Liam Duckstein
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Udinese welcome Venezia to the Bluenergy Stadium on September 2nd in the second round of the Coppa Italia 2026/27. Both sides are Serie A clubs, but their recent trajectories are pointed in very different directions. Udinese have been dominant in their last 30 days, winning four of seven matches, while Venezia have managed just one win in five. The cup setting adds a layer of unpredictability, yet on paper, Udinese carry a clear edge at home.
One player to watch closely is Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, who has contributed both a goal and an assist across his last three appearances for Udinese and brings consistent attacking threat from midfield. For Venezia, Akor Adams is the standout name, leading the team with two goals and an assist in his last three outings, carrying most of the visitors’ attacking load on his own.
A hot stat worth flagging: Venezia have registered 18 corner kicks across their last five matches, compared to just four for Udinese. That’s a striking gap and suggests Venezia push wide and press forward even when results haven’t gone their way.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Coppa Italia 2026/27, Round 2 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Bluenergy Stadium, Udine |
| 🗓️ Date: | 02.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:00 CEST |
Udinese vs Venezia Prediction
Udinese are the clear favorites here, and the bookmakers agree, pricing them at roughly 50% probability to win. Their home record, their recent form, and their quality over Venezia’s current squad all point in the same direction. Udinese have won four of their last seven games overall, including a remarkable 1-0 victory over Barcelona in their most recent run of fixtures. Venezia, by contrast, lost their last two league games without scoring.
Udinese play a 3-4-2-1 system that gives them defensive compactness while allowing their wing-backs and attacking midfielders to contribute in transition. They commit fouls at a higher rate than Venezia (38 vs 30 across the last five matches), which reflects a more physical, direct approach. Venezia’s 4-2-3-1 shape relies on ball circulation, evidenced by their 1,502 passes compared to Udinese’s 1,314, but their pass accuracy trails off at 86% compared to Udinese’s 82%, suggesting the volume isn’t always translating to quality.
Venezia’s yellow card discipline has been slightly better (5 cards to Udinese’s 6), but their attacking output in recent weeks has been poor. Scoring only three goals across five matches, with losses to Milan and Lecce, they look unlikely to find the net here.
We predict Udinese to win this match to nil. The home side’s defensive structure and Venezia’s recent attacking struggles make a clean sheet a real possibility.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Udinese to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Udinese come into this cup tie in strong shape. Over the last 30 days, they have won four, drawn two, and lost just once across seven matches. Their last five games have included victories over Monza (3-2), Padova (1-0), Barcelona (1-0), and Nottingham Forest (1-0), alongside a draw with Como. That run against high-quality opposition is impressive and suggests the squad is in a good rhythm under Kosta Runjaic. The 3-2 win over Monza was their most recent match and showed they can grind out results even when pushed.
Venezia’s recent run tells a different story. They have won just one of their last five matches, with losses to Milan (0-2), Lecce (0-2), and Saint-Etienne (3-4), and they failed to keep a clean sheet across all five. Their most recent outing was the 0-2 defeat to Milan, where they failed to register a single goal despite taking 51 shots across the five-match stretch. Their last win came against Modena (3-2), a lower-division side, which puts the quality of that victory in context.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides have faced each other twice in the last season in Serie A, splitting the results between them.
| Statistic | Udinese | Venezia |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 5 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Udinese vs Venezia stats page for more info.
Venezia. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Udinese the Favourite
- Moneyline Udinese 1.85 | Venezia 3.80
- Draw 3.50
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The odds reflect Udinese’s home advantage and current form accurately. At around 1.85, Udinese offer decent value for what is a fairly one-sided contest on paper. Venezia at 3.80 is generous given their recent run, but it comes with real risk. The draw at 3.50 is possible in a cup tie where Venezia might sit deep, but we don’t see Venezia having enough firepower to hold Udinese out over 90 minutes. Udinese to win at 1.85 is where the value sits.
Possible Starting Lineups
Udinese Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Maduka Okoye
- DF: Oumar Solet, James Abankwah, Enzo Ebosse, Mergim Vojvoda, Matteo Palma
- MF: Jesper Karlstrom, Jakub Piotrowski, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Sandi Lovric
- FW: Keinan Davis
Runjaic is expected to stick with his preferred 3-4-2-1 shape. Maduka Okoye starts in goal, backed by a back three of Solet, Abankwah, and Ebosse, who have all been regulars. Vojvoda and Palma provide the width from wing-back positions. Karlstrom and Piotrowski anchor the midfield, with Ekkelenkamp and Lovric operating as the two behind the striker. Keinan Davis leads the line. Ekkelenkamp is the player to watch, given his direct goal contributions in recent weeks.
Venezia Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Filip Stankovic
- DF: Armel Bella-Kotchap, Antoine Hainaut, Joël Schingtienne, Ridgeciano Haps
- MF: Gianluca Busio, Enrique Pérez Muñoz, John Yeboah, Simon Sohm
- FW: Akor Adams, Albion Rrahmani
Stroppa is likely to go with a 4-2-3-1 or a compact 4-4-2 variant. Stankovic starts in goal. The back four of Bella-Kotchap, Hainaut, Schingtienne, and Haps has been Venezia’s most used defensive unit. Busio and Sohm sit deeper to protect, while Yeboah and Pérez Muñoz push forward in support of Adams. Akor Adams is Venezia’s biggest threat and the one player who can change the game on his own, having scored twice in his last three appearances.
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Udinese. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Udinese are the better side right now, and this Coppa Italia tie at home gives them every opportunity to prove it. Their 57% win rate over the last 30 days contrasts sharply with Venezia’s 20%, and the visitors have failed to score in two of their last three matches. Udinese’s physical style, backed by a solid defensive shape and Ekkelenkamp’s creativity in the final third, should be enough to see them through.
We predict a 1-0 or 2-0 Udinese win. Venezia’s attack lacks the consistency to trouble a well-organized home side, and Udinese’s ability to grind out low-scoring wins, as seen against Barcelona and Nottingham Forest, makes a clean sheet a genuine probability. The best single bet here is Udinese to win to nil.
