Tromso vs Orgryte Prediction: 24 June 2026 International Club Friendly Preview

Tromso and Orgryte meet at Brann Stadion in Bergen on June 24 in what is a low-stakes pre-season friendly, but the underlying form gap between these two sides makes this worth examining closely. Tromso arrive in considerably better shape, posting 11 wins from 21 matches this year at a 52% win rate, while Orgryte have managed just 2 wins from 18 outings in 2026 at a meager 11%. Neither side has won in their last 30 days, both drawing their most recent fixtures, but Tromso’s recent run of form across a longer horizon paints a much more confident picture.

Two players to keep an eye on are Tromso forward Sander Håvik Innvær, who is the only player from either squad to have scored in the last five matches, and Orgryte forward Noah Christoffersson, who bagged both goals in the 2-2 draw with Elfsborg and is clearly his team’s most dangerous attacking outlet.

Hot stat: Tromso generated 30 total shots across their last two matches compared to Orgryte’s 13 in their single recent outing. That volume of attacking intent from Tromso is a significant indicator of how these teams differ in their offensive approach heading into this fixture.

Tromso vs Orgryte Prediction

The clearest value in this match sits with a Tromso win. Their season-long win rate of 52% dwarfs Orgryte’s 11%, and while both clubs drew their most recent games, Tromso’s opponents in those fixtures included Aalesund and KFUM Oslo, sides with far more competitive profiles than what Orgryte have been facing. Orgryte have lost four of their last five matches, conceding 11 goals in that span, and their only point in that run came against Elfsborg in the very last game.

Tromso’s 5-3-2 shape gives them defensive solidity with wing-backs pushing forward, which should create problems for an Orgryte side that allowed Goteborg and GAIS to score freely in recent weeks. Tromso commit more fouls (18 across two games vs Orgryte’s 11 across one), suggesting they press and compete physically, which tends to suit the team with greater quality. Their pass volume is dramatically higher too, at 1,176 passes compared to Orgryte’s 458, indicating they control games rather than sit back and absorb pressure. Orgryte’s pass accuracy in their last match was lower as well, pointing to a side that struggles to build play with confidence. We predict Tromso to win this match, with goals likely to come from their forward line given how open Orgryte have been defensively.

Team Analysis

Tromso come into this match off the back of two draws: a 0-0 against KFUM Oslo and a 1-1 with Aalesund. Before those results, they had put together a strong sequence that included a 2-0 win over Molde and a 1-1 draw with Kristiansand. The one blemish in that stretch was a 0-5 loss to Bodo Glimt, though Bodo Glimt are a significantly higher-ranked club. Coach Jørgen Vik has his side playing a structured 5-3-2 that limits exposure at the back while allowing the wing-backs and midfielders to contribute in the final third. Their overall year record suggests a team that wins more than it loses, and a friendly setting like this should give Tromso room to express themselves against a weaker opponent.

Orgryte have been in poor form for several weeks. Their last five results read: a 2-2 draw with Elfsborg, a 0-2 loss to Halmstads, a 2-3 defeat to Goteborg, a 0-2 loss to Sirius, and a 0-4 defeat to GAIS. That is four losses and one draw, with just two goals scored and 13 conceded. Coach Andreas Holmberg is working with a squad that clearly lacks cohesion at this point of the season. Noah Christoffersson’s brace against Elfsborg was the only real positive from those five games, and without him firing, Orgryte look toothless going forward. Their defensive structure in the 5-3-2 has not held up, and the wing-backs have struggled to contain wide attacks from better-organized opponents.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Tromso vs Orgryte stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Tromso the Favourite

• Moneyline Tromso N/A | Orgryte N/A
• Draw N/A
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. Based on the stats and form data alone, Tromso should be clear favorites given their superior season record and Orgryte’s dismal recent run. The value, when odds do appear, is most likely to sit on Tromso and on the over goals market, given how openly Orgryte have been conceding. BTTS at yes also looks reasonable since Orgryte, despite their poor form, did score twice against Elfsborg in their last outing.

Possible Starting Lineups

Tromso Possible Starting Eleven

Tromso are expected to line up in their familiar 5-3-2 shape under Jørgen Vik. Jakob Haugaard starts in goal, having made three saves across the two recent matches. The back five picks itself, with Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal and Abubacarr Sedi Kinteh as the most active defenders in terms of pass volume and interceptions. The midfield three of Ruben Jenssen, David Edvardsson, and Jens Hjerto Dahl provides a mix of defensive cover and creative output. Up front, Sander Håvik Innvær is the one to watch, as the only scorer from either squad in recent games, and Lars Olden Larsen will look to stretch the Orgryte defense with his runs. Heine Asen Larsen and Troy Engseth Nyhammer offer impact from the bench.

Orgryte Possible Starting Eleven

Orgryte will also set up in a 5-3-2, with Hampus Gustafsson between the posts after his two saves against Elfsborg. The back five features Mikael Dyrestam and Christoffer Styffe as the most reliable defensive presences based on interception counts. Charlie Vindehall leads the midfield with five interceptions in his last appearance, making him a key figure in disrupting Tromso’s build-up. Noah Christoffersson is Orgryte’s clear attacking focal point after his brace last time out, and Tobias Sana provides width and movement alongside him. Coach Andreas Holmberg will need Christoffersson to be sharp again if Orgryte are to threaten.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

This friendly has a clear favorite in Tromso. Their 52% win rate for the year, higher shot volume, better pass accuracy, and stronger opponent quality in recent fixtures all point in one direction. Orgryte have been leaking goals at an alarming rate, conceding 13 in five games, and their attacking output outside of Christoffersson has been minimal.

We predict a Tromso win, perhaps by a two-goal margin, with goals on both sides given Orgryte’s ability to nick one through Christoffersson even in losing efforts. The over 2.5 goals market and BTTS yes are the picks we are most confident in from a value standpoint. To be honest, the match venue in Bergen adds a slight neutral-ground element, but Tromso’s overall quality advantage should prove decisive over 90 minutes.

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