Liam Duckstein
| Prefer us on Google — see Tips.gg in Top Stories & Discover | Add on Google |
Udinese welcome Lecce to the Bluenergy Stadium with both clubs sitting in the bottom half of Serie A, separated by just two points and a shared sense of frustration. Udinese have managed only one win in six league outings this term, a surprisingly poor return given the bookmakers still install them as favourites here. Lecce arrive having lost four of six, yet their head-to-head history against this opponent tells a different story than their current table position suggests.
Keep an eye on Jurgen Ekkelenkamp for the hosts. He is the only Udinese attacker to find the net across the last five matches and has produced more shots than anyone else in the squad. For Lecce, Amar Fatah has looked the sharpest offensive outlet recently, scoring and generating a handful of chances despite his side’s wider struggles in front of goal.
Hot stat: despite sitting outside the top half this term, Udinese have actually won three of the last four meetings with Lecce, with the solitary defeat arriving in their most recent clash, a tight 2-1 loss. History favours the home side far more than their current league position would suggest.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Bluenergy Stadium, Udine |
| 🗓️ Date: | 18.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 12:30 CEST |
Udinese vs Lecce prediction
We predict a narrow home win for Udinese. Their recent league form looks ugly on paper, but their record against this particular opponent has been solid over the last two seasons, and home advantage at the Bluenergy Stadium has historically mattered against Lecce specifically. Backing Udinese outright at odds near 1.84 to 1.95 looks like fair value, though we would not be shocked if this finishes level given how inconsistent both sides have been in 2026.
Udinese have generated more attacking volume recently, racking up 41 shots and 19 corners across their last five matches compared to Lecce’s 25 shots and 13 corners. Lecce, meanwhile, have committed more fouls (32 against Udinese’s 20) and picked up an extra yellow card over the same stretch, a sign they lean on physical defending rather than control of possession. That disciplinary gap could open up space for Udinese’s wide players if Lecce’s back line gets stretched early.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Udinese to win, both teams to score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Udinese’s last five results read like a side short on confidence: a 1-2 defeat to Torino, a 1-1 draw against Pogon Szczecin, a 0-1 loss to Cagliari, a wild 3-5 loss to Inter and a 1-2 defeat to Lazio. Only one point from a possible fifteen in that stretch, and their defense has leaked goals against teams of all calibers. In our preview of Torino vs Udinese we called both teams to score as the smarter angle over backing a clean result, and the 1-2 scoreline delivered exactly that outcome. Their attack, led by Ekkelenkamp, still shows enough bite to trouble Lecce’s defense even while results elsewhere continue to disappoint.
Lecce’s recent form has been similarly shaky. Their last match ended in a 1-2 defeat to Bologna, following a 0-3 hammering by Milan, a scrappy 3-2 win over Monza, a 0-1 loss to Cagliari and a heavy 0-4 defeat to Roma. In our preview of Lecce vs Bologna we leaned toward Bologna avoiding defeat alongside a low scoring game, and while Bologna did win as expected, the match produced three goals in total, which went against the under 2.5 portion of that call. Lecce’s away form this season has been patchy at best, and traveling to Udine against a side that historically gets the better of them adds another obstacle.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Udinese | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 4 meetings combined) | 6 | 4 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Udinese vs Lecce stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Udinese the favourite
- Moneyline Udinese 1.82 | Lecce 4.33
- Draw 3.50
Markets agree Udinese deserve favouritism here, with most bookmakers pricing them between 1.82 and 1.95, implying a probability near 51 percent. The draw sits consistently around 3.50, reflecting how unpredictable both sides have looked lately. Lecce’s price above 4.00 feels fair rather than generous given their poor away record this season, and we think the smarter approach is targeting goals markets rather than chasing Lecce’s longer odds outright.
Possible Starting Lineups
Udinese possible starting eleven
- GK: Maduka Okoye
- DF: Enzo Ebosse, James Abankwah, Christian Kabasele
- MF: Mergim Vojvoda, Jesper Karlstrom, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Hassane Kamara
- FW: Giorgi Chakvetadze, Sandi Lovric, Keinan Davis
Runjaic sticks with the 3-4-2-1 shape that has featured in each of the last five matches. Ekkelenkamp slots in as the free-roaming forward behind Davis, with Chakvetadze providing width and creativity from the second attacking midfield slot. Vojvoda and Kamara give the system its width down the flanks, a key factor against a Lecce side that likes to sit narrow.
Lecce possible starting eleven
- GK: Wladimiro Falcone
- DF: Kialonda Gaspar, Danilo Veiga, Jamil Siebert
- MF: Antonino Gallo, Oumar Ngom, Lassana Coulibaly, Ivan Ilić
- FW: Santiago Pierotti, Amar Fatah, Konan N’Dri
Di Francesco mirrors the same 3-4-2-1 setup. Falcone remains the clear first-choice goalkeeper with four saves across his last two outings, while Fatah and Pierotti operate just behind N’Dri, looking to spring quick counters on a Udinese backline that has conceded in bunches this season.
🏅Tips.GG premium subscription brings you even closer to WIN!🏅
- Gain access to the most profitable bets by using our analysis of over 60,000 monthly predictions from 1000+ sources.
- Premium users enjoy predictions from tipsters with the highest win rate while also gaining access to favorable odds, outcome calculation, and quick filter to favorable odds.
- Unlock the “Golden Bet” – our unique formula for the best high-odd betting opportunities! Get detailed reports on our system’s performance, including Winrate, ROI, and Yield.
Udinese. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Udinese edge this one at home, perhaps by a single goal, against a Lecce side that has struggled to find consistency on the road. Both defenses have shown cracks recently, Udinese conceding freely against Inter and Torino, Lecce shipping goals to Milan and Roma, so backing both teams to score alongside a home win feels like the sharpest combination available. To be hones, neither side inspires total confidence right now, but Udinese’s historical edge over Lecce and the extra boost of playing at the Bluenergy Stadium tip this in their favour.
