Tunisia vs Mauritania Prediction: 12.11.2025 International Friendly Preview

The November international break brings us an intriguing showdown at Brann Stadion, Bergen, with Tunisia squaring off against Mauritania. While both national sides use the International Friendly as a key testing ground ahead of more competitive fixtures, Tunisia arrives with an outstanding form, having won their last two matches by an aggregate scoreline of 9-0—a testament to their attacking sharpness and defensive discipline. Mauritania, on the other hand, are keen to bounce back after a tough loss to Senegal and a string of underwhelming results, posing the critical question: can Mauritania’s defensive set-up hold against Tunisia’s recent goal rush?

For Tunisia, creative midfielder Hannibal Mejbri stands out as a pivotal figure, orchestrating play and capitalizing on his vision to create scoring opportunities, while Ferjani Sassi’s reliability and energy in midfield could be decisive in maintaining control. Mauritania will look towards the leadership of Aly Abeid at the back—his organizational skills are vital for their structure—and the experience of Oumar Ngom in midfield to steady the ship.

A hot stat: Tunisia have not conceded a single goal in their last two matches, scoring 9 without reply—showcasing their defensive improvement alongside an attack firing on all cylinders.

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Tunisia vs Mauritania prediction

Given recent results and performances, Tunisia enters this match as a firm favourite. Their flawless record in the last two outings, the balance between attack and defence, and tactical discipline under Sami Trabelsi make a home victory the highest value bet. Mauritania’s struggles in both attack and defence—evidenced by just one goal scored and four conceded in their last two matches—reinforce this. The safest wager lies in a Tunisia win, possibly even with an Asian handicap (-1.5) given their form.

Tunisia typically lines up in a 4-2-3-1 and likes to impose themselves with a pressing game, high recoveries, and swift transitions into attack. They commit relatively few fouls and have picked up just one yellow card in recent games—indicating composure under pressure. Mauritania, favoring the 4-4-2, are structurally compact but have found goals hard to come by and are similarly disciplined in terms of bookings. Expect Tunisia to dominate possession (their control against weaker opposition is notable), which may restrict Mauritania to counterattacks and set pieces as their main avenues to goal. All factors point toward a game controlled by Tunisia, with a moderate risk of cards or disciplinary disruption.

Team Analysis

Tunisia (last match: 3-0 vs Namibia):
Tunisia were clinical in their most recent outing, brushing aside Namibia 3-0. The team bossed proceedings with an attacking approach, registering 11 shots, demonstrating efficiency in front of goal, and hardly allowing Namibia a sniff at goal. Stability in defence and sharpness moving forward continue to be their trademarks. This win followed a 6-0 demolition of Sao Tome Principe, emphasizing a pattern: Tunisia thrives against sides that sit deep and defend in numbers, using quick ball circulation and intelligent movement. Their only slip in recent times was a loss to Egypt, but they’ve rapidly redressed those errors.

Mauritania (last match: 0-4 vs Senegal):
Mauritania endured a tough 0-4 defeat at the hands of Senegal. Defensive lapses were their undoing, as they struggled to contain rapid attacking transitions and physical forwards. Offensively, they failed to offer meaningful threat, which continues a worrying trend—Mauritania’s last two matches have yielded zero goals scored and four conceded. A hard-fought draw (0-0) against Sudan prior to this result offered a glimpse of their defensive resilience, but their lack of cutting edge is an ongoing concern as they attempt to recover confidence and form in matches like these.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Tunisia vs Mauritania stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Tunisia the favourite

• Moneyline Tunisia 1.42 | Mauritania 7.50
• Draw 4.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.67
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.95 | No 1.41

The odds clearly illustrate Tunisia’s status as heavy favourites. Their recent dominance and Mauritania’s scoring woes are accurately reflected by a low home win price and high odds for Mauritania. The “under 2.5” market also looks attractive given Tunisia’s solid defence and Mauritania’s blunt attack. For higher risk, the Asian Handicap on Tunisia offers value for punters seeking a bigger payout.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Tunisia possible starting eleven

• GK: Aymen Dahmen
• DF: Dylan Bronn, Montassar Talbi, Yan Valery, Alaa Ghram
• MF: Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane, Ferjani Sassi, Hannibal Mejbri
• FW: Naïm Sliti, Hazem Mastouri, Ismael Gharbi

This lineup reflects Tunisia’s recent squad selections, with Dahmen anchoring the defence and a familiar back four that prioritizes stability. The midfield remains dynamic with Sassi’s box-to-box energy and Mejbri’s creative spark. Hazem Mastouri and Gharbi provide youth and unpredictability in attack, while Sliti offers a proven goal threat. Look for a 4-2-3-1 formation that maximizes midfield control and widens attacking options, making Tunisia adaptable against different defensive setups.

Mauritania possible starting eleven

• GK: Babacar Niasse Mbaye
• DF: Aly Abeid, N. El Abd, Lamine Ba, D. Saleck
• MF: Bakari Camara, Bodda Mouhsine, Beyatt Lekweiry, Oumar Ngom
• FW: Aboubakary Koita, Papa Ndiaga Yade

Mauritania will likely stick to a stable 4-4-2, relying on defensive structure to stay competitive. Niasse Mbaye is expected to start in goal, shielded by the experienced Abeid and El Abd. The midfield quartet blends youth and reliability, though the focus will be on breaking quickly through Ngom and Koita. Yade’s directness up front could be crucial if they get the chance to counter. Watch for how Mauritania’s block defends and recycles possession—they must be near-perfect to stay in contention.

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My take on the Match

My main pick: Tunisia to win comfortably, under 2.5 goals is also a strong selection. Tunisia’s overall superiority in every department, combined with Mauritania’s recent defensive struggles and lack of attacking edge, points toward a decisive but not necessarily high-scoring result. Expect Tunisia’s organization, creativity in midfield, and defensive resilience to decide the game. The North Africans’ recent run signals genuine momentum—don’t be surprised if they keep another clean sheet as well.

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