Udinese vs Palermo Prediction: 23.09.2025 Coppa Italia Round 2

As Udinese and Palermo prepare to lock horns in Round 2 of the Coppa Italia at the Dacia Arena, both sides harbour realistic ambitions of deepening their cup runs. The hosts, under Kosta Runjaic, are intent on reimposing themselves after a mixed opening stanza to their campaign, while Filippo Inzaghi’s Palermo are quietly riding a wave of optimism fuelled by consistent away form and a vibrant young squad. Intriguingly, both clubs deploy back-three systems, yet their execution and tempo bring contrasting flavours—expect a keen tactical contest.

This tie places the spotlight squarely on Udinese midfielder Arthur Atta, whose box-to-box dynamism has been pivotal, as well as Palermo’s sharp finisher Joel Pohjanpalo, already boasting three strikes in his last four outings. For those scouring for creative sparks, keep an eye on Oier Zarraga and Niccolo Pierozzi—two who relish the big stage but don’t always steal headlines.

One stat leaps off the page: Palermo have tallied a remarkable 24 corners in their last five matches—an indicator of offensive width and relentless pressure in the final third, which could stretch Udinese’s defensive organisation.

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Udinese vs Palermo prediction

Given Udinese’s strength at home and Palermo’s outstanding run of form, this promises to be a finely poised battle rather than a walkover. The best value appears in the Asian Handicap market, backing Palermo (+1). With a tighter Udinese backline following their win over Pisa and a Palermo side overflowing with energy on the flanks and set-pieces, it’s difficult to see a clear route for a blowout. That said, goals could be at a premium: Udinese’s last three matches have produced under 2.5 goals, and they commit notably fewer fouls and have collected half as many yellow cards as Palermo in recent fixtures—suggesting discipline in midfield, but perhaps lacking edge in the attacking third.

Tactically, both teams favour back-three formations—Udinese lining up 3-4-2-1 with a focus on transitions and compact shape, Palermo opting for a more expansive 3-5-2 which allows wingbacks greater license to surge forward. Palermo’s higher foul and yellow card count (54 fouls, 5 yellows in five games) points to a combative midfield, which could disrupt Udinese’s rhythm and draw set piece opportunities for the visitors. Ball possession is expected to hover around the midline, with Palermo’s interception rates (28 in five matches) hinting at possible turnovers and quick breaks.

Team Analysis

Udinese have recently oscillated between resolute defending and lapses in key moments. Their stout 2-1 win over Inter was a timely reminder of their capacity for focused performances—Thomas Kristensen’s defensive prowess and Arthur Atta’s goal threat the main talking points. Yet, a sobering 0-3 home defeat to Milan exposed vulnerabilities when facing clinical opposition. Across their last five, Udinese have only conceded three times, keeping their composure in tighter affairs, notably seeing off Pisa 1-0 and frustrating Verona with a 1-1 draw. Winrate for the last 30 days stands at 50%, suggesting a side still seeking consistency.

Palermo, meanwhile, step into this tie on an eleven-match unbeaten run in all competitions. Their 2-0 victories over both Bari and SudTirol showcased a balanced attacking output—Joel Pohjanpalo’s incisive finishing matched by a high-tempo press, orchestrated from midfield by Jacopo Segre and Filippo Ranocchia. Even in cagey draws against Frosinone and Cremonese, Palermo managed to dominate the shot count (74 total shots in five games) and carved out numerous set-piece opportunities. Their 75% winrate across the last month, with zero defeats, underpins their current confidence and tactical coherence under Inzaghi’s guidance.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Udinese vs Palermo stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Udinese the favourite

• Moneyline Udinese 1.74–1.77 | Palermo 4.90–5.00
• Draw 3.40–3.65
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.13 | Under 2.5 1.68
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.87 | No 1.92

Bookmakers see Udinese as moderate favourites given their home advantage and slightly higher pedigree, but Palermo’s odds are enticing for the upset, especially considering their recent form. The narrow spread for the draw reflects expectations for a balanced, potentially scrappy contest. Over/Under odds lean towards a cagier game, with Palermo’s energetic but often risk-averse midfield suggesting defences might hold sway until late on. Both teams to score is nearly even money, mirroring the very real attacking threats on both sides.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Udinese possible starting eleven

This likely XI leverages the resolute Kristensen at centre-back, with Zemura and Kamara providing energy at wing-back. Arthur Atta and Sandi Lovric carry the creative burden in the midfield, while Davis’s physicality and recent scoring knack make him a central threat. Kosta Runjaic is expected to stick with the tried-and-tested 3-4-2-1, encouraging quick interplay between midfield and front three to catch Palermo’s high wingbacks off guard.

Palermo possible starting eleven

Jesse Joronen is the safe pair of hands in goal, shielded by a composed trio of Ceccaroni, Bani, and Augello. Segre and Ranocchia provide bite and distribution, with Diakité and Pierozzi advancing wide from the 3-5-2 base. Expectations rest on Pohjanpalo’s sharpness up top and Le Douaron’s engine to unsettle Udinese’s backline. Filippo Inzaghi’s side will look to dominate second balls and pressure via set plays, exploiting their proficiency from corners and wide play.

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My take on the Match

This Coppa Italia encounter feels set up for drama. Udinese are justifiably favourites at home, but Palermo’s blend of youth and experience, tactical flexibility, and set-piece prowess warrant real respect. Expect a tightly contested match, where Udinese’s discipline will be tested by Palermo’s relentless wing play and aggression. While Udinese should edge possession and territory, we see value in backing Palermo to keep things close—Palermo (+1) looks a shrewd bet, with goals likely to come from both sides but in short supply. The journey for both teams is far from over, and whichever side advances will take real confidence and momentum into their league campaign.

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