeld, Zeno Van Den Bosch, Tom Rothe
- MF: Rani Khedira, Aljoscha Kemlein, Woo-Yeong Jeong, Ilyas Ansah
- FW: Marin Ljubičić, Livan Burcu
Lustrinelli has been using a 4-2-3-1 shape, and this squad selection reflects that. Matheo Raab starts in goal after featuring in the Braunschweig win. The back four picks itself, with Tom Rothe offering a goal threat from left back. In midfield, Khedira and Kemlein provide the defensive base, with Jeong and Ansah pushing higher. Marin Ljubičić leads the line after his two-goal, one-assist performance last time out and is the player Frankfurt’s defence will need to watch most carefully.
Eintracht Frankfurt possible starting eleven
- GK: Kauã Santos
- DF: Keita Kosugi, Robin Koch, Elias Niklas Baum, Otávio Manoel Galdino Fernandes
- MF: Raphael Onyedika Nwadike, Can Yilmaz Uzun, Mario Götze, Fares Chaibi
- FW: Jonathan Burkardt, Younes Ebnoutalib
Hütter’s 4-2-3-1 mirrors Union’s setup, which should make for an interesting tactical battle. Kauã Santos takes the goalkeeper spot based on recent appearances. Robin Koch contributes from the back, having scored in recent games. The midfield is where Frankfurt’s quality really shows: Can Yilmaz Uzun sits at the heart of their attack with 5 direct goal contributions across two matches, and Mario Götze adds composure and creativity. Jonathan Burkardt leads the line with 3 goals and 2 assists in his last two outings, making him the most dangerous forward on the pitch.
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Union Berlin. Source: Official X/Twitter. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt are the pick for this one. Their 83% winrate over the last 30 days, superior shot volume, dominant passing stats, and the individual quality of Burkardt and Uzun all point toward a Frankfurt win. Union Berlin are capable of scoring at home and have done so recently, but their defensive record is shaky enough that Frankfurt’s attack should find openings.
We think this ends 1-2 to Eintracht Frankfurt. Both teams score is a reasonable expectation given four of the last four head-to-head meetings produced goals at both ends, and Union’s home crowd will push them forward. Frankfurt’s clinical edge, though, should be the difference. Over 2.5 goals looks solid, and backing Frankfurt on the moneyline at around 2.65 offers genuine value given how the underlying numbers read.
