Tromso vs CFR Cluj Prediction: 13.08.2026 UEFA Conference League

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CFR Cluj arrive in Tromso carrying a 0-5 deficit from the first leg, making this second leg a near-formality on paper. The Romanian side, coached by António Folha, need to overturn a five-goal gap at Alfheim to have any realistic hope of advancing, which is the kind of task that rarely ends well at this level of European football. Tromso, under Jørgen Vik, have been sharp at home and will be looking to confirm their place in the next round with minimal drama. The one thing worth watching here is how Tromso approach this match mentally — a team that’s already effectively through can sometimes drop the intensity, and that’s the only real opening Cluj might find.

Two players to track in this one: Isak Dahlqvist for Tromso, who has been extraordinary in recent weeks with six goals across the last five matches alongside consistent defensive contributions, and Stefan Dražić for CFR Cluj, who has three goals and three assists in five appearances and is the most likely source of anything Cluj can produce going forward.

The hot stat from recent action: Tromso have scored 21 goals across their last five matches, averaging 4.2 per game. That’s not a run built on weak opposition alone — the quality and volume of their attacking output has been genuinely eye-catching.

Tromso vs CFR Cluj Prediction

The aggregate situation makes this relatively straightforward from a betting standpoint. Tromso are 5-0 up from the first leg, playing at home, and have been the more consistent side across all competitions over the past month — four wins from six compared to Cluj’s three wins from eight. The Norwegian side’s 4-3-3 setup has been producing goals freely, and there’s no particular reason to expect that changes here. We think Tromso win this match and advance comfortably.

Tromso’s disciplinary record across the last five matches is notably clean — five yellow cards and zero reds, while CFR Cluj have accumulated 11 yellow cards in the same period with Bruno Costa picking up three of those alone. Cluj’s higher foul count and card accumulation suggests they play with a certain physicality that can sometimes disrupt rhythm, but against a side as well-organised and attack-minded as Tromso at home, that approach tends to create space rather than close it. Tromso’s pass accuracy sits at 83% compared to Cluj’s 90%, meaning Cluj do move the ball more cleanly, but their 46 corner kicks across five matches compared to Tromso’s 19 tells a different story — Cluj have been spending a lot of time pressing without converting that pressure into goals. Ten goals in five matches for the Romanian side looks reasonable in isolation, but against Tromso’s defence which has been solid, we don’t expect that output to suddenly surge.

Team Analysis

Tromso’s recent form has been genuinely impressive. Four wins from their last six, including that dominant 5-0 first-leg result against CFR Cluj, and a 6-2 demolition of Aalesund in the Norwegian league. The only blemishes have been a 1-3 defeat to Hradec Kralove and a 0-1 loss in the reverse fixture — both against Czech opposition that sits far higher in the world rankings than their league position might suggest. That context matters. Against opposition closer to their level, Tromso have been clinical. Heine Asen Larsen has seven goals in six matches, Isak Dahlqvist has six, and Alexander Warneryd has chipped in with two goals and two assists. The attacking depth is real, not just concentrated in one player.

CFR Cluj’s recent run is more mixed. Three wins from eight in the last 30 days, with losses to Rapid Bucuresti (1-3) and the heavy first-leg defeat to Tromso (0-5) sitting alongside a 5-0 win over Voluntari and a 3-0 win over Alashkert. The inconsistency is hard to ignore. Their last league match, a 1-3 loss to Rapid Bucuresti, came just days before this second leg, which raises questions about squad freshness and morale. Stefan Dražić has been their standout performer — three goals, three assists in five appearances — and Andrei Cordea leads the shot count with 11 attempts across that stretch. But honestly, the task they face in this match is one that would test any squad psychologically, and their recent results don’t suggest a team capable of mounting the kind of historic comeback required.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Tromso vs CFR Cluj stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Tromso the Favourite

• Moneyline Tromso 1.45 | CFR Cluj 5.80
• Draw 4.30
• Over/Under Over 2.5 — available across major bookmakers | Under 2.5
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes | No

The odds here reflect the aggregate position almost perfectly. Tromso at around 1.45 is short but arguably fair given everything — they’re at home, five goals up, in strong domestic form, and facing a side that just lost 1-3 in their league. The draw at 4.30 and Cluj at around 5.80 are long shots in every sense. Honestly, the more interesting market is goals. Tromso have been scoring freely, Cluj need to attack, and even if Tromso take their foot off the pedal slightly, the conditions are set for an open match. Over 2.5 goals looks like the value play here rather than the straight Tromso win at compressed odds.

Possible Starting Lineups

Tromso Possible Starting Eleven

Tromso’s likely 4-3-3 keeps its shape from the first leg, with Jakob Haugaard in goal having made three saves across recent matches and looking solid between the posts. The midfield trio of Jenssen, Edvardsson, and Warneryd provides both creativity and defensive cover — Edvardsson’s three assists and consistent passing volume make him the engine of the system. Up front, the combination of Dahlqvist and Larsen is the main threat. Six goals and seven goals respectively in the last five matches — that’s a front line that can hurt anyone. Warneryd is worth watching too, two goals and two assists with seven free kick attempts, he’s a real set-piece threat.

CFR Cluj Possible Starting Eleven

CFR Cluj’s 5-3-2 setup reflects a team that has been set up to be defensively solid, though that didn’t work in the first leg. Octavian Valceanu takes the goalkeeping spot with five appearances and five saves to his name. Bruno Costa, despite his three yellow cards, is important to their ball circulation — 156 passes at 95% accuracy in limited minutes. Stefan Dražić leads the line and is the player most capable of making something happen. Andrei Cordea leads their shot volume with 11 attempts across five games and will need to convert if Cluj are to make any kind of statement. Maybe they grab a consolation or two, but overturning five goals at Alfheim is not a realistic expectation.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Tromso advance, and this second leg is likely to be a controlled performance from the home side rather than a spectacle. They’ve scored 21 goals in five matches, they’re playing at Alfheim where the atmosphere will back them, and CFR Cluj have shown nothing in recent weeks to suggest they can manufacture a five-goal turnaround. The 5-0 from the first leg wasn’t a fluke — Tromso dominated every phase of that match, and the aggregate stats show Cluj had more shots and more corners but simply couldn’t convert against a defence that was well-organised and switched on.

We think the most sensible approach is Tromso to win the match combined with over 2.5 total goals. Cluj will push forward out of necessity, which creates space behind, and Tromso’s attackers — particularly Dahlqvist and Larsen — are too sharp to waste those opportunities. Tromso scoring in both halves is also worth considering given how regularly they’ve been finding the net at will. Cluj may grab a goal or two, maybe through Dražić or Cordea, but this tie is over before it begins.

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