Liam Duckstein
As the Serie A 2024/25 season nears its climax, Udinese prepares to face off against Milan at the Dacia Arena in Udine. This encounter is pivotal for both sides, with Milan striving to secure a European competition spot, while Udinese aims to cement their position in the mid-table, away from the relegation zone. With contrasting forms, this match promises a compelling narrative where Milan’s ambition clashes with Udinese’s resilience. Can Milan assert their dominance, or will Udinese rise to the occasion?
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2024/25 Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Dacia Arena, Udine |
| 🗓️ Date: | April 11, 2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:45 CEST |
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Udinese vs Milan prediction
Predicting the outcome of this match, Milan stands as the favorite. They have shown a superior form recently, and the overall team strength suggests they are better equipped to secure a victory. Milan’s solid performance in the last matches, including their disciplined defense and tactical offense under Sérgio Conceição, leans the prediction towards them. Udinese, meanwhile, will need to orchestrate a strong defensive plan to thwart Milan’s aggressive gameplay.
Both teams exhibit distinct playing styles. Milan’s extensive ball possession, combined with their high pass accuracy and frequent use of through balls, makes them a formidable offensive force. Conversely, Udinese relies on counter-attacks and set-piece opportunities. However, their lack of recent wins highlights their struggle in both defensive cohesion and offensive execution.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Milan to Win – Draw No Bet |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9 |
Team Analysis
In recent games, Udinese has struggled to find form, managing only a draw in their last four matches. Their latest defeat against Genoa (0-1) exposed their defensive frailties and inability to capitalize on scoring chances. Their current formation, a 4-2-3-1, has failed to deliver the needed results under Kosta Runjaic.
On the other hand, Milan has shown moderate success, with one win, two draws, and one loss in their last four outings. Their recent draw against Fiorentina (2-2) showcased their attacking capabilities but also highlighted defensive lapses. The 3-5-2 formation has allowed them flexibility in attack but demands defensive steadfastness against counter-attacks.
Most recent H2Hs: Milan dominates
| Statistic | Udinese | Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 6 |
| Total shots | 27 | 57 |
| Free kicks | 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks | 8 | 17 |
| Total fouls | 49 | 52 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 82% | 85% |
| Interceptions | 20 | 21 |
| Offsides | 4 | 5 |
🚨Read our full Udinese vs Milan stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Milan the favourite
| Moneyline | Udinese 4.08 | Milan 2.01 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.66 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 1.98 | Under 2.5 2.88 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.85 | No 2.10 | |
The odds reflect Milan’s superior standing and recent form, making them the favorites. The likelihood of scoring over 2.5 goals is supported by both teams’ recent attacking performances, particularly Milan’s ability to create scoring chances through their front line.
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Key Players to Watch
For Udinese, Lorenzo Lucca stands out. Although yet to score in recent matches, his physical presence as a forward and ability to draw defenses can create crucial opportunities.
For Milan, Tammy Abraham is pivotal. With 2 goals and 1 assist in the last four games, his knack for finding space and finishing ability will be critical in breaking down Udinese’s defense.
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Possible Starting Lineups
Udinese possible starting eleven
- GK: Maduka Okoye
- DF: Jaka Bijol, Kingsley Ehizibue, Oumar Solet, Thomas Kristensen
- MF: Jesper Karlström, Sandi Lovrić, Oier Zarraga, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Rui Modesto
- FW: Lorenzo Lucca
Udinese might stick with their 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on defensive solidity and counterattack through midfield creativity.
Milan possible starting eleven
- GK: Mike Maignan
- DF: Theo Hernández, Fikayo Tomori, Malick Thiaw
- MF: Youssouf Fofana, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Tijjani Reijnders, Samuel Chukwueze, Alessandro Florenzi
- FW: Tammy Abraham, Rafael Leão
Milan is likely to continue with their 3-5-2 formation, relying on Tammy Abraham and Rafael Leão to spearhead their attack, supported by the creativity of Tijjani Reijnders in midfield.
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Udinese. Source: Official Website
The Verdict
With Milan’s superior form and tactical edge, they are poised to take all three points against Udinese. Their offensive line, spearheaded by Tammy Abraham, and defensive resilience make them the likely victors in this Serie A clash. We anticipate a scoreline favoring Milan, with goals from both teams showcasing the attacking talents.
